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When Can We Call it a "Buyers Market?"


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2006 Aug 1, 1:17am   30,294 views  215 comments

by SQT15   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

foreclosure for dummies

Scores of realtors® are throwing out the term "buyers market" hoping to lure buyers into purchasing the ever increasing inventory of overpriced $hitboxes that are currently on the market.

But most housing bears still aren't buying it. Is it because homes are still way too high in value? Or do you think it's just too early to say the buyers now have the advantage?

At what point would you call it a "buyers market?" What will you look for?

#housing

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124   Peter P   2006 Aug 1, 9:39am  

Or you can make a fantasy-price counter offer along with a “feed the squirrels” contingency.

LOL :lol:

125   Peter P   2006 Aug 1, 9:53am  

Congrats, SQT. You have created a very successful thread!

126   Mike/a.k.a.Sage   2006 Aug 1, 10:25am  

What we have here is a, "No-Buyers Market." That is because there are so very few buyers right now. Just look at foot traffic figures at real estate offices, hardly anyone walking in the doors. As a news paper article in SW Florida put it from a local RE agent, "Where are all the stinking buyers? You can just smell the fear."

The, "buyers market", description is just a psychological ploy that hopes to sucker stupid people into buying while prices are still high. Buyers in the US are the most sophisticated consumers on the whole of the planet called Earth. For the most part, shoppers have honed their bargain shopping skills, through multiple hours of Internet searches, and only pay the lowest price found for things they want.

People who find and pay the lowest price for things, are praised in this society as savvy shoppers, and should wear their bargain buys as a badge of honor. No one has the right to put us down for this. Thanks to Zillo, Craigslist, Ebay, Amazon, Walmart, and others for showing us the way. Monster consumers is what was created, and monster consumers will set the price of real estate. Try to stop us.

127   Allah   2006 Aug 1, 10:35am  

Congrats, SQT. You have created a very successful thread!

Yes and you mentioned "Oooooh, the claws are coming out." without being attacked....congratulations! :)

128   StuckInBA   2006 Aug 1, 10:42am  

WOW. Does anyone here detect a big, I mean BIG change in psychology as the summer selling days are coming to an end.

I have noticed even newer houses in Cupertino school district are reducing ASKING prices. The one I noticed did not have any atrocious asking price as per comps. Hence the drop - even though only of 5K - is symbolically so significant.

Honestly, I did not expect this to happen so early.

129   Allah   2006 Aug 1, 10:44am  

Honestly, I did not expect this to happen so early.

I've been expecting it for years!

130   Peter P   2006 Aug 1, 10:50am  

I like Cupertino. I feel safe in it. People there will do no harm.

That said, I still do not know why it is so overpriced. Isn't Burlingame nicer?

131   KurtS   2006 Aug 1, 11:20am  

That said, I still do not know why it is so overpriced. Isn’t Burlingame nicer?

The school district, and possibly the collective belief that alone will support future prices?

Btw, I just looked at my summer '06 predictions here. Admittedly, I was way off in my projections--although not the inventory spike by summer.

In case you're curious...I saw Jack "Bob Ross" the other day--he's doing well.

132   Peter P   2006 Aug 1, 11:41am  

In case you’re curious…I saw Jack “Bob Ross” the other day–he’s doing well.

I actually drove past Fairfax last weekend. Marin is prime. :)

The school district, and possibly the collective belief that alone will support future prices?

I do not like to live with young families. So I have to choose nice areas with crappy school districts. :(

133   Peter P   2006 Aug 1, 11:48am  

1. Best schools in the Bay Area.

Huh? Having attend the best high school does not make one a senator automatically.

2. Cupertino Village

Huh? The Millbrae area has better Asian food. Palo Alto has very good food overall now.

3. White flight.

Huh? Isn't Oakland more prime then?

134   Michael Holliday   2006 Aug 1, 11:53am  

Shit_hits_the_fan Says:

So.. my friends, the time has come for me to make an announcement. Many of you have listened to me go on and on and on about someday moving to another state, another city, another town where living is more affordable, and the salaries actually pay for the costs of living.

That time has come. Me and my wife had a serious conversation last night. We are now definantly moving out of the state within a year or less. We haven’t decided which city we are planning to move to. Nashville, Asheville, Raleigh Durahm, Chapel Hill, and Richmond are all possibiltites.

____

I salute you SHTF! I think things will work out.
You will make it.

I'm originally from San Jose, now in Phoenix.

Too much changed too fast in Cali for the worse. The state is an unaffordable, complicated beast that sucks you dry at every turn.
I miss it, but I believe it's the old Bay Area that I miss. Perhaps it's gone
forever.

Good luck on your move. You can always go back and visit.

135   lunarpark   2006 Aug 1, 12:09pm  

"WOW. Does anyone here detect a big, I mean BIG change in psychology as the summer selling days are coming to an end."

