patrick.net

Seems Mr. Penn is taking himself just a bit too serious. I think all he needs are some tasty waves and some cool buds and he'll be ok.

I strongly resent the notion that 100K is a lot of money.

Now that's just plain wierd. Take a look at the data, there's plenty available, 100K a year is a ton of money, if you can't live on 160K perhaps you should re-balance your moral portfolio.

Ahh but I used to live in Pacifica, then alameda, worked for Bayer, made 92K, did fine. Couldn't "buy" a house, but no matter how you slice it 6figs is a ton of money. The point is that costs in the BA are so inflated that it doesn't seem like a lot, but trust me, it is. Imagine all those other folks who eke out a living on 50-60K, which is the majority of BA residents. My God, what kind of cheese to this people eat, velveta?

Try living in Bay Area with 100K…

I ASS-ume you are trying to point out how fucked up the median income to median home price ratio is in the Bay Area? Because other than home prices there is no problem living in the Bay Area on 100k unless you are a serious spendthrift.

"My God, what kind of cheese to this people eat, velveta?"

Mmmm yes, I do postulate that those peasants positively MUST eat Velveta cheese with their Franzia boxed wine. Mortimer, warm up the car post-haste; we're going for a drive to have a look at investment property in Mill Valley.

Ha Ha, have you considered buying a BMW? They come with all maintainence included, beyond price, there's value. And BMW's have value like none other, plus you'll save money on the maintainence.

Face, according to the U.S. Census the median CA household income for 2003 was $48,912. There are plenty of families earning above that, sure, and there are plenty earning below that.

http://www.census.gov/hhes/income/histinc/h08a.html

Yes we can argue that some more income is "off the books" (not reported/taxed), and it probably went up a tad in the last two years, etc. Even so, 100K is WELL above the average teacher/plumber/electrician/police/firefighter/nurse(insert your regular-guy job here).

You'll notice that virtually every poster here makes that or close to it, and yet we still acknowledge this is well above average. Sheesh, dude, do you HAVE to go out for nouveau cuisine every night in your shiny new Escalade? Boy, must be tough scrapin' by like that!

Ha Ha,

Have you been hanging out with Bull$hitter lately? ;-)
The estimated Bay Area median household income in 2004 was $64,611 and median "family" income was $77,697. Either way, $100K is little better than just "average Joe", and $160K is WAY better.

http://www.bayareacensus.ca.gov/bayarea.htm

You should feel good about it --you're way above average and still can't afford an average house! What does this say about how seriously f&#%ed up the market is today?

Need 2 Leave CA?

Typical Bay Area income is 200K …. I believe this people can afford a house

And typical person make 160K huff bong so much typical person think average wage in BA 200K. Typical person be so very wrong not funny.

Face Reality,

Ok, so your plumber and contractor are pulling in some big bucks --good for them. You must move in very exclusive circles. And??

The point I (and many others) have repeatedly tried to make is, (a) $100K is well above average --even for the Bay area and (b) if you "can't" make it on that, you're priorities are seriously screwed up.

For the record, I am 100% supporting a wife, with baby on the way, for slightly LESS than $100K (*gasp*), though I have excellent healthcare benefits at my current job.

@Need 2 Leave CA,

Thanks for the props!

Housing is the main source of financial stress in the Bay Area.

Housing the the main source of slef-inflicted financial stress in the Bay Area. Housing in the Bay Area is rather affordable unless one tries to chase it as an asset when it is extremely overvalued.

The thing to remeber too is that 5 years ago (at least in Sac) you could buy a house on the median income. Now you can’t. You will never convince me that is normal or ok.

You can still "buy" the highly creative payment structure of a house on the median income. ;)

I tried to post the links, but got put in moderation.

SQT, I checked for any greyed out comments from you (the "awaiting moderation" link never works for me) but didn't find any. What was the timestamp on your post?

Housing in the Bay Area is rather affordable unless one tries to chase it as an asset when it is extremely overvalued.

Exactly --why "buy" when you can rent the same house for 50-60% less and bank/invest the difference. Again, that irritating common sense driving my decision making. Life would be SOO much easier if I could just drink the condoflip Koolaid and join the lemmings. What the hell's wrong with me??

My plumber certainly makes more than $100K (and so does the contractor who painted the outside of my house, but the way).

Yes but self-employment = no benefits. After you factor-in health-care and insurance the net is qute a bit less. Also, business is highly cyclical. If they are not making at least this much during the height of this bubble I would feel sorry for them. :)

I didn’t make comments until recently. I hope mine have some value.

Need 2 Leave CA, of course your comments have value. :)

Life would be SOO much easier if I could just drink the condoflip Koolaid and join the lemmings. What the hell’s wrong with me??

That koolaid is probably laced with arsenic.

I don’t know, do plumbers fall into this category?

I don't know either... perhaps those new construction $hitboxes have crappy toilets that clog all the time. This would be a New Economy for the plumbers. :)

Need 2 Leave,

Thanks --this will be our first. Don't care if it's a boy or girl as long as long as it doesn't turn out to be (in Surfer-X parlance) "spawn of Satan". I am determined NOT to raise an uber-materialistic, self-absorbed, consumption-gorged mall rat if it kills me.

