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I'm Too Tired To Think


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2006 May 10, 2:11am   27,975 views  272 comments

by SQT15   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

I have come to the conclusion that it is impossible to suitably follow up on the last thread posted by Randy.

I do not have the economic chops to try, so I won't even attempt to fake it.

Besides, after reading this blog for more than a year, my head is swimming in all the stats, facts and predictions everyone has made. I can't decide what direction to go to next, and I'm too tired to try. Is that bad?

Besides, if we can post 401 comments on the "Duh" thread, we can talk about anything, can't we?

« First        Comments 236 - 272 of 272        Search these comments

236   LILLL   2006 May 11, 8:23am  

PeterP.
There's a book my son read about the border to Mexico in the future.It's called 'House of the Scorpion'. Essentially the land at the border is renamed Aztlan and becomes a farmland to grow opium poppies. Anybody trying to get through is turned into an ejit(a robotized worker) Of course, by that time, most are trying to escape INTO Mexico! :)

237   astrid   2006 May 11, 8:25am  

Ha!

Invest in copper cookware.

238   Peter P   2006 May 11, 8:31am  

That is why I like Copper. It’s war material.

WW3 "strategic" materials tend to be heavier than lead.

239   Peter P   2006 May 11, 8:32am  

And I like war.

Explain.

240   astrid   2006 May 11, 8:34am  

"The world will be flooded with oil within a year."

Yes, we'll be like those poor Valdez seabirds and otters.

241   requiem   2006 May 11, 8:38am  

Astrid: palladium, in the oldest form, comes from the ancient greek, as in a statue of someone named Pallas.

Amnesty with a wall?
I know people scream about it, but like it or not you don't make drastic changes to the workforce without having to paying for it. Legalize the lot, work out a distribution schedule, and put up a wall. Actually, make it cheaper/faster/safer to come legally and the coyotes will go out of business.

WRT tracking, the Pen Register Act does provide some restrictions on the ability of law enforcement to gain access to such records. However, since the information does not seem to be constitutionally protected, it seems to be OK if the telecom companies are willing to provide it. This may create liability issues for those companies, of course.

Aside from any interesting technical aspects, I think this is a clear case of the divide between morality and law. Hopefully it will end once the NSA takes out the linch-pin of the terrorist communications by killing Kevin Bacon.

242   astrid   2006 May 11, 8:45am  

requiem,

They'll also have to kill Lois Weisberg and many other actors. Sadly, Kevin Bacon is #668 in connectiveness, according to IMDB stats.

http://www.gladwell.com/1999/1999_01_11_a_weisberg.htm

243   Randy H   2006 May 11, 8:48am  

Conor,

You appear to be sophisticated enough to employ more modern "post-diversification" diversification models to your holdings. You seem to wish to express sentiment, so I suggest you look at the Black-Litterman model. Here is a starter resource. I have others if you're serious about it. It's tough to find any tools that do it (at least free ones), but you can do it yourself in Excel if you can handle linear programming.

At the minimum, BL will give you an idea about just how much exposure you are taking as a result of your sentiment.

244   Garth Farkley   2006 May 11, 8:50am  

Peter P asked GC to explain his statement: "I like war."

GC replied:

Explain? The sentence speaks for itself.

Well, yes, GC. The sentence does speak for itself. One gathers that you like war.

But the sentence doesn't explain itself. What would possess you to say such a thing? Is it a joke?

I don't get it.

245   Garth Farkley   2006 May 11, 9:01am  

GC,

I once read that Marine DI's tell their recruits to "pray for war." If you saw the movie Jarhead you may understand. Many young soldiers, having trained so very hard to become truly professional warriors, have a strong drive to practice their professions. That was my experience in the Army.

As I recall General Lee once said "It is a good thing that War is so terrible, else we should love it too much." Of course, Lee was no stranger to butchery, no more so than Grant and Sherman. Lee's finest hour IMHO was at Appomatox. He decided to surrender against the urgings of many young Rebel officers to fall back into a state of perpetual guerrilla warfare.

