patrick.net

https://naomiwolf.substack.com/p/proposed-the-optional-end-to-the

For those damn machines’ inner workings are still outside the reach of observers. You can’t see an algorithm when you are watching a dropbox. The algorithms are not being posted. The code that made the algorithms is not being posted. Electronic voting is still utterly un-transparent, and vulnerable to abuse, no matter how many people are standing guard outside the polling places.

mell says

But a lot of old cat harridans are voting blue, I think it's middle aged womyn who vote anti-left mostly. In our commiefornia community all cat harridans vote blue, there are more red voters mongs younger womynz, 30-50 maybe. On another note I will lean out and say Laxalt will win. It will be a close shitshow again for sure.

Disagree.

First, too much is maid of Married Women, 80% of marriages will end, and most of those divorced women end up voting Democrat, esp after their rush of being single peters out when they realize 45 year old men aren't going to kiss their ass like they got before they were married as younger women.

We know that unmarried women - who are the majority of women - in the 30-50 age range are the Democrat's most hardcore supporters.

Yes, there are divorced moms who vote MAGA. But most aren't.

Looks like Warnock pulling ahead now, disappointing. However if Walker keeps over 48,5% he should win with the runoff with the Libertarian 2%. PA is rough, cannot believe they fixed this

PA is chock full of RINOs. Chock full, at the State Level. Plus the Governor and SoS are hardcore Leftists.

Still 0% reporting in Nevada.

AmericanKulak says

PA is chock full of RINOs. Chock full, at the State Level. Plus the Governor and SoS are hardcore Leftists.

I'm saying Laxalt will win NV, AL will obviously go red (though may be RINO red), AZ needs to win, then the Walker runoff will be the 51st seat.

Here's an interesting question.

It's not 1980 or 1990 anymore. People don't split votes like they used to.

How is KEMP beating Abrams by nearly 10%, but WALKER is once again slightly behind Warnock?

Unpopular answer: Kemp is rewarded for holding the line in 2020 against Trump. But the steal machine is being employed against Walker.

AmericanKulak says

Here's an interesting question.

It's not 1980 or 1990 anymore. People don't split votes like they used to.

How is KEMP beating Abrams by nearly 10%, but WALKER is once again slightly behind Warnock?

Unpopular answer: Kemp is rewarded for holding the line in 2020 against Trump. But the steal machine is being employed against Walker.

Very possible, I'm also worried about AZ Masters. I think Lake will clinch it. PA is just incredible, esp. after the debate.

Remember some of you guys talking about CA flipping lol lost cause.

Faux called PA for leftoids, it's now down to the wire. If Masters can't win it's over in the senate

McCarthy and definitely McConnell have to go.

90%+ of GOP funding and strategy is NOT in Trump's hands. It's in their hands, and this fuck up is their fault.

They and the media and what little is left of RINO media is going to blame Trump for this Red Trickle, regardless of what happens in NV, AZ, and a few interesting races elsewhere (some interesting ones in NYS, MI, WI, etc not settled yet).

AmericanKulak says

McCarthy and definitely McConnell have to go.

90%+ of GOP funding and strategy is NOT in Trump's hands. It's in their hands, and this fuck up is their fault.

They and the media and what little is left of RINO media is going to blame Trump for this Red Trickle, regardless of what happens in NV, AZ, and a few interesting races elsewhere (some interesting ones in NYS, MI, WI, etc not settled yet).

I'm calling it a loss now. AZ may be lost, possibly on both, senate and governor though Kari Lake may pull it off, Laxalt will win NV. Say what you want about Rove, but he is mostly dead on. Best We will do is keep status quo in Senate, and, by a miracle, we will win AZ and the GA runoff. The fix-was-in-all-along crowd may be right again. House will go red though, decisively so.

They are rushing the PA Senate Race but slow walking Arizona to give a steal plausibility.

There are still half the ballots out for Arizona, all of the day-of votes and these should lean strongly for Lake and Masters.

Nevada is the iffy one.

Colorado is now a lost state as well. They are salivating at getting rid of Boebert.

Georgia makes no sense unless we apply the "Kemp Reward for ignoring the Steal; Walker getting the full Steal" hypothesis.

But the steal is still very much a thing.

AmericanKulak says

They are rushing the PA Senate Race but slow walking Arizona to give a steal plausibility.

There are still half the ballots out for Arizona, all of the day-of votes and these should lean strongly for Lake and Masters.

Nevada is the iffy one.

Colorado is now a lost state as well. They are salivating at getting rid of Boebert.

Georgia makes no sense unless we apply the "Kemp Reward for ignoring the Steal; Walker getting the full Steal" hypothesis.

But the steal is still very much a thing.

CO is already worse than the SF bay area in their city areas. CO will be completely wrecked by leftoids beyond recognition, better to be in rural CA now.

