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Housing Bubble Pre-Flight Checklist


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2006 Apr 10, 7:44am   29,646 views  313 comments

by HARM   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

1. Congress enacts/President signs new Tax Code into law (1997) subsidizing real estate speculation? Check.

2. Cabal of arrogant Fed bankers/Washington politicians/Brokerage firms ignore (or actively encourage) massive Dot.com stock bubble? Check.

3. Aforementioned stock bubble imploding in Fed's/Pol's faces (2000)? Check.

4. Extreme Fed/Pol fear of damage to the rest of the economy by ruptured stock bubble and willingness to flood economy with ultra-cheap credit (to inflate new bubble)? Check.

5. Massive GSEs market intervention, allowing private mortgage lenders to shift default risk from themselves onto taxpayers, FCBs & institutional investors (using the magic of MBS/CMOs)? Check

6. Complete erosion of lending standards, thanks to Fed's easy credit + GSE's MBS/CMO mortgage risk transfer? Check.

7. Cabal of arrogant Realt-whores enforcing monopoly MLS, gaming the numbers and lobbying for federal protection? Check.

8. Public's unshakable faith in the impregnability of real estate ("it never goes down")? Check.

9. Public's complete lack of historical memory, understanding of credit bubbles, the Fed/GSEs, business cycles, etc.? Check.

10. China/Japan underwriting much of our toxic MBS/CMO debt, while secretly hoping we fall on our asses? Check.

11. International carry-trade spawning RE bubbles all over the globe, thanks to ultra-cheap $USD ? Check.

HOUSING BUBBLE, YOU ARE CLEARED FOR TAXI

Discuss, enjoy...
HARM

#housing

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302   Peter P   2006 Apr 11, 8:54am  

Sounds like Peter P’s been reading some forbidden literature.

I am Patrick Killelea's "Bay Area Housing Crash Continues".

303   astrid   2006 Apr 11, 8:55am  

10023. Million dollar trailers. check.

304   astrid   2006 Apr 11, 9:00am  

guys,

I'm going to post my first thread here. It'll be on post asking for thoughts on post-crash economics and job opportunities. Let me know that sounds okay.

305   Peter P   2006 Apr 11, 9:02am  

I’m going to post my first thread here. It’ll be on post asking for thoughts on post-crash economics and job opportunities. Let me know that sounds okay.

Just post it. Never ask. Anything is better than "Huh?"

306   Peter P   2006 Apr 11, 9:15am  

My daughter used to have a silly game with a crystal ball called “Ask Zandar,” perhaps we should question a crystal ball?

I have more faith in the stars.

Or perhaps a crystal ball called "Ask Zillow".

307   astrid   2006 Apr 11, 9:25am  

new thread: Business and the economy in the post bubble world

308   Allah   2006 Apr 11, 10:05am  

“homedeptor”????

Alright...So I mispelled a word..... "astrid"????

309   astrid   2006 Apr 11, 10:07am  

well, I thought you were intentionally trying to poke fun at somebody

310   FormerAptBroker   2006 Apr 11, 10:07am  

"Yes, the tweakers have presented a problem for my friend in the trailer park biz.(or mobile home parks, as he calls them)"

In commercial lending we call them "Manufactured Home Communities"...

311   surfer-x   2006 Apr 11, 10:30am  

HARM, please delete the troll, mustly let them fester. "flowergirl" anyone that posts that maggot troll gibberish, ie, mls listings from SF should be shot. As we cannot shoot them, we can only delete them.

tanks.

312   astrid   2006 Apr 11, 11:15am  

"In commercial lending we call them “Manufactured Home Communities”…"

FAB, I hope I don't come across as completely ignorant, but I'm curious what sort of interests lead to "mfgr home communities"? Given how hard it is to move the trailers around, this sort of split ownership seems like a bum deal, particularly for the trailer owners. They're placing their immobile property in a place and betting that the mfgr home community will continue to be affordable and will not be slated for more lucrative developments(which seems like an easy temptation given the low cost of preexisting infrastructure).

Are these places considerably cheaper to run compared to apartments and thus produce enough economic benefits for both the trailer owner and the trailer park owner?

313   Peter P   2006 Apr 11, 11:38am  

Are these places considerably cheaper to run compared to apartments and thus produce enough economic benefits for both the trailer owner and the trailer park owner?

We should just make apartments more appealing. Why should they even have things like "on-site laundry facilities"? I thought it is the 21st century!

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