246   Garth Farkley   2006 May 11, 9:04am  

GC said:

Besides, when American soldiers go out to kill people and rape girls at their military bases, nobody in this country can claim innocence. Every single one is a cog in this giant machine.

Have you lost your mind?

247   Randy H   2006 May 11, 9:05am  

GC,

You have crossed the line in my opinion as a bona fide Troll. You are, at this point, merely inciting debate for the thrill of it without merit. It's not the most recent statement in isolation, but the pattern of similar incidents over the past couple of days which lead me to this conclusion.

I seldom call anyone a Troll, nor do I cast that label lightly. You are only the second Troll I have fingered. I do not consider Scott C (who's long since disappeared) a Troll, nor do I consider Bap33 or DS Trolls. They make political or controversial statements because they believe in them or the ideals they stand for, and they are willing to debate and defend their perspectives.

Your statements are meritless and purposefully inflammatory.

From Wiki on Internet Trolls:


# Politically contentious messages: "Everyone knows that all Republicans/Democrats are evil."
# Posting politically sensitive images in inappropriate places.
# Feigning innocence, after a flamewar ensues.

Your "images" have been narrative in nature, but nonetheless you are simply stirring up shit for the sake of stirring up shit.

This isn't my thread, but I'll most probably zap you from any I author subsequently. I encourage other authors to at least think about doing this as well.

--

GS said:

I like war.

Others asked

[explain yourself please]

GS said:

No amount of explanation will do justice to me. Of course I like war if (1) I can profit from it and (2) I won’t get harmed. But, of course, it can also be interpreted as a joke with tears — no, not the croc kind — because I know the world is sliding towards a major armed conflict and I will be killed one way or another.

Next GS Will:

Feign innocence.

248   Randy H   2006 May 11, 9:08am  

SQT,

quid erat demonstratum

roughly translated: time to hit the delete button, IMHO.

249   requiem   2006 May 11, 9:17am  

SQT, if you wouldn't mind removing my prior posting, it would be appreciated. I don't think it's well suited to the current thread without additional addenda.

250   HARM   2006 May 11, 9:18am  

I was once in uranium. But I sold last year. U has gone up more, I think 100% more. But I think it’s going to crash, ‘cuz all this talk of building nucleur power plants is pure garbage planning.

I hope it crashes. Then I can build that depleted uranium-reinforced straw-bale house I've always wanted. It'll have an unbeatable energy coefficient, plus be able to repel tank rounds. Who could ask for more?

251   LILLL   2006 May 11, 9:20am  

I like both DS and Bap
I would never throw them under the bus...or group them with GC.
DS is the prince of smilies..IMO!

252   Randy H   2006 May 11, 9:25am  

I like DS also, and didn't mean to cast aspersions on him or the others with my statement. I was more meaning to say that I don't consider them Trolls even though others--usually of opposite political sensibilities--have labeled them so.

In fact, I happen to think DS' perspective needs a wider airing than it tends to get these days, which is why I'm a fan or the new, shorter and concise, DS comment style.

253   surfer-x   2006 May 11, 9:27am  

The recent troll is same ole crap, shit coming out of the mouth, I say wipe and flush.

254   Randy H   2006 May 11, 9:28am  

SQT,

Thanks for the moderation.

255   LILLL   2006 May 11, 9:29am  

Right
You didn't lump him in... they were already lumped...someone else did last night.
You seem to have impeccable manners, in fact. :)
Controversy is good...differing opinions are good...
Trollish behavior undermines any valid discussions here.

256   LILLL   2006 May 11, 9:31am  

X
But he seems to be a floater...no matter how hard you flush...

257   OO   2006 May 11, 9:31am  

DS is just very typical aussie. They are kind-hearted, very inquisitive, and sometimes a bit off the beaten path. I don't mind DS at all.

