2
0

Midterms


               
2018 Mar 30, 1:48pm   7,010 views  46 comments

by MisdemeanorRebel   follow (13)  

Two reasons why the Dems aren't going to win big in the Midterms.

Reason #1:

www.qACxfKB3iP4

Reason #2:

Three recent polls — conducted by CNN/SSRS, Quinnipiac University and Fox News —have shown Democrats losing their double-digit edge in generic congressional polling over the GOP. In two of the polls, Democrats experienced a double-digit drop in their lead from earlier polling.

Why it matters: There has been a lot of buzz about a blue wave that allows Democrats to retake the House in 2018, but these polls should give the left some pause. That's because Democrats will need to over-perform against a generic ballot to score big gains in the House since — as Nate Cohn at the NYT notes in a worthy read — gerrymandered congressional districts give the GOP a clear electoral edge heading into the fall.

By the numbers:
CNN/SSRS:

March 29: Democrats +6 — 50% to 44%
February 26: Democrats +16 — 54% to 38%
Quinnipiac University:

March 21: Democrats +6 — 49% to 43% for both the House and Senate.
December 5, 2017: Democrats +14 — 50% to 36% for the House and 51% to 37% for the Senate.
Fox News:

March 25: Democrats +5 — 46% to 41%.
October 25, 2017: Democrats +15 — 50% to 35%.

https://www.axios.com/polls-show-democrats-edge-over-gop-slides-ahead-of-midterm-elections-a2f7ab97-8918-4541-ac21-c3eea80da02c.html

Comments 1 - 23 of 46       Last »     Search these comments

1   MisdemeanorRebel   @   2018 Mar 30, 1:49pm  

By the way, anybody ever notice that Vegans have this weird spastic energy, like someone who drank a whole pot of coffee in an hour?
2   MisdemeanorRebel   @   2018 Apr 11, 1:04pm  

Q-Pac had the Dems leading by in the teens this January, last month is was +10. Today, only three points.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html#polls
3   Ceffer   @   2018 Apr 11, 5:52pm  

That's strange. I never call people animals to insult them, I call them Vegans.
4   Tenpoundbass   @   2018 Apr 11, 6:22pm  

I don't think Trumponian politics scale with a small sample poll size.
Regardless what people say now. The closer it gets to November, the more Democrats ratchet up their Impeach Trump platform. It's not going to be any match for the great economic and domestic strides he is making in the right direction. People are tired of the stale partisan shit. The Democrats are going to over sale Impeach Trump by tipping their hand and showing they have nothing better to offer. In fact the contrary.
That same sample poll will still be polling 10+ Democrat because they don't want to admit they themselves know he is better than what they have to offer.
But the media drags out mass hysteria. Bitching about Trump is the new talking about last night's episode of Lost. Though nobody wants to admit they actually watch him.
5   Tenpoundbass   @   2018 Apr 11, 6:28pm  

It's also telling how these Republicans are waiting until the last exit, to jump out of the car. As if just trying outright to hand their seat Democrats.
Knowing full well 5 and a half months is short time to get grassroot organization in a district that wasn't planning on contesting the existing Republican.

I'm surprised none of the GOP press has pointed this cheap act out. Even NPR was licking their chops, saying Ryan is dropping out because he doesn't think he could beat the Democrat contender. Which is bullshit, he's just giving it to them. He knows that Nehlen Nazi Larper would run and the Media will have a field day tying him to Trump and his supporters.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Nehlen
6   MisdemeanorRebel   @   2018 Apr 11, 7:17pm  

Tenpoundbass says
It's also telling how these Republicans are waiting until the last exit, to jump out of the car. As if just trying outright to hand their seat Democrats.


My thoughts exactly.

You'd wonder why all these Republicans are jumping ship when they have the majority in the House and Senate and the Presidency, and have far more ability to make their constituents happy, unless their constituency all along was to serve the Deep State by being the controlled opposition.

I guarantee the AltLeft Fake News media won't contextualize the fact that Nehlen had made no Supremacist statements prior to the November Election, when he was endorsed by many who saw him as a means to unseat Ryan.
7   Patrick   @   2022 Jul 24, 10:57am  

I know this is an old thread, but here we are at midterms again, so it's relevant.

https://www.westernjournal.com/op-ed-beware-stealth-candidates-time-vote/?seyid=12965


The goal should be to choose the most conservative candidate with the best chance of winning.

If you don’t win, then you have no chance to fight for your agenda. On the other hand, we don’t want RINOs who can win but then govern like Democrats. That often is worse than electing Democrats because it is difficult to get Republicans united to oppose them.

