patrick.net

Just like O'Malley is stealing all of Hillary's votes.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.html

Trump pulls ahead in Florida vote

http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/06/08/donald-trump-beats-campaign-prediction-reaching-1536-delegates/

Donald Trump Beats Own Campaign Prediction, Reaching 1,536 Delegates

I'm sorry but Trump has lied now.
He said I'd get tired of winning

The Clinton campaign must be shitting bricks now.

http://downstreampolitics.com/2016/06/09/trump-getting-26-black-vote-republican-since-1960/

Trump Getting 26% Of Black Vote – More Than Any Republican Since 1960

A new Big Data survey is out and it shows Donald Trump with the support of 26% of the black population. The study by CulturIntel is based on millions of data points using a proprietary methodology that has proven highly accurate. Until this landmark survey there was plenty of anecdotal evidence that Trump had more traction in the black community than any Republican in decades, but it was just that – anecdotal.

Superstar Azaelia Banks endorsed Trump, as did athletes like Mike Tyson, Terrell Owens, and Herschel Walker. Of course we know the Stump For Trump girls, Diamond and Silk, love The Donald. But now we have a major study based on a huge amount of data.

With 26% of the black vote Donald Trump wins it all going away. Romney won 7%, McCain won 4%, Bush won 9% in 2000 and 11% in 2004. Even Reagan only won 14% in 1980. You have to go back to 1960 when Nixon won 32% of the black in his loss to JFK to find a Republican doing so well. 26% of the black vote would be an electoral earthquake.

If Trump is able to get north of 20% of the black vote Hillary can’t win. At 26% it’s a landslide. Swing states like Ohio, Florida, and Virginia become easy wins. The entire upper Midwest from the Dakotas to Michigan is put in play. And light blue states like New Jersey and Pennsylvania become likely wins. Combined with Trump’s unexpected-by-experts surge in popularity among Hispanics he has a shot at winning his home state of New York.

What’s more this is consistent with Trump’s experience during the primaries. Despite facing 16 opponents and hundreds of million dollars of negative ads and a hostile media, Donald Trump won more votes than any Republican nominee ever. Ever. The Defeat Caucus of the Republican Party might not like Trump, but actual voters sure do.

I don't believe that Trump will get anywhere near 26% of the black vote, but hey, dream on.

Meanwhile, the female vote ?

women in national polls are giving Clinton the highest level of female support of any candidate in more than four decades and the widest gender gap ever recorded. Clinton's lead of a yawning 24 percentage points in the latest Pew Research Center Poll — not only among Democratic partisans but also from women who typically vote Republican — is an electoral challenge for the GOP that imperils Trump's ability to win the White House.

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/07/10/hillary-clinton-women-voters/86793244/

Hillary hasn't called everybody a Honkey yet, her numbers will only go up then.

marcus says

I don't believe that Trump will get anywhere near 26% of the black vote, but hey, dream on.

Well, it would explain all the pandering and campaigning with Obama...

This weekend we visited my wife's sister in Orlando, she's married to a NY Puerto Rican guy. He's got firearms up the ass, including my dream Saiga-12 with Drum Magazine. Anyway, saw his Infowars sticker on his gun cabinet, and he's voting for TRUMP.

zzyzzx says

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.html

Trump pulls ahead in Florida vote

what are you talking about. Did you read your own link ?

If Hillary wins, what is she going to do with Bill in the White House? 👀

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_IA_071216/

Trump ahead in Iowa.

I could find five "random" people right here on this forum such that 3 or more are going to vote for Trump.

Therefore Trump's got it in the bag. Check mate, case closed.

OpopopopopBLABLABLABLABLA, I can't here you !

www.youtube.com/embed/_AIpQSplUpk

Trump, Trump, Trump!!!!!!

Trump ahead in PA now:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton-5633.html

http://regated.com/2016/07/rasmussen-trump-leads-clinton-seven-percent/

TRUMP LEADS CLINTON BY SEVEN PERCENT

Rasmussen came out with a new national poll this morning, which put Donald Trump 7 percentage points above Hillary Clinton — his largest lead yet! According to this poll, Trump has 44%, while Clinton stagnates at 37%.

On Friday, Clinton was up 4.6 pts over Trump. Today, it's 3.1 pts.

Her poll numbers are collapsing. Trump needs to tie the upcoming Rio Olympics disaster to Clinton.

Killary's unfavorables skyrocketing

The more Voters see of her, the less they like her.

CBS/NYT Poll.

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-tied-going-into-conventions-cbsnyt-poll/

http://pittsburgh.cbslocal.com/2016/07/12/westmoreland-co-home-trumps-all-others-this-election-season/

Did they ever update this graphic yet?

zzyzzx says

TRUMP LEADS CLINTON BY SEVEN PERCENT

Yeah, but back in the real world they're still saying Trump has a 30% chance of winning.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

IF you bet a lot on Trump a few months back, now would be a good time to lock in a profit by betting on Hillary.

On Friday, Clinton was up 4.6 pts over Trump. Today, it's 3.1 pts.

