patrick.net

RTBA and Joe,
What, you don't like the sunshine? You two are not worthy to put yourselves into indentured servitude in order to "own" a glorified mobile home/crappy stucco s#%tbox, ie, "living the California lifestyle." Why don't you move out of the state and leave that privelege to us "natives?"

RTBA,
Check out Mt. Hood - the skiing's not bad there. Timberline Lodge is beautiful.

The issue that I have with Mrs. DinOR sounds similar. We have so few nice days from start to finish and they are precious to me but she's content milling about at Target or where ever. How much could it have changed in a week? Secondly, I must admit that we have AT LEAST 9 months of "perfect" shopping weather here in Oregon! You'd think she'd have her fill of that with a 3 to 1 ratio advantage wouldn't you? She's pretty sneaky about it too.

"I just have one thing at one store that I need to return" becomes 3 hours of shopping! When it's 40 degrees and raining sideways, well who cares! But when it's 80 and perfect?

On being "self entertained".

Why is it that we now need endless "festivals" all summer long? There isn't ONE solitary weekend where some damn town doesn't have a tulip, strawberry or hop festival! And they're all the damn same! Been to one you've been to them all.

Could we please have ONE weekend out of the whole damn summer where there isn't an "event"? I mean the calendar is SO crowded with everything from "Pet Parades" to "farmer's market" etc. etc. And Portland? The worst! From Cinco De Mayo up to and through damned October. And for every one that you actually attend (and burn through on avg. $60 to $100) there are four that you missed. It's like they're setting us up for dissapointment for crissakes. "You mean you DIDN'T go to the Cheese Curd Festival"? NO! I f'ing didn't! I heard they had a crash at the "Rose Festival" Airshow. Maybe if they didn't have a damn "airshow" that man would still be alive today! Stop the insanity!

Michael Anderson,

Thanks for the Bend update. Bend has so many freaking festivals it's ridiculous. The Source Weekly did a great piece about a year ago about "What is it exactly we're celebrating again". Totally funny, totally on target. I want to drop agent orange on the Dhalia Festival!

They still have homes in Bend for under 500K?

You know Michael I have a good friend that has a modest vacation home out in Joseph and he and always ask "Why Bend"? What makes Bend so attractive? Is it any nicer or better than any of the other dozens of towns scattered throughout central Oregon?

Here's my idea of self entertaining for people aged 30 and above: Fishing. It's a life-long karma training. I don't fish but expect to get into it.

My only concern, from reading washington's fly fishing board, is that one may meet some crazy people (i.e., meth heads) while fishing. There was a debate whether one should carry while fishing. Many actually confirm that they carry. I am for gun ownership. But having to carry while fishing is a little disconcerting.

Until you secede from the US and impose strict immigration standards (turn the PNW into Switzerland, for example), it is difficult to stem the tide of migration.

This observation reminded me of a conversation I had with my wife back in the mid-90s, right after Prop. 187 passed (the initiative to deny most non-emergency social services to illegals). We observed it passing with a 2/3rds popular majority, including hispanic voters (something the "objective" media here rarely mentions, btw). We then watched in disgust as an unholy coalition of liberal extremists, Aztlan/MEChA supporters and big-agriculture/big-construction/big-hotels united to "defeat" it by gutting it in court.

As I recall, I basically said something like this: "You know what? Nothing is ever going to be done about illegal immigration as long as two things are true: (1) non-border states view illegal immigration as a "border-state" issue that does not affect them personally, and (2) the MSM keeps framing it as a purely racial issue and not an economic one. If we ever get to the point where there is a significant out-migration of illegals to the other states, this may change on the national level. When California has an overwhelming hispanic majority that is equally fed up with being overrun and taxed to death for "free" hand-outs to illegals, things may even change here.

I think we're about at that point now.

I bet that wine and art festival is the same stupid one that winds up in Alameda. There are the same people setting up there: Little arts and crafts vendors along with crappy match-your-couch- paintings, big black and white photos, the caramel corn stand, and this guy that drives around in a van making signs for your house writing your name with a router.

DinOr, everything today is so organized and smacks of certain pretension. I don't even like soccer leagues. When I was a kid in Shanghai, even though I was on the school team, I rather enjoyed soccer games with my classmates in the neighborehood (between buildings). All the fun activities were unorganized. And we really had great childhood. These days, freaking everything was organized and scores kept by parents, in both US and China.