So we all need to be aware of “stealth candidates.” These are folks with little history of being a conservative or supporting the party. Often, they come from out of state with big money.
8   Patrick   @   2022 Aug 2, 9:31am  

https://spectatorworld.com/topic/the-war-on-normal/


The eagerly anticipated midterm elections, now in a countdown, will no doubt reveal vast electoral dismay and division. Inflation, recession, crime, and border invasions are half of it. The Democratic-inspired War on Normal is the other.

However impressive GOP victories might be, the fifty-year-old progressive hegemon will endure. Identity hustles, handouts, lawlessness, and cultural rot won’t disappear after the midterms. Disparate impact, non-binary fantasies, and Supreme Court oppositionists in primal breakdowns will persist.

Beyond November, cunning propagandists with opportunities at thought control unprecedented in human history will seek to discredit their adversaries. Militants will intimidate authorities. The commercial republic and its assets are the prize. ...

Meanwhile, what Karen is thinking is how can I pull up the ladder, build a high wall, buy a safe haven, find a good school, and avoid all that seedy and weird out there, while being an ally, good person, and anti-racist? How can I … oh hell … Love wins! Trump should go to jail! He’s a monster! ...

But it’s on the progressive left where political magic elevates to faith. Starry-eyed believers dream of a better world. Their trailblazers aspire to something more sinister. Quick as lizards and equally cold-blooded, billionaire mind-warpers sell pandemonium. They seek something besides social justice, and have designs for you, me and the children.

Having tasted bourgeois accommodation and surrender, those who have ridden the mind warp to fame and fortune declare the US patrimony elitist, racist and evil. Its crimes and harms never end. This vanguard does not plan to relinquish its fictions. To do so would remove claims to compensatory privilege and sanctimony. Opportunity resides in discontent and guilt.
9   Patrick   @   2022 Aug 5, 9:21am  

https://spectatorworld.com/topic/life-after-liberalism-democrats/


Life after liberalism
As its institutional order rots, will the American right be ascendant?

As elite liberals repudiate America’s past, liberal institutions lose their broad base of support. And as institutional liberalism decays, liberal intellectuals become all the more histrionic in their hype about “fascism” and threats to “our democracy.” They increasingly view a third or more of the American public as “deplorables.” Naturally enough, the voters they deplore then come to take an even dimmer view of the institutions that liberals control. The panicky way Democrats respond to Republicans makes the GOP grow stronger, and the stronger the GOP grows, the more shrill the Democratic response becomes.
10   HeadSet   @   2022 Aug 5, 10:50am  

Patrick says

However impressive GOP victories might be,

You are more optimistic than me about a fair election. Fake polls are already ramping up showing Dem resurgence based on abortion rights, falling gas prices, standing up to China, and droning a terrorist. Monkey Pox is now a "national emergency" that will be an excuse for expanded mail-in voting. Even if the Dem are successful in the steal, Biden and Kamala are still doomed. You know why Pelosi went to Tawain and is now talking about de-nuclearizing North Korea? Pelosi is doing these foreign affair acts because she sees herself becoming President after Biden and Kamala are removed.
11   Patrick   @   2022 Aug 5, 11:01am  

HeadSet says

You are more optimistic than me about a fair election.


That was just a quote from the linked article.

I'm not at all optimistic about a fair election. The Democrats obviously cheated massively in 2020, with copious proof in 2000 Mules for starters. Why wouldn't they just continue cheating, since they are blocking all official investigation and prosecution of their fraud? They have nothing to lose by cheating more. They have zero credibility with Republicans, and Democrats are gleefully and willfully blind to the screamingly obvious election fraud - as long as it goes their way.
12   clambo   @   2022 Aug 5, 11:26am  

The problem for the Democrats is they’re stupid and corrupt. They ignore polls of public opinion.

The Democrat base doesn’t care about January 6.

Not one person has ever expressed interest in the January 6 hearings to me, but many complained about prices and rent.

But, it’s unclear how much cheating they can accomplish in November, we shall see.

I hope the Democrats fail to cheat and get their asses kicked.
13   WookieMan   @   2022 Aug 5, 11:48am  

Patrick says

I'm not at all optimistic about a fair election.

I actually kind of am. I don't think it can be pulled off again. There's going to be much more vigilante oversight. Good luck moving a container of ballots anywhere without it being questioned. Remember that most these people are volunteers. I see more lets go Brandon Flags in my area than the US flag. Those people will be at polling places. Could get violent in all honesty.

All elections seem big in the moment, but this is likely the biggest of my lifetime as far as anticipation for a non-POTUS election. Hell, even a POTUS election. Nothing is positive. You can't spin shit. I could easily get 4 jobs at a time and make bank. Yet no one wants to work. Something is off and I still cannot figure it out. Covid is over. MonkeyPox is literally a gay disease hitting 1-2% of the population that maybe get it. That's not an excuse for mail in voting.

