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CBOEtrader saysI would guess it could happen within 3 to 5 generations.
By the way, this contradicts your title for this thread. It's cultural and economic, and not biologically racial, or ethnic, at least not to an extent that's significant.
If you focus on the US only you could postulate that the difference in social and economic status and thus better access to education for one group is a main driver and thus the test is not "fair". However we have tons of programs directed at helping the poorer and even laws that discriminate against those that score better (affirmative action), yet not much progress is being made and often a toxic culture (high single-motherhood, absence of fathers, crime etc.) remains.
I have no problems accepting that Ashkenazi Jews and many Asians score higher on average than my genetic lineage does
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This topic goes to the core of PC culture, and the resulting SJW tyranny. The unfortunate truth is that groups of people do indeed have different heritable talents. IQ is simply an easily measurable talent.
Before any idiot calls me racist for pointing out facts lets be clear about a few things: 1) IQ DOES NOT EQUAL MORAL VALUE. 2) Monetary success DOES NOT EQUAL MORE/LESS human value.
IQ does, however, predict stratification of society, and IQ is very correlated to racial groups. "I dont have a solution to that, but at least I can point out the problem." -JP Pointing out the problem is the first step towards helping people.
Here's another great conversation between Dave Ruben and SM. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T0KKc6GbeNo
"Black make way less money than Jews, but when you normalize for IQ they dont."
Blaming stratification of society on the patriarchy is deeply flawed. As JP points out, its like building a model of society the way a child draws a house. Is a pentagram with rectangle "door", and two square windows a house? Or is it a very low level model of a house?