Yes, about 40% of the daily listings my realtor sends me are reduced.

136   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 12:10pm  

For those who follow the market, these few days the volume has been below average. What to make of it? Typical summer doldrum?

137   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 12:24pm  

Do women always say what they want?
http://news.yahoo.com/s/usatoday/studywomenliketechtoysmorethanshoes

Buy Apple stock.

I'm looking for women partners to go into tech toy business.

138   speedingpullet   2006 Aug 1, 12:53pm  

Can anybody give me the skinny on unpermitted square footage?

I've just been having a look on Zip for houses, and half of them say 'unpermitted bedroom/bathroom/studio' etc...and almost all say that the buyer needs to check permits, square footage.

Does this mean that, as a buyer, you need to make sure that all the work has permits before buying? Is it 'normal' to expect the buyer to do this, or is this just a vestige of the 'sellers market' mentality'?

Also, does the taxed assessed value have any bearing on reality? Is it a way to find out the 'fair' value of a house, or should it just be ignored?

Sorry, I've asked this before, but I'm still unclear.

139   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 1:07pm  

Also, OT

Let us speculate on the effect of Castro's death. For one thing, Cuba will be opened up within next 5 years.

140   surfer-x   2006 Aug 1, 1:20pm  

screened in porch

The caviar eating gilded Bay Aryans will pay top dollar for one of these, especially if it's a turbo.

141   surfer-x   2006 Aug 1, 1:51pm  

SFWoman, I'm sorry I thought they meant "screened in porsche". ahahahahaha

142   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 2:09pm  

SFWoman,

I like your RE bubble prediction. It's a great idea.

143   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 2:20pm  


What I’d like to know is this: who’s going to pay for my rehab now that I’m addicted to these bubble blogs?

I tried quiting for two days. Today I stayed home and went back on the dope again.

Seattle lags the national hot spots by at least a year. The cranes in downtown Bellevue went up only last year. The frenzy is going to continue for some time.

144   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 2:35pm  

I hope you are not pulling my legs. In any case, my take on the Seattle situation.

Major appreciation started sometime last year. Depending on when you sold your house, your ex-house is now worth 20-40% more than what you sold it for.

Slowdown in this area isn't likely to happen until the recession hits. Even then, MSFT will keep enough people on its payroll and the local housing market will have a good support. There will be RIF after vista ships, but not enough to drastically impact the local housing market. Boeing is also doing well. So if you intend to buy at a much reduced market price (say at 2000-2001 level), you may not get your wish or at least you'll have to wait for a 2-4 years.

145   Girgl   2006 Aug 1, 2:49pm  

Peter P says:
I like Cupertino. I feel safe in it. People there will do no harm.

That's right.
They will also tend to not acknowledge your presence if you're a member of the wrong (a different?) ethnic group or maybe: economic class. In almost two years, several of our immediate neighbours have never once returned our friendly "hello"s.
Well, in reality, we've given up after a few unsuccessful attempts.

One other thing that puzzles me: A lot of folks refuse to use the sidewalk, but rather walk on the street, even when there's some traffic. No idea why.

146   Michael Holliday   2006 Aug 1, 3:02pm  

artdoggie Says:

"...We just got back from a weekend in upstate New York where we make the mistake at stopping at the wrong Dunkin Donuts & got verbally harrassed right out of the place. It was really frightening..."
_____

WTF?

147   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 3:11pm  

SQT,

Welcome to the asylum :)

148   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 3:15pm  

WiS:

Best luck. You took quite a risk: You might have sold too early. I used to subscribe to Richard Russell's Dow Theory Letter. On the bulletin board, old people were talking about getting out of CA RE. That was 2002-2003. I guess some must be regretting now.

In general, a rising RE market is bad for most people, except those who sell and MOVE AWAY. It's more expensive to upgrade in a rising market, because the price differential also increases. Owners are taxed more. Blah and blah.

149   Randy H   2006 Aug 1, 3:31pm  

Please don’t misunderstand. I don’t want to profit off others’ misfortune, and feel bad about what I believe is to come, but I do want to buy another house. I’m just not going to pay too much for it. So, I’m waiting for prices to come down.

You should not feel bad about this. The "others with misfortunes" are not passive actors. They were free to make the same decisions you made, only chose not to do so due to greed, ignorance, apathy or just plain different beliefs about the future.

There are always winners and losers. You took a risk by selling. They took a risk by not buying/holding. That they may deny the risk existed makes no difference, because if they come out the losers then clearly it did; but only you recognized it for what it was.

I bristle at the "when I win I'm deserving" but "when I lose I'm a victim suffering a misfortune bestowed upon me" mentality. Like I've said a hundred times, most Americans are not capitalists. They only pretend to be when they're winning.