Actually I don't mind SJ_Jim for his racist comment either, because I would rather hear honest racist opinion online and understand why they think so than encountering PC facade off the line. As human beings, we cannot overcome our visual bias, and skin color is certainly something that forms a natural affiliation. SJ_Jim is kind of what-you-see-is-what-you-get type of person. Even if Bap33 comes off as borderline racist, I think I can understand his perspective, and I don't think his perspective necessarily applies to me particularly if we meet face to face.

As long as one is able to explain his position, remains open-minded to other alternatives, and be reasonable, he should be entitled to his own opinion. People who are pervert just fall into a different category.

258   Randy H   2006 May 11, 9:32am  

What we need is a good Surfer-X thread to close off this one then. X is very handy with the Troll-B-Gone spray.

259   LILLL   2006 May 11, 9:35am  

OO
This site can be like the movie' Crash '...Racism is a topic we all need to understand better...even if we find it in ourselves..
How does it relate to housing?
I'm sure it does...

260   LILLL   2006 May 11, 9:35am  

Is it Newsfreak that has red hair?
Soooorrryyy!

261   LILLL   2006 May 11, 9:39am  

Yes, I believe auburn is the way she described her hair.

262   astrid   2006 May 11, 9:40am  

Owneroccupier,

SJ_Jim is most certainly not a racist! You may have confused him with someone else.

263   OO   2006 May 11, 9:46am  

LILLL,

I am never supportive of the approach to be hush hush about racism. If people feel the way they feel, let them speak, and then the group that is being discriminated against can have a better way of understanding it, and overcoming it through education or interaction rather than just shutting everyone up.

We as human beings draw generalization all the time, how can we not with other races and cultures? Some of the discrimination is targeted towards some rather backward and indeed inferior elements of a culture that is more often than not found in developing countries, eg. lack of hygiene. And most of the racism is based on lack of understanding, or lack of tolerance for a different set of environments which shaped these seemingly "odd" values.

I have dealt with some rednecks, and to be frank, I don't find them to be racist because their seeming racist comments are just a sign of ignorance. If you take the time to explain things to them, they become rather intrigued and understanding. The most racist type are actually those who have made up their mind about certain things *after extensive interaction* and there is absolutely no way you can do about how they judge a person.

After all, whether one likes it or not, we have to learn about how to live with different people, it's just not a choice.

264   tsusiat   2006 May 11, 9:49am  

Owner Occupier -

your comments on racism were very refreshing. As a caucasian who has lived in Asia, or Vancouver for that matter, I can assure you that the most likely aggregation of individuals is based on similar cultural experiences and institutions - when there is no common ground there, people fall back on religion, when there is no common ground there, people fall back on their own socio-economic origins, or skin colour.

This is why I can get along with a banana who might be shunned by his own ethnic peer group as a "Canadian", as opposed to an asian. I know some second generation immigrants, and while they are still in a transformative stage, they all joke and speak in Chinglish, too.

Even though facial features are different, the facial expressions of the banana and myself are understandable to each other. Not so the facial expressions of the FOB Beijing immigrant and myself - maybe because the banana is thinking in english, quite possibly, while his ehtnic compatriot is still thinking in Mandarin.

That's why in America, you could have "racism" as an issue, while in Ireland, it would be all be about religion and cultural affiliation, even though ethnically, the differences between the groups in question visually would be too subtle for most "whites" to understand.

There is some pretty convincing research showing that the whole concept of "black" and "white" is completely artificial anyway.

My grandfather certainly knew the difference between the "blacK" irish and the orange. He was completely racist about it, even in his 90s.

Could a typical american pick that out in a line-up? I doubt it.

265   requiem   2006 May 11, 9:51am  

In an attempt to rerail the thread, has anyone yet tried plugging "housing bubble" into Google Trends?

http://www.google.com/trends?q=housing+bubble&ctab=0&date=all&geo=all

(Thinking idle thoughts towards how this might be applied to other commodities, in terms of where the "dumb money" is going.)

