2020 Jun 27, 1:33pm
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It would be just lovely if it all fell flat as a pancake two to three months before actual elections. Deep State FAIL! Bring on ACT IV, which will need to be a false flag whopper or assassination of major proportions, so it might get quite a bit uglier before November.
Axiom721 hrsYou cannot predict change in death rate without knowing the age of the new cases. If they are under 75, there will be no uptick in deaths. If they are asymptomatic with a positive antibody test, no uptick in deaths.Just simple conditional probability. But people don't like math so more hysteria.Said another way - you CANNOT predict future deaths with CONFIRMED CASE statistics if you don't adjust for (1) age; (2) age; (3) age; (4) in nursing home; (5) # of comorbidities.A case on a person under 75 with no comorbids is 0.1% chance of death.