I remember seeing a satirical (spelling) essay on line a few years ago. It was about how the older generation survived without any organized fairs, sports, and parental protection. One line read (vaguely), "We rode bikes without helmets, but we survived." Has anybody seen this one?

RTBA, I'll probably opt for catch&release, too. But I wouldn't mind catching a fat salmon n Lake Washington from time to time, slice it and bake it! It's not easy to do. I've been having a lot of Yukon River salmon last couple of weeks. Great stuff.

Nothing is ever going to be done about illegal immigration as long as two things are true: (1) non-border states view illegal immigration as a “border-state” issue that does not affect them personally, and (2) the MSM keeps framing it as a purely racial issue and not an economic one.

These will help too:

1) Guest worker program is implemented
2) Minimum wage is pegged to $0.00 by a constitutional amendment
3) Welfare system is replaced by a pay-as-you-go system with tax credit

Could we please have ONE weekend out of the whole damn summer where there isn’t an “event”?

LOL --great rant. DinOR, I nominate you to be the official blog curmudgeon!

@Peter P, I'm not 100% convinced about the guest worker program, but your other 2 proposals are fine by me. Personally, I'd rather we just raise the regular immigration quotas than go that route. "Guest worker" to me basically means "legal slave", or "documented transient". I'd rather have people who wish to stay here permanently, and therefore have a stake in THIS country than more people with divided loyalties who could give a rat's ass about the U.S.

I’d rather have people who wish to stay here permanently, and therefore have a stake in THIS country than more people with divided loyalties who could give a rat’s ass about the U.S.

True.

I’m not 100% convinced about the guest worker program

It is a just lesser evil.

It is better than silently tolerating illegal immigration. If there must be an "underground" economy we should open it up to everyone. Businesses should not be denied cheap labor simply because they choose to obey the law.

Also, if (2) and (3) are implemented (1) will no longer be needed over time.

I say we throw DinOR a parade. Are there any days open for it?

I'm envisioning an anti-festival float in DinOR's honor, featuring him in a rolling barcalounger, with a beer in one hand and an extended middle finger on the other --pointed right at the adoring crowd.

BTW, pegging minimum wage to inflation is the best recipe for stagflation. IF we must have a minimum wage it should be INVERSELY pegged to the CPI.

Also, if (2) and (3) are implemented (1) will no longer be needed over time.

True. When economic incentives are aligned with the law, the problem should take care of itself.

RTBA, not at all. Well understood. I am eyeing the Orvis fly-fishing school in Coeur D'Alene. But I have to wait to see how much bonus and raise I am getting this year. It also depends on the gold & silver market. If the market sours, I'll be in really bad mood to do anything. Please buy MSFT stock. Thank you.

True. When economic incentives are aligned with the law, the problem should take care of itself.

Exactly.

We cannot fight human nature. We can only use greed and fear to fight other undesirable human emotions.

Hey, OT, but I just used a nice piece of information to my advantage at my local credit union. I came in "armed" with my TreasuryDirect & Bankrate.com rate quotes in hand and was able to negotiate my CD up .84%. Until someone here (or perhaps it was Ben's blog?) mentioned this technique, I had always assumed that CD rates were pretty much non-negotiable.

Correction: My stock pumping plea was not aimed RTBA. I just re-read it. The line could be mis-read. The message was intended for every one here. Thank you all.

skibum, thanks for the link. Very interesting place. Never been to SC. Heard from a men's clothing forum that Charlston is very, very nice.

We cannot fight human nature. We can only use greed and fear to fight other undesirable human emotions.

Don't we fight it all the time? It's called sociali sation, and it starts from birth...

Don’t we fight it all the time? It’s called sociali sation, and it starts from birth…

Huh? Fighting human nature is futile.

I actually had a realtor tell me “creative financing” is a great match becuase I create music. You know, I appreciate “creativity.”

Huh? So if I trade options I must get an Option ARM?

ptiemann,

I did a comment search and these two seem most promising

http://patrick.net/wp/?p=133

http://patrick.net/wp/?p=202

More generally, has that person tried to done test commutes between those two points?

I don't have anything bad to say about the Tri-Valley area, it's pretty safe and convenient. But it's also pretty dead after dark and rather generic/pricy.

The other thing is buying any new construction. Boom times tend to have many rush jobs and poor quality construction. We also had an extremely wet spring, so that might also affect the quality of construction started this spring.

Journalists for this rag are usually in bubble denial. This article is a change...

