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Unemployment numbers16678


               
2009 Aug 14, 3:41am   26,975 views  104 comments

by pinnacle   follow (0)  

Does anyone understand how the unemployment numbers are being calculated?

I keep reading “weekly intial unemployment claims” reports with about 500,000 people filing

claims, yet the “monthly unemployment”  numbers are only around 250,000  to 600,000.

Wouldn't 500,000 “new claims” per week translate to about 2,000,000  job losses per month?

What am I missing here?

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1   pinnacle   @   2009 Aug 14, 6:21am  

I understand how U6 is much more accurate than U3 in stating the unemployment rate, but what I am asking about is how the INITIAL UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS number shows about 500,000 new claims every single week but the MONTHLY JOB LOSSES are reported as only about the same number.
How can their be four new unemployment claims filed for each one job lost?
This gets reported all the time in the news media but nobody ever explains it.

2   ahasuerus99   @   2009 Aug 14, 7:13am  

Usually the 250,000 number comes from either continuing claims, which can be affected by people getting jobs or losing benefits from being out of work so long (at which point they no longer count as unemployed, strangely enough). The number can also come from the assumption that, of the 2,000,000 losing their jobs, 3/4s find another job and thus do not remain unemployed. At least those are my best guesses :)

3   permanent_marker   @   2009 Aug 14, 7:59am  

All I know is, stock market, which surged ahead based on some inflated earnings, now coming to face with,
- unemployment numbers
- low consumer confidence

(aka the 'real' economy indicators)

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