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Over 50% are mail in ballots/early vote? Wtf, this has to stop
MASSIVE difference. Denver in 2008 was clean and okay. It wasn't my bag, but it seemed clean and serene. Denver in 2017-2018 had homeless people up the ass, filth on the streets, etc.
The AZ vote was stuck at 54%. It just jumped to 66%, they dumped 12% of the total vote in the past half hour.
It's overwhelmingly going to Lake and Masters:
Of the 54,000 votes from Maricopa they finally posted, 70% going to Republicans. And vote split my ass, the totals are only 1-2% variant between all the Offices, State or National or Local by party. Which should make you suspect Georgia big league.
you can't beat "something" with "nothing"
thoughts on the "red ripple" and american tribal politics
i know a lot of people were expecting a “red wave” but as i had been cautioning, that’s A LOT harder than it looks and despite massive and widespread anger at team donkey over the economy, inflation, covid, crime, schools, and 30 other things, in the end there is an old political adage that generally dominates:
“you can’t beat something with nothing.”
and with a few notable exceptions, the GOP pretty much ran “nothing” and this matters because US politics is mostly about inertia and “nothing goes nowhere.”
on the order of 80% of americans vote a “straight” party ticket of either all blue or all red.
it’s far less about “candidate” than about “team and about tribe” and to move people off their spot requires vast impetus.
you are not asking them to pick you.
you are asking them to change families.
you need a seriously compelling offer to get people to split from their party. the systemic structure and the societal mindset vastly favors staying put and to get the rock moving is a herculean undertaking.
in most cases, the characters are less important than one would think.
with a few notable exceptions (like ron desantis or rand paul or kari lake) the GOP did not really stand for much in any high profile or cohesive sense. they did not state as a simple positive “this is who we are, this is what we will stand for, and this is what we will do.”
changing teams requires a reason to join the new team.
and that was mostly absent.
there was no solution.
there was no dream into which to buy.
there was oz and walker blowing easy pick ups (though the latter may get a run off) in an environment where 75% of the country thinks it’s going in the wrong direction.
just agreeing with voters that “this is not going well” will not make them follow a candidate, much less leave their political family for a new one.
voters desperately wanted to get on board with a plan. but there was no plan.
there was the party of mitch fricking mcconnell who is about as inspiring as a bag of wet paper towels and vague hand waving from leadership.
my advice to team elephant is simple:
blaming "the system" or "mail in" misses the point.
people voted for courage, vision, and character.
go find some or get used to losing.
the absolute red rout in florida is telling. districts that NEVER go red went red because there was a leader. there was a vision. and there was a brave guy who stood tall and faced down the whole rest of the country and the federal government along with it to protect the rights of floridians.
there was confidence, swagger, and stature.
there was character.
and the people fricking love him for it. he flipped the “straight tickets” past crimson and into outright ruby and everyone got to come along, house, senate, and dogcatcher. ...
the gingrich congress was that wild rarity: real GOP congressional leadership with an actual plan that could be stated as a positive and taken to the american people as achievable agenda.
it was a doable program of vision, courage, and change.
and people will get behind that.
they drove a red wave in the face of the 2 bad years that began the clinton presidency by running on fiscal responsibility, freedom, and smaller government.
they drove this by taking it past hand waving and “ideas and ideals campaigning” by putting it all on paper as a cohesive agenda, making simple, explicit promises, and writing all the bills to be submitted, and making them available for inspection.
then they stood up, signed it, and promised, if elected, to run this exact playbook.
how, in the post covid world, this opportunity to stand up for balanced budgets, personal freedom, liberty not lockdown, and school choice not “schools choose what’s best for you” went begging simply baffles me.
I thought 43 was odd too. Kari made a post after 4AM that looks promising.
We still cannot figure out fucking elections? Seriously?
Looks like Patrick and I posted the same shit.
Sure, it’s easy to scapegoat Donald Trump for all of the bad showings. But who is actually excited to elevate Mitch McConnell and Kevin McCarthy into positions of power? What exactly is the GOP agenda, other than to slow down the Biden Administration agenda?
AmericanKulak says
MASSIVE difference. Denver in 2008 was clean and okay. It wasn't my bag, but it seemed clean and serene. Denver in 2017-2018 had homeless people up the ass, filth on the streets, etc.
I think it was the first legal pot state if I recall correctly. The only one in the country.
Still no movement in AZ? WTF
Shit, like I mentioned elsewhere, I just realized that they never asked me for ID.
All hail pussy hat voters, noble gynopatriots of the Soy Republic and Karentocracy.
The demographic that consistently vote for tyranny over any other?
College-educated women.
The new election theft cover to emerge in the past twenty-four hours?
Baby killing.
https://youtu.be/r8FgjdbPaEA
It's litteraly Idiocracy movie.
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Voting in person should also let you know if someone else already voted in your name.
All 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the Senate will be contested.