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-sandiego17jul17,1,3836789.story?coll=la-headlines-business&ctrack=1&cset=true

I try to convince someone NOT to buy a new SFR in San Ramon, at least not at this time. I looked through old posts (using Google site search) but could not find the right threads.

Well, if he likes San Ramon and can afford it, knowing that future appreciation is uncertain, why not?

Can someone or more than one person please give some reasons why someone with a job in Redwood City should not buy in San Ramon?

I work in Palo Alto (may be able to telecommute) and at a point I was looking in Marin county.

I think you should ask your friend why he wants to buy in San Ramon. There are right answers and wrong answers.

Right answers:

1. like the neighborhood/environment
2. good feng shui
3. can mostly telecommute

Wrong answers:

1. appreciation potential
2. do not mind long commute

Anyway, San Ramon to Redwood City is a very long and ugly commute, especially if he has "regular" hours.

$30K? Sorry, I do not want Permanent Head Damage.

Sorry, I have to edit your comment. It did not include the requsite disclaimer. CFTC is quite strict about that.

You really need a whole page of disclaimer like this:

http://www.circularlogic.com/disclaimer.html

Just to clarity... Peter P is not the same as Peter (ptiemann).

Also, what is your friend planning to do with his original home. A comparatively safer strategy would be if he plan to sell before committing himself to a contract in San Ramon.

Since San Ramon is not usually considered "core" BA, another is how your friend would weather price drops. Ask him to run thru scenarios where he is forced to sell at 10%, 20%, and 30% off current prices. Also, how would he plan for a slow market where it takes 6 months or more to sell the property.

Huh? Fighting human nature is futile.

is there a mathematical proof for that somewhere?

i suppose that's what they romans said as they set up gladiatorial contests: "we can't help being bloodthirsty, man will keep killing people for sport forever... best just to go with our instincts... it's human nature, after all..."

My feeling was that Almaden Valley would hold its value better than San Ramon.

Most probably. But a home is much more than "value" and "equity". Those can be provided by investment properties.

While Almaden is certainly not prime, it is more desirable than San Ramon. Or?

It depends. San Ramon has a different feel. It is a personal preference. I rather be in Silver Creek or any gated/guarded community.

BTW, San Ramon to/from Redwood City involves

1. 680
2. 580
3. 238
4. 880
5. 92
6. 101

As I have said, very ugly during commute hours. Buf if he can regularly telecommute, it is not that bad.

CAN WE START A BLOG ON RECENT RENTAL PRICES IN THE BAY! I have several stories but the cost of everything seems to be going up faster than my raises.

Mine went up by 5% here in Sunnyvale.

this is the next wave... specuvestors now have to hike up the rent to cover their shortfall so they are slightly less underwater. THEN the price of goods and services starts to creep up as the petit bourgeoisie crank their prices to pay their rents and mortgages. THEN you, hapless schmuck wage worker, have to beg for a 5% raise annually or hope your boss is munificent or join a union.. THEN the price of housing will have equalised with wages in a zero sum game...

Sean,
I have a gut feeling that if rents start going up, and housing prices stay up into the stratospere, people are just going to say fuck it and leave. I know I'm pretty much teetering on the edge of simply packing up and moving right now. Every time I feel down about things here, all I do is pull up Austin Craigslist and look at a few beauties like this one http://austin.craigslist.org/rfs/182683471.html
and realize that a few days spent dumping most of my shit at the good will, filling the tank with gas, closing my bank account here, and saying adios to all my friends who are also moving out of here anyway would solve about 90% of my problems and make california and all it's messed up issues a thing of the past.
Will rental increases become the next big thing? Nope- the people getting the hell out of here will, which for those of you who are wanting to spend another 5 gut-wrenching years waiting for prices to become affordable enough for you to barely squeak into will be a good thing since they're be less of us anyhow.

I would be honored to have an "anti-parade" named after me!

The weeks preceeding the "non-event" would be filled with blank ads in the paper and "dead air" on AM Radio. Streets that would normally be barricaded off would be open and parking would be as abundant and normal as any week day! The "anti-parade" culminates in taking the local city park by storm where we have "a" booth set up advocating people save their money, put an end to redundancy and stay the hell home! We'll GIVE you 5 bucks to skidaddle back home and sleep in until at least 10:00am.

I'm tired of people and "organizations" and businesses "commandeering" the weekend for their own profit! (Which is what this is all about in the end). It's all done under the "guise" of fun and family and community togetherness but it's about money. Gee, let's use the public park and make ourselves some money!