150   astrid   2006 Aug 1, 3:33pm  

I still maintain that houses are a durable good. Thus, lower housing prices would be like lower PC prices...it's bad for the producers but good for everybody else.

GC,

I'm Shanghai born, so no Hong Kong bias. I love Shanghai but the food/culture is still middling and I don't get all the fuss. It's cool to live there as an ex-pat and feel 5X richer than you actually are, but it's not an exceptional city yet. I'd say it's more like Indian mega cities or SE Asian cities with a touch of the first world.

I saw a Papa John's the last time I was in Shanghai. Perhaps better fast food franchises are moving in.

The only thing I really miss are the steamed mini pork dumplings and the fried mini pork buns, but that's more street food.

Peter P,

Shark fins are tasteless and NoCal has some of the best abalone in the world. In fact, most of the expensive Chinese ingredients are utterly tasteless and gooey and involve extreme animal cruelty - like camel humps and bear paws.

151   astrid   2006 Aug 1, 3:36pm  

Randy,

One interpretation is that the concept of the market is an unstable concept that tried to fill in when human society evolved beyond kinship groups. After that, our altruistic impulses and our selfishness just got all confused. (DS ought to like this idea, since it would support going back to a noble savage like existence)

152   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 3:40pm  


The only thing I really miss are the steamed mini pork dumplings and the fried mini pork buns, but that’s more street food.

That's the stuff I love. Add a few other street food items. I was in heaven when I visited last year. When I was in primary school, I had a lunch plan with a restaurant. But one day, the restaurant was closed. So my mom gave me some money to eat at a place of my picking. I went to a street-food restaurant next to school and ordered two (or perhaps three) servings of wonton soup. They asked me why I didn't get one wonton and something else. I told them, "I like wonton."

153   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 3:52pm  


In fact, most of the expensive Chinese ingredients are utterly tasteless and gooey and involve extreme animal cruelty - like camel humps and bear paws.

Tiger penis.

Here is a recipe from the web:

tiger penis soup
(thing) by zgirll (2.7 mon) (print) ? 1 C! Wed Jun 13 2001 at 18:42:58

This recipe was graciously given by "Miss Casey", the head waitress at the Pu Chung Pao resturant in Taizhong, Taiwan. If you prefer, you can buy a bowl of this tasty?? soup for a mere 400 dollars. This recipe makes 8 bowls of Tiger Penis Soup.

1 tiger penis, dried
24 other spices and medicines, including rhino horn, bear gall bladder, tiger bone, and ginseng
Soak the tiger penis in water for one week. Simmer with the 24 spices and medicines for 24-26 hours. Serves 8

Tiger Penis has long been valued by practicioners of eastern medicine as an aphrodesiac. The penis can be taken in soup, ground in wine, or soaked in rice alcohol for 6 months. Results vary, and recent interviews indicate that the recent influx of Viagra into the traditional markets of China, South Korea, and Taiwan has caused the demand for tiger penis to drop. Apparently Viagra has more reliable results than penis of tiger. That could also be due in part to the common substitution of ox or deer tendons for real tiger penis by some unscrupulous shop owners.

Medicinal uses of tiger parts has contributed greatly to the extinction of some species of tigers, and the near-extinction of others. Worldwide tiger populations, over 100,000 at the turn of the century are now estimated to be around 9,000. Despite the outlawing of killing tigers for body parts in virtually all the places where they are found, a brisk trade still exists in tiger medicine. In April, 1999 and survey was taken of Chinese markets in New York's Chinatown by the Environmental Investigation Agency, an international non-profit organization. Sixty three percent of the markets surveyed either sold or claimed to sell goods containing tiger parts.

Traditional Chinese medicine gives body parts of certain animals the ability to transfer the power of that animal to a human consuming or wearing that body part. The tiger is able to mate vigorously and repetitivly over several days. The average length of these mating is only 15 seconds, however. hmmmmmmm.

Other traditional uses for tiger body parts are:
whiskers - give protection from bullets, give user courage, and prevent toothache.
eyeballs - rolled into pills, prevent and treat epilepsy and convulstions
brains - mixed with oil and rubbed over body - cures laziness and acne
bones - mixed into wine, cures rheumatism
tail - rubbed on body, said to cure skin problems
heart - cooked and eaten, imparts strength, courage, and cunning

154   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 3:53pm  

please unlock my posting. It's quite funny.

155   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 3:56pm  

test word penis

156   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 3:56pm  

I see. it's the via ... gra word

157   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 4:08pm  


In fact, most of the expensive Chinese ingredients are utterly tasteless and gooey and involve extreme animal cruelty - like camel humps and bear paws.

You forgot one thing: Tiger penis.

