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Economic Predictions: 2006


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2006 Jan 9, 12:47pm   18,776 views  134 comments

by San Francisco RENTER   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

Okay folks, Happy New Year to you all and good tidings (even if you're a Republican) and yada yada yada. Let's get down to business: what do YOU think 2006 has in store for the US Economy? I know most of us see a housing slowdown as a foregone conclusion at this point, and the past 2 to 3 months of data seem like a whole lot more than just a "Holliday slowdown." But how much of a housing drop do you see, what areas of the country will lead the charge, and how will it affect GDP and our countries' overall economic health? How will the stock market fare in '06? We've already seen the beginning of the "January effect" in the stock market with a nice rally to start the year off ; how long will it last? How about the bond market, are lower prices and higher yields finally in the cards for '06? Can the American consumer continue to spend despite 6 straight months of a negative savings rate? Will the current account defecit and our addiction to cheap Asian Wal-Mart plastic crap continue?! Is gold the next bubble?! Will energy prices stay high or will we see demand erosion with an economic slowdown??!! So many issues, so many possibilities. Come on now armchair Economists, now's your chance to weigh in!

#housing

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130   empty houses   2006 Jan 15, 1:31pm  

X, et all,
I feel your pain about these 100k jobs. I deal with it every fucking day.
And I must tell you that there are some sorry sacks of shit making 100k and above. You would be surprized. I know their salary's because some have told me and others I know because of knowing their title and the salary range at my company for that position. I have seen resume's of some of the 100k employees. When I read them I sometimes feel they are underpaid at 100k. They've designed this, they have taught there, they have a patent for this and that. They have an MS from here and BS from there. They have 15 years experience. I work with these people every day and often think that they are total slackers most of the time.

These people are not unusual in my company. My company employs about 35000 employees.

I'm talking high tech jobs. I'm talking about people that survived layoffs.

I bet the average worker in Santa Clara county is NOT a high tech worker.

I've heard the average salary at my company is 60k. I dont remember where I heard that or when.

Knowing what I know, I wouldn't doubt for a minute that HA HA pulls 160k as he describes. Perhaps he might take a pay cut if he left his job and went somewhere else. I feel that way about many of my co-workers.

131   surfer-x   2006 Jan 16, 1:18am  

SJoldtimer, I make just a hair under 100K and am basically a recent graduate. However, I have multiple graduate degrees, patents etc blah blah blah. All my friends, who work at all the industries in the bay area, bio, tech, defense etc all make about 70 or so. Yes, I think there are a substantial number of over 100K folks, but these are management, or programmers/chip designers with a very specific narrow focus. The vast majority of us peons make under 100K. I don't know what Ha Ha's gripe is, my wife doesn't work, and while we can't buy a house, we have a great lifestyle.

132   surfer-x   2006 Jan 16, 4:32am  

@HaHa, I am totally in line with your opinions. The whole thing stinks, but the sheep just don't seem to get it. Borrow means you have to pay back, it isn't your money.

133   Michael Holliday   2006 Jan 16, 11:50am  

Can't

We

Just

All

Get

Along?

No...

134   Garth Farkley   2006 Jan 23, 3:49pm  

jeffolie says

the fed will "monetize debt as the lender of last resort."

What does that mean?

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