Her poll numbers are collapsing. Trump needs to tie the upcoming Rio Olympics disaster to Clinton.

Now the average of polls has Clinton's lead shrinking to 2.7%.

Looks like Bernie dropping out has hurt her. Sad, folks, real sad.

http://news.hamptonu.edu/release/HU-Poll%3A-Presidential-Candidates-in-a-Statistical-Dead-Heat-among-Virginians
Trump now tied in VA

Trump approaching statistical tie in Michigan:

Obama won Michigan by almost 10%.

http://www.courant.com/politics/hc-connecticut-in-play-for-trump-20160717-story.html

Trump On The Ticket Could Mean Connecticut Is In Play

"I think a lot of people are thinking it's going to be a blowout with Hillary in a blue state like this,'' Rose said. "I am not as absolutely as confident in that conclusion as some others are. The demographics and the party distribution are lined up against Trump, but the independent vote in Connecticut could be decisive. We are talking about 41 percent of the registered voters, and Trump could tap into that. He will do well among Republicans, and he will do well among independents. That could result in Connecticut being in play.''

State Rep. John Frey, a Republican National Committee member and Cleveland convention delegate, said Connecticut is "definitely'' in play based on his conversations with voters around the state.

"I was getting tires at Town Fair Tire in Danbury,'' said Frey, a Ridgefield resident. "There was an African American guy working there, and he was all excited about Trump. I was in The Owl Shop in New Haven a month ago, talking to three young people in there. Two of them are living with their parents, and one had four part-time jobs. They're saddled with heavy student loans. They want to try something new, and that's what Trump represents.''

http://www.newsmax.com/t/newsmax/article/739056/212

Donald Trump may be winning converts from an unlikely source — Democrats — a new unpublished poll shows.

What's more, according to the poll, Trump is tied with Hillary — and in fact, the Republican candidate is within striking distance in several historically Democratic states.

Sources I interviewed said the poll was conducted by the Harper Polling Firm for the U.S. Senate campaign of GOP State Rep. Dan Carter.

The as-yet published poll shows Trump tied with Clinton — each with 43 percent — in heavily Democratic Connecticut.

Trump now predicted to win parts of Maine (which splits it's electoral votes).
http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/07/18/polls-trump-electoral-edge-today/

So if Clinton maintains a slight lead in national polls due to lopsided liberal states, Trump actually would have a pretty comfortable election today.

Johnson getting 5%, hahahahaha. Some of these polls are complete BS.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/288118-manafort-trump-campaign-expanding-number-of-battleground

Trump aide: Close to 20 states in play

"The target list is actually expanding, the 12 battleground states are probably closer to 20 now," Paul Manafort said at a Bloomberg Politics breakfast in Cleveland, according to Bloomberg News.
He named Oregon, Connecticut, Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada, New Mexico, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Virginia as states that are "in play."

In the 2012 election, President Obama won all of those states.

Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus said Sunday he thinks Trump will "expand the map," adding he thinks the party will be able to "flip" a few states to win.

I think it's very telling that for the last 3 months the biggest news story in the world was "Who will Donald Trump pick as his running mate?"

Then the second biggest under reported story is, nobody gives a crap about Hillary's running mate nor the lack of any publicity on her running mate selection.
Though I did find this obscure article on HIllary's top 5 pick.

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-clinton-vp-prospects-20160714-snap-htmlstory.html

The lack of interest in Hillary's VP pick is demostrative of the people have already spoken.

Tenpoundbass says

Then the second biggest under reported story is, nobody gives a crap about Hillary's running mate nor the lack of any publicity on her running mate selection.

Though I did find this obscure article on HIllary's top 5 pick.

That's a good point. Nobody gives a shit about Hillary's running mate, which is illustrative of the large numbers that won't be bothered to vote for her.

Tenpoundbass says

I think it's very telling that for the last 3 months the biggest news story in the world was "Who will Donald Trump pick as his running mate?"

While it's pretty funny that you think that was the biggest news story of the last 3 months, the reason is more because his campaign is such a clown show that people were curious who would actually agree to be his VP. And the off chance that he'd pick someone completely nuts just to get more publicity.

Never in my life have I seen an election where people just don't want you to vote for your guy.
They aren't demanding you vote for their guy(which has been the case in the past).
They just want to stop you from going to the polls, rallying and supporting your candidate.

This is some pretty chickenshit weak stuff here. Hilary's rallies are Whiter than the Brady Bunch.

Hillary will be in jail by November mock my words.

Tenpoundbass says

mock my words.

He usually does.

I'm going to wait until a few days after the RNC to post an accurate update of Trump versus Clinton polling averages in this thread.

It's not going to be pretty.

www.youtube.com/embed/7ZSZsVM_cBo

http://www.breitbart.com/video/2016/07/17/pollster-trump-will-win-because-majority-of-americans-seek-change-from-obama/

Pollster: Trump Will Win Because Majority of Americans Seek Change From Obama

She's still down 1.5% from just a few days and several polls ago.

Clearing out Bernie has actually made her lose points rather than gain them.

I LOL'd at one poll having Johnson at 17%.