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Higher inventory in expensive neighborhoods


               
2009 Jul 24, 8:03am   2,494 views  6 comments

by P2D2   follow (0)  

While discussing in another thread I noticed some interesting thing.

While inventory decreased in non-expensive areas (where there are substantial price drop already) in last one year, it increased (or did not drop) in expensive areas. First I looked at Fremont, CA

94536: Current (124), last year (270)
94538: current (93), last year (200)
94539 (more expensive area): Current (160), last year (170)
94555: current (45), last year (113)

Just to verify, I looked at another city - Sunnyvale, CA
94085: current (36), last year (93)
94086: current (68), last year (105)
94087 (more expensive area): current (115), last year (70)
94089: current (24), last year (57)

And it very evident in price trend. Nowadays multiple "price reduced" in expensive zipcodes.

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1   P2D2   @   2009 Jul 24, 8:26am  

Some additional info about number of sale:
94539: current sale (108), last year (153)
94087: current sale (118), last year (143)

2   justme   @   2009 Jul 24, 8:36am  

Good data to see. I'm familiar with all of the above zip codes, and I have also used them to benchmark the overall state of the markets.

One observation that I have made is that the local Realtwhores have become much more aggressive about pruning/removing old listings that have expired or otherwise have not sold withing 3-6 months. In my estimation, this phenomenon accounts for nearly the entire drop in the number of listings.

A better way to see what is really going on is to see how many new houses are coming on the market each week, while also noting (as you did) that sales volume is down. That tells the story right there.

Now, in the more expensive areas the agents have not yet gotten aggressive about the pruning, partly because they are still dreaming that offers will eventually come in.

I'm certainly willing to listen to other theories, but this is what I have seen,

3   ch_tah2   @   2009 Jul 24, 8:38am  

Is that a typo for 94539? Last time I counted on my fingers, I reached 160 before I got to 170. I'm just kidding, I know what your point is.

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