JULIA AZARI 7:36 PM
Preliminary exit poll results suggest that we may see a record gender gap among voters in Virginia — a 19-point advantage for Clinton among women, 57-38 percent. It’s not too much of a leap to suggest that this might be connected to Trump’s treatment of women — 62 percent of women in the state said they were “bothered a lot by Trump’s treatment of women.†In North Carolina, Clinton appears to have won among women by 13 percentage points, which ABC News says appears to be another record.
What’s interesting is that although there was a record gender gap nationally in 2012 — about 20 percent — it didn’t show up so much in these states. Obama won female voters in Virginia by 9 points and won that group by only 2 points in North Carolina. We are seeing something new.
HARRY ENTEN 7:25 PM
I’m looking at returns from two major counties in Florida: Duval and Palm Beach. In the early vote, Clinton is doing better than the amount that Obama won by overall in those counties in 2012. In Palm Beach, she’s running 7 percentage points ahead. If that holds, it’s going to be a very long night for Trump.
ELLA KOEZE 7:23 PM
The Country Is Terrified
In preliminary exit polls according to our partners at ABC News, voters were more scared by the thought of a Trump presidency than a Clinton one. Women, especially, expressed fear at the thought of President Trump. Overall, though, voters are expressing more fear than excitement over both a Trump and a Clinton win.
CARL BIALIK 7:09 PM
We’ll know soon enough how much of the electorate was made up of women. Early-voting numbers, though, show that women’s share of the electorate has surged — by several percentage points compared to 2012, according to Drew Brighton of the voting-data firm TargetSmart. According to the firm’s breakdown of 46.3 million early votes, 56 percent were cast by women — consistent with earlier reports of big turnout among women. And that proportion was about the same across just about every age group, as well as among both women who are newly registered and those who’ve been on the rolls for longer. If the final vote tallies are consistent with the early ones, that could provide a boost to Clinton, who led by big margins among women in polls but trailed among men.
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