I think many housing bulls are underestimating the speculative nature of the boom because:

1) they somehow do not know many speculators
2) they do not want to admit any facts that would suggest a severe housing correction

(not accusing anyone)

Or the Koolaid could also be laced with Potassium Cyanide, like the Jim Jones Guyana temple many years ago.

Better yet, the koolaid contains fugu (puffer fish) prepared by an unlicensed chef. The poison in this fish is 1250 times more potent than cyanide. ;)

If you can survive over-enthusiastic grandparents who buy everything in sight, then you’ll stand a chance.

The grandparents aren't what worry me, SQT --it's Uncle Bull$hitter!! :lol:

Then half of Mexico, India, China, and every other friggin’ third-worlder moved and have have been busily doing their best to remodel the place like their own beloved home, I have literally, not figuratively, woken up, opened my door, and been greeted by a Chinese mother and her 9 year old son, son with pants around ankles taking a nice piss right in front of my place.

I think it has more to do with class than race. I guess this is one major problem in Californian apartment living. Apartment renters as a group is not a particularly "classy" one. It may help if you live in a "Yuppie" building, but you will have to deal with another type of attitude.

Hmmm... $120K for a Gen-Xer (who lacked the educational grants, easy money, cheap housing & other Boomer perks) sounds pretty good compared to most Americans:

http://money.cnn.com/2005/12/16/pf/savings_study/
Almost 60 percent of American adults do not have an individual retirement account or own any investment product such as stocks or bonds, according to a study published Friday.

Have you tried to figure out how much it would cost you to send the kids to college?

College can be "self-financed". ;) There are many scholarships and jobs available for students. However, do not expect to be able to graduate in 4 years.

How about retirement (especially if you don’t even own a house)?

In the long run we are all dead. :)

Retirement depends more on rate-of-return than contribution. Investment is the key. Saving alone is not enough especially if you anticipate high level of inflation.

Homeownership, at this point in time, turns you into a survivalist.

Only if you do survive. :)

Well, you have to admit that it’s hard to catch this asset when it’s not “overvalued”. When was the last time it was “rather affordable”?

It was affordable back in 1999-2000, even during the height of the tech bubble. I remember the equivalent cap-rates of condos were much better than long term bond yield.

owner is in the RE biz, rents out room for literal same price as a commercial apt complex. these people are high if they think they will get these prices.

Need-based pricing.

There’s nothing special about my plumber and contractor. Try asking the ones you use one day how much they make. You might be surprised.

I have a friend who used to do some contracting work. He said it is not as lucrative as it looks. He is not doing that any more because it does not worth it.

Those that understand interest, earn it. THose that don’t, pay it.

This says it all.

Those that understand interest, earn it. Those that don’t, pay it. That sums up our homedebtor sheeple.

Well said. This should be tattooed on the forehead of every sub-prime homedebtor who ends up turning in the keys to the bank (or REIT, Mutual fund, Chinese bank, whatever).

What??? You must be kidding. The housing market here was absolutely nuts at the height of the tech bubble. You had to bake a cake and grovel on the ground for a seller to even spit in your direction. People were bidding up prices like crazy. Yes, prices are even higher now, but they were very high back then as well.

Not really. Condos that could be rented for $2000 a month were usually under $450k. That translates to a P/E of less than 20. Not cheap. But acceptable.

Not really. Condos that could be rented for $2000 a month were usually under $450k. That translates to a P/E of less than 20. Not cheap. But acceptable.

Condos that can be rented for $2000 a month nowadays are usually above $750k.

Yes, prices are even higher now, but they were very high back then as well.

Not even close, Face. The median CA home price back in 1999 was $217,510, or roughly 4-5X median household incomes. In October 2005 (latest figures) it's $538,770, or more than 11X median incomes.

CAR historic stats 1968-2004:
http://www.realestateabc.com/graphs/calmedian.htm

CAR stats today:
http://www.car.org/index.php?id=MzE3ODY=

Look at the hospital situation and you will really see where this is a big problem on people that are not here legally. They all go to the emergency room for a routine cold. Many hospitals have closed emergency rooms because of this.

The society has become too tolerant on illegal immigration. For instance, anyone who knowingly hires illegal aliens should face jail time.

Interest is your companion every moment of every day. It never goes on vacation. It never gets sick. It works 24 hrs a day, 7 days a week, year in and year out. It will choke out those can can not get out from under its indebtedness.

Make sure you look at real interest (net interest after inflation) though.

Wow can't keep up w/this blog especially working 14 hrs/day so I can get it all back in one lump sum known as holiday shutdown...LOL working all this overtime is like a forced savings of vacation time...sort of like traditional POV of home mortgage payment. LOL how's that for housing tie in.

Anyways I glimpsed, w/out reading much at all, that HARM's pregnant...CONGRATULATIONS on the expectation of your mini-bubblehead!

I don't mind discussing race as long as there's a point with evidence to back it up, but I really don't want this thread to go off on yet another racial tangent. Look back on how unhelpful/unwelcome the Hun/Nazi thing was.

Let's just say that California (and the rest of the country) has a piss-poor immigration system. This system isn't likely to change soon for a variety of reasons (mostly entrenched economic interests) and that this is contributing to many of this state's ills and school/hospital overcrowding. Aside from that, who cares what race you are if you're willing to assimilate, respect this country's laws and become an American citizen?