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gold & silver prices


               
2022 Oct 16, 12:14pm   9,034 views  126 comments

by Hircus   follow (1)  

Why are gold & silver prices trending down this past half year? My simplistic understanding makes me think their value should rise during times of inflation and uncertainty. Maybe they spiked at the begginning of the year due to the war, and fears have allayed since then?



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120   Onvacation   2025 Dec 9, 7:58am  

Silver broke $60 an ounce today.
121   AD   2025 Dec 9, 3:25pm  

Onvacation says

Silver broke $60 an ounce today.


I wonder who is buying up silver, and if it is the younger generation who have non traditional ways of investing. Central banks in Russia and Saudi Arabia have been buying a lot of silver this year.

Silver prices have surged in 2025 mainly because of tight supply, strong investor demand, and expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts. The metal has doubled in value this year.

Key Drivers Behind Silver’s Rise in 2025
• Structural Supply Deficit
• The silver market is in its fifth consecutive year of deficit, with a shortfall of about 95 million ounces in 2025.
• Mine production has been declining for a decade, especially in Central and South America, due to closures and resource depletion.
• Stockpiles at the Shanghai Futures Exchange fell to their lowest since 2015, intensifying scarcity.
• Investor Demand & Safe-Haven Appeal
• Economic uncertainty, trade tensions, and inflation concerns have driven investors toward silver as a hedge against currency devaluation.
• Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are expected to hit record holdings next year, amplifying demand.
• A “silver squeeze” in October highlighted the lack of available physical metal, pushing prices sharply higher.
• Federal Reserve Policy Expectations
• Anticipation of rate cuts by the Fed has boosted demand for precious metals, since lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like silver.
• Investors are betting on a more dovish Fed stance, which supports silver alongside gold.
• Industrial Demand
• Silver is critical for solar panels, electric vehicles, semiconductors, and AI components.
• China’s surge in solar installations has further tightened supply.
• Even with slight declines in some industrial sectors, the green energy transition keeps silver demand elevated.
122   Onvacation   2025 Dec 9, 5:29pm  

AD says


• Industrial Demand

I think industrial demand is the key driver of the recent silver price spike.

Traditionally silver and gold were used for money, jewelry, or was just hoarded because it is valuable and represented all of the labor it took to mine and refine it. Precious metals have been melted and reformed for millennia. For the most part they were not lost just changed forms.

Gold is like that. it gets melted and formed into new jewelry, coins, and bars. Even the tiny amounts (cumulatively not tiny) used in electronics are worth recovering because of gold's high value. Gold accumulates.

Silver gets used. It is the most reflective and conductive of the metals. it doesn't corrode and has antimicrobial properties. It has countless industrial uses in addition to it's "Money" value. The cost of recycling it often far exceeds it's market value. Silver gets used up.

There is plenty of silver and gold in the world if you want to invest the capitol and labor to get it.
123   HeadSet   2025 Dec 9, 6:27pm  

Onvacation says

Silver gets used.

One of the biggest uses of silver was film photography. The introduction of digital cameras did affect silver prices for a while.
124   Patrick   2025 Dec 9, 9:17pm  

The only certainty is that the dollar will go to zero because the Federal Reserve exists.

This means that silver will go to infinity in dollar terms. But silver will still be worth about the same it always was worth. An ounce of silver will buy a meal in a decent restaurant.

It's an excellent store of value. Doesn't really go up or down. That's why we should use it for money once again.
125   AD   2025 Dec 9, 9:53pm  



126   AD   2025 Dec 9, 9:53pm  

yet, AI states this


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