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Time is NOW: Predict next President-elect. Revisit *Tonight*. Don't be shy.
invite response
2016 Nov 2, 10:39am 15,823 views 105 comments
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1) What sane person would want to be the next POTUS with the MASSIVE problems that the U.S. & world face.
2) Trump is likely to win. There's a white working-class and middle-class wave of voters that Michael Moore spoke of that are enthused in an historically unprecedented fashion turning out to vote, a significant % of whom identified as Reagan Democrats or haven't voted in a long time (they became non-participatory); this will be apparent as the votes begin being counted at 8 pm tonight on the east coast and Midwest.
3) Whoever wins is likely to be a one-term president for reason #1 above.
Rew
2016 Nov 8, 10:57am
1) What sane person would want to be the next POTUS with the MASSIVE problems that the U.S. & world face.
They are typically sane, but very different personality types than your average person.
2) Trump is likely to win.
That's some non-conventional wisdom.
The paths for Hillary are many while the paths for Trump are few and precarious.
3) Whoever wins is likely to be a one-term president for reason #1 above.
Agree not for number 1, but there is a general shift here and in the world. 2020 is going to be quite unusual.
zzyzzx
2016 Nov 8, 2:04pm
1) What sane person would want to be the next POTUS with the MASSIVE problems that the U.S. & world face.
Isn't that almost always the case?
Congratulations to freespeechforever for forecasting the closest call I've seen from ANYONE in real life or pundit-wise.
An eerie accurate call, dude.
RealEstateIsBetterThanStocks
2017 Jan 5, 10:35pm
he thought Trump was superman from another planet and got disappointed
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Trump.
Revolution is in the air, driven by largest block of angry, formerly disenfranchised voters in modern-American history.
Trump will get MANY votes of those in their 40s, 50s and 60s who've not voted in many, many years (maybe decades).
It's Brexit on steroids, driven by many of the reasons cited by Michael Moore.
It doesn't hurt his odds that Hillary is an utter piece-of-shit who causes even most Democratic-affiliated voters the need to hold their noses.
Biggest surprises:
1) Trump will win 80%+ of male vote.
2) Hillary's "massive" edge with women will fizzle into less than 9% advantage.
3) African-Americans will only cast 70% of the # of votes for Hillary that they did for Obama in 2008 or 2012.
4) Millennials will not turn out in anywhere near the numbers that they did in 2008, and those who do will vote in surprisingly large numbers for Jill Stein.
5) Trump will win North Carolina, Michigan, Nevada, Arizona and Pennsylvania (in addition to Florida & Ohio - he'll win by double digits in Ohio).
#EstablishmentInFullPanic
#AmericanBrexit
#MiddleClassRevolution