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San Diego Housing Market Has No Inventory?


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2017 Feb 5, 2:06pm   30,482 views  92 comments

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I live in the north SD city area. I've been scouring Redfin for a while and noticed that a ton of higher end homes ($700K - $1.2M) are coming onto the market, and it's not even Spring yet. Is this the year that the market goes in favor of the buyer? Of course I want this to be true because I'm looking to buy, but I want to stay objective.


#housing

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81   Malcolm   2018 Sep 11, 10:23am  

Strategist says
The 1995 starter home would be $300,000, with rent at $1,200
The 2015 starter home $550,000 would rent for $2500 today.


Factually wrong. My first house was in the city limits near to San Diego State University and was a real case example. Yes, downtown by the waterfront would have your figures.
82   Strategist   2018 Sep 11, 10:24am  

Malcolm says
Strategist says
You sold in October 2017, and we have been hitting new highs ever since. The San Diego County median hit another record high at $579,750 last month.
So when and where is the top you called?


I haven't seen any sales in my area that make me question my decision. I did extremely well and wouldn't have a problem if someone after me made a little money. Time will tell. All I know is that more than one article and news-report have said people are not getting what they did a year ago.


$579,750 Is New Milestone as San Diego Home Prices Continue ...
https://timesofsandiego.com › Business
Aug 30, 2018 - The median price of a home in San Diego County rose by 8 percent in July, compared with the same month a year earlier, a real estate information service announced Thursday. According to CoreLogic, the median price of a San Diego County home was $579,750 last month, up from $537,000 in July 2017.
83   Malcolm   2018 Sep 11, 10:35am  

Malcolm says
Hey, I just checked.The average rent for a 2 bedroom apartment in San Diego County is $2,341. A 3 bedroom house would obviously rent for a lot more.
Where the hell do you get your $2,000 monthly rent for a median priced 3 bedroom house?


https://sandiego.craigslist.org/csd/apa/d/3-beds-2-baths-1476-sqft-home/6694586834.html

First, I didn't say median house, I said starter homes. I don't deal in nicer homes as an investment property.
2nd, San Diego has the widest range of prices anywhere that I have ever seen. We have some of the priciest houses and nearby we have some real dumpy areas. Be careful about the averages.
3rd. My example even surprised me, because it is actually in the city limits in a pretty decent area.
85   Strategist   2018 Sep 11, 10:43am  

Malcolm says

First, I didn't say median house, I said starter homes. I don't deal in nicer homes as an investment property.


Malcolm says
2018 starter home $550K renting for $2,000/mo


$550K is pretty close to the median $579,750.
You keep giving very subjective and anecdotal examples. The real data shows something quite different.
86   Malcolm   2018 Sep 11, 10:50am  

Strategist says
You keep giving very subjective and anecdotal examples. The real data shows something quite different.


Subjective? There is a Craigslist ad right there for you. Also, be careful of the median stats. You are factually wrong because I am talking about single family homes. This article explains the numbers. Note they are saying there is a 20% increase in inventory. Also note the year over year and prior month declines in sales.
https://www.10news.com/news/making-it-in-san-diego/san-diego-home-sales-show-decline-in-august
87   Malcolm   2018 Sep 11, 10:53am  

Just one article about discounting. That is usually unheard of when San Diego is a seller's market.

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/08/16/housing-tipping-back-to-a-buyers-market-as-sellers-cut-prices.html
88   Malcolm   2018 Sep 11, 10:54am  

I can assure you in the last month I have seen at least three articles and two news stories about sellers not being able to get what their house was worth last year.
89   Malcolm   2018 Sep 11, 11:02am  

Here is the actual example.

https://www.zillow.com/homes/for_sale/3410-Page-St,-San-Diego_rb/?fromHomePage=true&shouldFireSellPageImplicitClaimGA=false&fromHomePageTab=buy

There is no way in hell that it goes for $2,400/mo. Not with any stability, but the value is even a small surprise for me. I planted that palm tree in 1997. It was a sapling in a 5 gallon pot.
90   RWSGFY   2018 Sep 11, 2:29pm  

Malcolm says
Here is the actual example.

https://www.zillow.com/homes/for_sale/3410-Page-St,-San-Diego_rb/?fromHomePage=true&shouldFireSellPageImplicitClaimGA=false&fromHomePageTab=buy

There is no way in hell that it goes for $2,400/mo. Not with any stability, but the value is even a small surprise for me. I planted that palm tree in 1997. It was a sapling in a 5 gallon pot.


Looks like at least half if tge house consists of later additions. I wonder if it is up to the code and has all the permits.
91   Malcolm   2018 Sep 11, 3:50pm  

DASKAA says
Looks like at least half if tge house consists of later additions. I wonder if it is up to the code and has all the permits.


Yes, the county record is correct about the footage. Good call though, a lot of houses there have illegal garage conversions. That house was originally a cookie cutter house built for veterans in the 50s. I bought another one down the road with the same floor plan but not on a slab foundation. If you are curious, it is not actually a four bedroom. What they did was to add a nice master bed/bath and an extra room on the back. One of the original bedrooms was made into a nice family room with a fireplace. Even though it retained its closet, it technically isn't a bedroom because you go through it to get to the other rooms. It also led to an added enclosed patio. It was all done quite tastefully, but it is one of those fuzzy math problems where adding two bedrooms to two bedrooms equals 3 bedrooms and a den.
92   sdlove22   2019 Mar 25, 3:37pm  

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