Get off your ass and vote. We're becoming a nation of bums. The flu isn't going to kill you if you're not a fat ass loser. Hell, ride your bike to the polling place. Burn some calories.
14   Patrick   @   2022 Aug 24, 3:30pm  

WookieMan says

Get off your ass and vote.


Yes, and do NOT vote by mail, ever.

Vote in person so that they have less time to figure out how many fraudulent ballots to print up and stuff.
16   Ceffer   @   2022 Aug 24, 3:42pm  

All that creepy experience for many years at the voting places was for a reason: it was creepy.

I am also, when they ask me if I want a printed ballot or machine voting, to comment as I did last time that the machines and mail ins are for voter fraud and I want a printed ballot. I'll also say that I will continue voting, and look forward to the day when my vote will count again in California. May as well rub it in for the creepy crawlers at the voting station.
17   TheAntiPanicanLearingCenter   @   2022 Aug 24, 8:07pm  

Another important thing for Red Counties, esp. Rural ones, is to count late.

Blame it being a small county with only a few, mostly elderly, volunteers. Then claim a miscount required it to be done several times.

Red Counties must report late. If anybody noticed, Blue Cities jumped very quickly to 75-80% then 'stalled'.

The stall is the steal, they wait for the smaller red counties to report 100%, and then it's nothing for them to find a few thousand votes and simply claim a few more people voted than normally and it's a no-brainer to get enough fake votes outside the mandatory recount percentage.

Compare voter participation in 2020 - Philly to Baltimore and Newark and Buffalo in 2020 was not close. Only Dems in Philly came out in unusually record high numbers, not in other Atlantic state cities of similar demographics. The Dems didn't need to cheat to NJ or MD, but they did in Philly, PA to offset the suburbs and rural areas of that state. Similar cities in similar regions tend to have similar turnout)

The reason it took Philly and Detroit and Atlanta so long to count was because they had to find an unbelievable amount of votes to offset the massive Trump Turnout.
18   FortWayneHatesRealtors   @   2022 Aug 25, 5:58am  

10,000 per student hand out might help them get it back
19   WookieMan   @   2022 Aug 25, 7:02am  

HeadSet says

falling gas prices

They just removed taxes. The prices are not actually falling. I've mentioned before that IL removed the MFT (motor fuel tax). This was AFTER JB nut sack raised it by some insane percentage as EV vehicle don't pay a penny towards it. IL has large nuke and natural gas capacity for power generation, so EV's here really do produce less carbon.

Growing up going to Chicago you couldn't see the Sears tower in the summer until you got past Austin and sometimes Cicero if you know 290.

Either way, they're cutting tax revenue to look good. Why did you raise it? Then suspend it? It makes no sense outside of political motivation. That's revenue is a big deal as I know the road and infrastructure industry very well. Kick the can down the road.

AmericanKulak says

Another important thing for Red Counties, esp. Rural ones, is to count late.

Blame it being a small county with only a few, mostly elderly, volunteers. Then claim a miscount required it to be done several times.

This is my polling place 100%. 2,200 people in town and maybe another 200 or so out in the farm fields. I think maybe 1k people actually vote. Trivial amount to track and turn in. I got 262 votes last election. It's a non-partisan position and you can vote for multiple people and it's not contested, but I think most just vote for one because they don't know.

But your point is accurate. All it takes is one precinct with shady shit going down to move our entire national political landscape one way or another. Dems see how the rural people vote and adjust or outright cheat if they can. R's might do it too, but I've seen little evidence if any.
21   AD   @   2022 Oct 1, 2:57pm  

WookieMan says

HeadSet says

falling gas prices


Total oil rig county is about 15% below the levels set just before the pandemic was official annouced. Biden stated that he was going to tap the strategic oil reserves until beginning of October 2022, and some states may have temporarily eliminated the gasoline and diesel taxes at the pump. That is why just after this midterm election, expect gas and diesel to timely go back up in price.

.



,
23   AD   @   2022 Oct 2, 4:27pm  

Patrick says

https://covidsteria.substack.com/p/how-gop-sabotages-chances-of-winning-elections?publication_id=400307&post_id=75245043&isFreemail=tru


If the Repubs don't at least win the House of Representatives with a comfortable lead then this will embolden the Dems a lot.

The Dems will view this that they can win even with a President like Birdbrain in the White House and with a wrecking economy and disaster foreign policy.

And they will feel like they can realize their utopia of a one-party left wing authoritarian state with the token opposition party being the hapless Republicans.

.

Comments 1 - 23 of 46       Last »     Search these comments

Please register to comment:

api   best comments   contact   latest images   memes   one year ago   users   suggestions   gaiste