I went to Denver in 2008 and again in 2017 or 2018.

MASSIVE difference. Denver in 2008 was clean and okay. It wasn't my bag, but it seemed clean and serene. Denver in 2017-2018 had homeless people up the ass, filth on the streets, etc.

Also, to add to the list of Dem Atrocities, they are holding back Suffolk - Long Island votes in a warehouse according to Bannon. Suffolk has millions and is one of the most reliably republican counties in the Country, not just in NYS. Looks like all 4 Long Island CDs are going Red.

AmericanKulak says

I went to Denver in 2008 and again in 2017 or 2018.

MASSIVE difference. Denver in 2008 was clean and okay. It wasn't my bag, but it seemed okay. Denver in 2017-2018 had homeless people up the ass, filth on the streets, etc.

Also, to add to the list of Dem Atrocities, they are holding back Suffolk votes in a warehouse according to Bannon. Suffolk has millions and is one of the most reliably republican counties in the Country, not just in NYS.

Denver is fucked. What's going on in AZ, they went home again? Same for NV

sounds like John McCain was condemned by Rep in AZ where Dems took advantage of him as part of Democratic party. (heard on AM740 kcbs)

Consider that Arizona has counted almost none of the DAY OF vote, now 2AM EST/11PM PST and the polls closed hours ago.

This didn't happen in the paper days.

AmericanKulak says

Consider that Arizona has counted almost none of the DAY OF vote, now 2AM EST/11PM PST and the polls closed hours ago.

Over 50% are mail in ballots/early vote? Wtf, this has to stop

I'm really hoping this election fraud can circulate a bit on twitter and make more people wake up to it.

Am I dreaming that a trump or a desantis might make election reform a central campaign promise in 2024?

The GOP/Trump deserved to lose the GA Senate with H. Walker giving his criminal behavior. It was a good thing Kemp won though.

Question still is, if they break the fraud overnight in their usual obvious and arrogant way, are we headed for the military Rubicon day of judgment? There can be no other solution, and without a solution we are fooked.

mell says

Over 50% are mail in ballots/early vote? Wtf, this has to stop

Yep.

But here's some good news, at least while it lasts. It might because there is a D spoiler in the race who will take votes from Murkowski (a big part of her family's longevity is not only their wealth and influence, but that D's crossover for her in primaries to stop real MAGA)


Chewy (that's what her name sounds like) is pretty solid MAGA, more so than Murky Murkowski.

The AZ vote was stuck at 54%. It just jumped to 66%, they dumped 12% of the total vote in the past half hour.

It's overwhelmingly going to Lake and Masters:



Of the 54,000 votes from Maricopa they finally posted, 70% going to Republicans. And vote split my ass, the totals are only 1-2% variant between all the Offices, State or National or Local by party. Which should make you suspect Georgia big league.

Laxalt will win. IF AZ goes red Georgia runoff is.the hail mary

AmericanKulak says

MASSIVE difference. Denver in 2008 was clean and okay. It wasn't my bag, but it seemed clean and serene. Denver in 2017-2018 had homeless people up the ass, filth on the streets, etc.

I think it was the first legal pot state if I recall correctly. The only one in the country. So there was an element of people that flocked there in droves. Not bad people necessarily, but not the most productive. Honestly a lot of white losers that just went there to smoke pot. And that's not to say you're a loser if you smoke, but if that's your motivation to move to a state, there's a high probability you're a loser.

I was just out there in September. At least the airport. Since I've been going almost annually since 2015 to the airport and Denver proper and the Rocky foothill towns, I get a negative vibe. I first thought I liked the airport. Now it seems drab and everything is broken. Clearly all that weed money went to the schools (eye roll).

I love Red Rock for shows, but I'll spend all the money in the world to be in the VIP section if it's offered. It's usually jam bands, but god damn at 40 the people at these shows are legit losers. And that's the problem. Not Red Rocks specifically, but ANY jam band concert I go to around election time, the people getting you to register to vote is like an army. And they're not republicans, lets put it that way.

Republicans just don't do the register to vote thing in the right locations. These are easily manipulated younger people. Not a huge fan, but you need a Crowder like person going to these events. You've got 9k minds you can change sitting in one spot and get them to register. Republicans just don't do this.

That extremely stupid woman governor in NY won. Another reason not to set foot in NY again!

AmericanKulak says

The AZ vote was stuck at 54%. It just jumped to 66%, they dumped 12% of the total vote in the past half hour.

It's overwhelmingly going to Lake and Masters:




Of the 54,000 votes from Maricopa they finally posted, 70% going to Republicans. And vote split my ass, the totals are only 1-2% variant between all the Offices, State or National or Local by party. Which should make you suspect Georgia big league.

