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1
DemoralizerOfPanicans
2025 Dec 2, 9:06pm
DemoralizerOfPanicans
2025 Dec 2, 9:06pm
ZOMG! Record Retirements! Debunked below:
* There average is ~17 retirements by Republicans in the House in a midterm year.
* When a Republican President sits in office, it climbs to the mid 20s.
* The worst year was 2018, when over 30 Republicans retired from the House.
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* Twenty Three (23) Republican Congressmen announced they are not running again for the House in 2026.
* However, 18 of the 23 are declining to run in lieu of running for State Governor or a Senate Seat and only 5 are entirely retiring from Public Office.
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* The Senate has seen 4-5 Republican retirements in the past 5 cycles.
* Four (4) Senators announced retirement from the Senate for 2026, inc. Mitch McConnell
* There average is ~17 retirements by Republicans in the House in a midterm year.
* When a Republican President sits in office, it climbs to the mid 20s.
* The worst year was 2018, when over 30 Republicans retired from the House.
___
* Twenty Three (23) Republican Congressmen announced they are not running again for the House in 2026.
* However, 18 of the 23 are declining to run in lieu of running for State Governor or a Senate Seat and only 5 are entirely retiring from Public Office.
___
* The Senate has seen 4-5 Republican retirements in the past 5 cycles.
* Four (4) Senators announced retirement from the Senate for 2026, inc. Mitch McConnell
2
DemoralizerOfPanicans
2025 Dec 2, 9:57pm
DemoralizerOfPanicans
2025 Dec 2, 9:57pm
Matt Van Epps wins a special election by 9% on a random Tuesday in December.
Multiple reports of many Tennesseans not even knowing there WAS an election.
https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996038434084008372?s=20
Multiple reports of many Tennesseans not even knowing there WAS an election.
https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996038434084008372?s=20
The best of the realistic outcomes is that Ossoff gets turned out of Georgia, sadly that means also that Collins wins. It's unlikely Collins, if she is unseated in a primary, is replaced by a MAGA Republican who actually wins regardless of the many Left winger Maniacs in that state. However, Cornyn can and looks like will, be beat by Paxton in the Primary, so that's a MAGA pickup from GOPe.
But that's only a one-seat pickup from Dems. Two if a Michigan Miracle happens, but with a Dem Gov and big corruption, unlikely. Things can change but 12 of the 13 Dem Seats are in fairly Blue States. We will see.
Trump has a $1.4B warchest as of right now. This will go up.
Because this is a "Defensive" election in the Senate, a lot of Republican Senators are going to have to tow the line.