266   surfer-x   2006 May 11, 10:04am  

This is pure manipulation. You think you can mind control others? Fucking puke. Go and live your sissy midde-class life.

Hmmm, how would your corporate masters feel about your profane comments?

What was that address to send complaints? Shouldn't be so abusive whilst posting from Bill's house.

OrgName: Microsoft Corp
OrgID: MSFT
Address: One Microsoft Way
City: Redmond
StateProv: WA
PostalCode: 98052
Country: US

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CIDR: 131.107.0.0/16
NetName: MICROSOFT
NetHandle: NET-131-107-0-0-1
Parent: NET-131-0-0-0-0
NetType: Direct Assignment
NameServer: NS1.MSFT.NET
NameServer: NS5.MSFT.NET
NameServer: NS2.MSFT.NET
NameServer: NS3.MSFT.NET
NameServer: NS4.MSFT.NET
Comment:
RegDate: 1988-11-11
Updated: 2004-12-09

RTechHandle: ZM39-ARIN
RTechName: Microsoft
RTechPhone: +1-425-882-8080
RTechEmail: noc@microsoft.com

OrgAbuseHandle: HOTMA-ARIN
OrgAbuseName: Hotmail Abuse
OrgAbusePhone: +1-425-882-8080
OrgAbuseEmail: abuse@hotmail.com

OrgAbuseHandle: MSNAB-ARIN
OrgAbuseName: MSN ABUSE
OrgAbusePhone: +1-425-882-8080
OrgAbuseEmail: abuse@msn.com

OrgAbuseHandle: ABUSE231-ARIN
OrgAbuseName: Abuse
OrgAbusePhone: +1-425-882-8080
OrgAbuseEmail: abuse@microsoft.com

OrgNOCHandle: ZM23-ARIN
OrgNOCName: Microsoft Corporation
OrgNOCPhone: +1-425-882-8080
OrgNOCEmail: noc@microsoft.com

OrgTechHandle: MSFTP-ARIN
OrgTechName: MSFT-POC
OrgTechPhone: +1-425-882-8080
OrgTechEmail: iprrms@microsoft.com

267   astrid   2006 May 11, 10:11am  

SP,

Sticks and stone are for WW5. WW4 will be fought with knives and arrows.

268   Peter P   2006 May 11, 10:59am  

WW4 will be fought with knives and arrows.

Ceramic?

269   astrid   2006 May 11, 11:25am  

Whatever is in your kitchen drawer. Get a shovel too. My old history teacher said it is very good for fast decapitations.

270   astrid   2006 May 12, 3:34pm  

Bap33,

I'm a self identified liberal, though I disagree with the Democratic party on many things. You say you hate liberals and have said a lot of ad hominem stuff about how awful liberals are. It's hard not to take offense after the 100th time of reading the stuff, it is also frustrating that you're unwilling to contemplate evidence of the Bush administration's failure to deliver for hard working people like you. If I've misjudged you, I apologize and I hope we can speak on more convivial terms.

I assume you come here to blow off some steam, however, keep in mind that your words are in fact quite hurtful and offensive to many who blog and lurk here. You really shouldn't be surprised that there could be reactions to your blowing off steam statements.

Please note that I have occasionally agreed with you in the past and have had my mind changed by your arguments at least once. I'm not close minded or certain that I'm right, but I'm much better persuaded by fact based arguments. The thing is, if you're willing to speak to me as a person, then I'm more than happy to speak to you as a person. Constructive discussions and respectful disagreements are much more likely to breed respect.

And I'm not a guy, unless I am indeed a gay man trapped in a female body.

271   astrid   2006 May 12, 6:09pm  

Bap33,

Anyways, truce. I'm touched by your chivalry and you're right, there is much more to life than the web (though my life right now doesn't really feel like it).

I guess my interest in knives and economics threw you off :)

272   JohnnySmoke   2006 May 15, 1:52am  

" Uh, so how bout those White Sox heh? "

Whadda yiz wanna know about em?

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