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Bubble modeling?


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2006 May 2, 2:57pm   19,292 views  251 comments

by totoro   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

Hello,

Not sure if this has been discussed here or not, but I recently came across the following report from HBSC Global Research. It’s a pretty comprehensive analysis of the US housing market based on a model called HomePulse, which they developed and have made publicly available. I've linked the spreadsheet below also. There is so much data, buttons and knobs to play with that I haven't been able to even scratch the surface on it. I think there are some sharp minds on this forum - it would be interesting to see some discussion of this work.

HBSC Report (PDF, large)

HomePulse model (Excel)

#housing

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248   tsusiat   2006 May 4, 4:43am  

PS-

No shit you are the shit, man.

249   astrid   2006 May 4, 4:44am  

ps,

(forgive me for sounding a bit GC right here)

I do wonder about the all sacrificing parents. I think of kids as sort of the ultimate in consumable goods. There's almost zero change, especially in the middle and upper middle classes, that kids will return any investment to the parents, yet they cost a tremendous amount in time and money.

So my first question would be - are parents all brainwashed?

And my second question would be - is parenthood really be so rewarding that it's worth forgoing 20 years of nice restaurant, frequent sex, chance to ditch spouse for better model, living in an urban environment, financial security, etc etc?

:) How much do you value your child?

250   astrid   2006 May 4, 4:44am  

ps is pretty awesome, isn't he. He even knows who Frank Kingdon Ward is!

251   astrid   2006 May 4, 4:52am  

change = chance

(maybe I need drugs, pronto!)

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