Only 43 write ins out of almost 2M votes? Maybe those are counted slower, but I know probably 43 people that would have done a write in here in IL for our governor. Our choice was a tank of lard that removed 20 toilets to reduce his tax bill and the republican sounded like an autistic hill billy. Down state Republicans NEVER stand a chance here.

It's almost as if the Dems have figured out a way to cheat in the Republican primaries at this point. Irving and Rabine back in the spring primaries were substantially better choices over the hill billy Bailey. The prior two I mention, I think would have beat no neck fatty JB fat fuck Prickzer. Plus I know them, so probably a slight bias, but I'm pretty confident one of those two would have won. The Republicans basically need to figure out how to get the right candidates in.

I thought 43 was odd too. Kari made a post after 4AM that looks promising.

How is there no movement in AZ? WTF

NYS/Media is holding 3 elections that are Republican, including one with 99% of the vote in and a clear lead for the Republican

Also, there's a Seat in Connecticut CD 5 that is 20% more to go, but half a point in favor of the Republican.

Naturally that's the only race in CT that hasn't been called yet, ha.

I see what's happening.

They're delaying all the Republican Gains, esp. in Blue States, while creating the "Red Wave doesn't materialize" narrative. Next week, with plenty of time to cheat, lose R ballots, and manufacture D mail ins, the Republican Candidates currently winning by 0.5-2% will lose by a hair (and just outside the mandatory recount margin if it exists), and thus it will be "Plausible" they would lose.

It'll cost us half a dozen seats.

https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/you-cant-beat-something-with-nothing

you can't beat "something" with "nothing"
thoughts on the "red ripple" and american tribal politics

i know a lot of people were expecting a “red wave” but as i had been cautioning, that’s A LOT harder than it looks and despite massive and widespread anger at team donkey over the economy, inflation, covid, crime, schools, and 30 other things, in the end there is an old political adage that generally dominates:

“you can’t beat something with nothing.”
and with a few notable exceptions, the GOP pretty much ran “nothing” and this matters because US politics is mostly about inertia and “nothing goes nowhere.”

on the order of 80% of americans vote a “straight” party ticket of either all blue or all red.

it’s far less about “candidate” than about “team and about tribe” and to move people off their spot requires vast impetus.

you are not asking them to pick you.

you are asking them to change families.

you need a seriously compelling offer to get people to split from their party. the systemic structure and the societal mindset vastly favors staying put and to get the rock moving is a herculean undertaking.

in most cases, the characters are less important than one would think.



with a few notable exceptions (like ron desantis or rand paul or kari lake) the GOP did not really stand for much in any high profile or cohesive sense. they did not state as a simple positive “this is who we are, this is what we will stand for, and this is what we will do.”




changing teams requires a reason to join the new team.

and that was mostly absent.

there was no solution.

there was no dream into which to buy.

there was oz and walker blowing easy pick ups (though the latter may get a run off) in an environment where 75% of the country thinks it’s going in the wrong direction.

just agreeing with voters that “this is not going well” will not make them follow a candidate, much less leave their political family for a new one.

voters desperately wanted to get on board with a plan. but there was no plan.

there was the party of mitch fricking mcconnell who is about as inspiring as a bag of wet paper towels and vague hand waving from leadership.

my advice to team elephant is simple:

blaming "the system" or "mail in" misses the point.

people voted for courage, vision, and character.

go find some or get used to losing.

the absolute red rout in florida is telling. districts that NEVER go red went red because there was a leader. there was a vision. and there was a brave guy who stood tall and faced down the whole rest of the country and the federal government along with it to protect the rights of floridians.

there was confidence, swagger, and stature.

there was character.

and the people fricking love him for it. he flipped the “straight tickets” past crimson and into outright ruby and everyone got to come along, house, senate, and dogcatcher. ...

the gingrich congress was that wild rarity: real GOP congressional leadership with an actual plan that could be stated as a positive and taken to the american people as achievable agenda.

it was a doable program of vision, courage, and change.

and people will get behind that.

they drove a red wave in the face of the 2 bad years that began the clinton presidency by running on fiscal responsibility, freedom, and smaller government.

they drove this by taking it past hand waving and “ideas and ideals campaigning” by putting it all on paper as a cohesive agenda, making simple, explicit promises, and writing all the bills to be submitted, and making them available for inspection.

then they stood up, signed it, and promised, if elected, to run this exact playbook.




how, in the post covid world, this opportunity to stand up for balanced budgets, personal freedom, liberty not lockdown, and school choice not “schools choose what’s best for you” went begging simply baffles me.

just_passing_through says

I thought 43 was odd too. Kari made a post after 4AM that looks promising.

Makes no sense. Love him or hate him Musk makes fucking self driving cars and lands reusable rockets. We still cannot figure out fucking elections? Seriously? I think a bunch of members on this forum or a few programmers I personally know could figure out a fool proof election system. It's retarded.