Here is a recipe from the web:

tiger penis soup
(thing) by zgirll (2.7 mon) (print) ? 1 C! Wed Jun 13 2001 at 18:42:58

This recipe was graciously given by “Miss Casey”, the head waitress at the Pu Chung Pao resturant in Taizhong, Taiwan. If you prefer, you can buy a bowl of this tasty?? soup for a mere 400 dollars. This recipe makes 8 bowls of Tiger Penis Soup.

1 tiger penis, dried
24 other spices and medicines, including rhino horn, bear gall bladder, tiger bone, and ginseng
Soak the tiger penis in water for one week. Simmer with the 24 spices and medicines for 24-26 hours. Serves 8

Tiger Penis has long been valued by practicioners of eastern medicine as an aphrodesiac. The penis can be taken in soup, ground in wine, or soaked in rice alcohol for 6 months. Results vary, and recent interviews indicate that the recent influx of via ... gra ... into the traditional markets of China, South Korea, and Taiwan has caused the demand for tiger penis to drop. Apparently via ... gra ... has more reliable results than penis of tiger. That could also be due in part to the common substitution of ox or deer tendons for real tiger penis by some unscrupulous shop owners.

Medicinal uses of tiger parts has contributed greatly to the extinction of some species of tigers, and the near-extinction of others. Worldwide tiger populations, over 100,000 at the turn of the century are now estimated to be around 9,000. Despite the outlawing of killing tigers for body parts in virtually all the places where they are found, a brisk trade still exists in tiger medicine. In April, 1999 and survey was taken of Chinese markets in New York’s Chinatown by the Environmental Investigation Agency, an international non-profit organization. Sixty three percent of the markets surveyed either sold or claimed to sell goods containing tiger parts.

Traditional Chinese medicine gives body parts of certain animals the ability to transfer the power of that animal to a human consuming or wearing that body part. The tiger is able to mate vigorously and repetitivly over several days. The average length of these mating is only 15 seconds, however. hmmmmmmm.

Other traditional uses for tiger body parts are:
whiskers - give protection from bullets, give user courage, and prevent toothache.
eyeballs - rolled into pills, prevent and treat epilepsy and convulstions
brains - mixed with oil and rubbed over body - cures laziness and acne
bones - mixed into wine, cures rheumatism
tail - rubbed on body, said to cure skin problems

heart - cooked and eaten, imparts strength, courage, and cunning

158   Peter P   2006 Aug 1, 4:09pm  

Shark fins are tasteless and NoCal has some of the best abalone in the world. In fact, most of the expensive Chinese ingredients are utterly tasteless and gooey and involve extreme animal cruelty - like camel humps and bear paws.

Shark's fin tastes great when cooked with supreme soup made of chicken and ham broth. Most restaurants do not cook it right because they go cheap on the broth.

Do you know if it is still possible to get bear paws legally?

159   Peter P   2006 Aug 1, 4:14pm  

I have never tried bear paws but I heard it is a delicacy.

160   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 4:23pm  

Peter P,

You can learn bear hunting. I recommend Marlin 1895G (lever action) as your first bear gun. I've seen great reviews of 1895. There are organized, guided bear hunt trips in Alaska. To you, they should be affordable.

161   Peter P   2006 Aug 1, 4:27pm  

To you, they should be affordable.

Perhaps not. I am not Marina Prime. :)

162   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 4:29pm  

Vodka Advice

A new priest at his first mass was so nervous he could hardly speak. After mass he asked the monsignor how he had done. The monsignor replied, "When I am worried about getting nervous on the pulpit, I put a glass of vodka next to the water glass. If I start to get nervous, I take a sip."

So the next Sunday he took the monsignor's advice. At the beginning of the sermon, he got nervous and took a drink. He proceeded to talk up a storm. Upon return to his office after mass, he found the following note on his door:

1. Sip the Vodka, don't gulp.

2. There are 10 commandments, not 12.

3. There are 12 disciples, not 10.

4. Jesus was consecrated, not constipated.

5. Jacob wagered his donkey, he did not bet his ass.

6. We do not refer to Jesus Christ as the late J.C.

7. The Father, Son, and Holy Ghost are not referred to as Daddy, Junior, and the Spook.

8. David slew Goliath, he did not kick the shit out of him.

9. When David was hit by a rock and knocked off his donkey, don't say he was stoned off his ass.

10. We do not refer to the cross as the Big T!

11. When Jesus broke the bread at the Last Supper he said, "Take this and eat it, for it is my body", he did not say, "Eat me."

12. The Virgin Mary is not referred to as the, "Mary with the Cherry".

13. The recommended grace before a meal is not: "Rub-A-dub-dub, thanks for the grub, yeah God". and finally...

14. Next Sunday there will be a taffy-pulling contest at St.Peter's, not a peter-pulling contest at St. Taffy's.

163   GallopingCheetah   2006 Aug 1, 4:37pm  

who is marina prime?

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