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Will Inflation Beat Abortion?


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2024 Jun 22, 6:30pm   83 views  5 comments

by UkraineIsTotallyFucked   ➕follow (1)   💰tip   ignore  

Rocks Beats Scissors
Scissors Beat Paper
Paper Beats Rock

...will Inflation Beat Abortion? (It will never beat TDS)



If trips to the grocery store now make you anxious, you are hardly alone, per results of a new American Greatness poll of 600 likely voters in the battleground state of North Carolina.

That poll shows Donald Trump with a commanding +12-point lead in the presidential race there, in a multi-candidate field. The survey, conducted by North Star Opinion Research, also shows Trump up +8 points in a head-to-head matchup vs. Biden. This kind of lead compares to a 2020 victory for Trump there by just 1.4 points.

Two important takeaways jump out from this poll. First, the poll straddled the guilty verdict for Trump in his New York trial, questioning voters both before and after the decision, roughly half and half. According to the pollster, there was no discernible difference in the pre-verdict vs. post-verdict trends. Second, Trump’s lead and his most important value proposition for these voters is still clearly the economy.

Overall, by a 53-36% margin, likely voters in the Tar Heel state report that they were better off under Trump. When asked about “Bidenomics” only 14% report it works “very well,” and a whopping 45% say it works “not at all.”

Drilling down to specific items, fully 68% of North Carolina voters blame Biden for soaring food prices. According to data from Biden’s own Department of Agriculture, the monthly cost for groceries for a family of four on a “thrifty USDA plan” has soared from $675 per month when Biden took office to $975 per month now. That massive 40% increase has voters in a very bad mood and longing for the days of Trump’s economy.


https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2024/06/20/swing_state_voters_blame_biden_for_soaring_food_prices_151132.html

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1   HeadSet   2024 Jun 22, 7:09pm  

UkraineIsTotallyFucked says

Will Inflation Beat Abortion?

Notice that the Dems have already got their Republican plants (like Linsay Graham) and useful idiots loudly proclaiming a "National Abortion Ban." The goal, of course, is to frighten al those one-issue women from voting for Trump.
3   AD   2024 Jun 22, 8:29pm  

Trump up by 5% or more in at least 3 swing states (Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia). Trump is up by same amount he won in Pennsylvania (about 2.4%). I think he can win the election by just winning the same states he won in 2020 along with winning Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada and Georgia.

Trump is barely winning Michigan and Wisconsin so I would write them off as a loss to Biden given how well the Democrats cheat such as Act Blue and Bend the Arc paying AntiFa activists to harvest mail-in ballots.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/

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4   UkraineIsTotallyFucked   2024 Jun 22, 9:06pm  

AD says

Trump up by 5% or more in at least 3 swing states (Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia). Trump is up by same amount he won in Pennsylvania (about 2.4%). I think he can win the election by just winning the same states he won in 2020 along with winning Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada and Georgia.

Trump is barely winning Michigan and Wisconsin so I would write them off as a loss to Biden given how well the Democrats cheat such as Act Blue and Bend the Arc paying AntiFa activists to harvest mail-in ballots.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/

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5   WookieMan   2024 Jun 23, 6:12am  

I don't see him winning NY. But it will be closer than people thought.

Was at a graduation party for my wife's cousins kid last night. Mixed couple. So white and black sides of the family. I was not bringing up politics at a kids party but overheard talk. The black folks ain't liking Biden here in IL. At least suburban IL.

I'm not the "I have a black friend guy" but I'm the "I know a flock of blacks" guy. I do think we'll see an epic shift with black voters. Problem is they're only 13% or so of the population. I just don't know any inner city blacks, especially uneducated where the Democrats destroy every election cycle. So my anecdotal evidence could be off. Since it's a rematch, I could see blacks swinging 10 points to Trump.

I know he's polling lower in Wisconsin and Michigan, but there are cities with large black populations. I also have no faith in polling or how elections are run. So there's that.

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