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Please help the REIC!


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2007 Feb 8, 9:30am   20,559 views  301 comments

by HARM   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

sad LiarRealtwhore

Please help the REIC and banksters! (for those unfamiliar with the term, please refer to the Housing Bubble Glossary).

They need our help. Signs their beloved mega-global housing/credit bubble is beginning to falter are now everywhere and unmistakable. No matter how low toxic-mortgage lenders lower "standards", it appears that they've exhausted their supply of typical FBs (innumerate 'tards and Marshall Reddick-worshipping specuvestors) and now they're even running short on falling-knife-catchers.

Sure, they're counting on a taxpayer-funded federal bailout of banks/lenders and GSEs --after all isn't that what taxpayers are for? They don't call it "Privatize profits, Socialize Risk" for nothing, do they? That's a gimme. Problem is, even with suckers like YOU footing the bill for some f***ing idiots' mistakes, there's still no way to avoid some pain for the industry players. Some toxic lenders have already gone out of business, while others are restating incomes/losses and teetering on the edge of insolvency --and this is only the beginning! Plus, lots of newly minted Realthwhores, fly-by-night mortgage brokers and hit-the-number appraisers are now facing unemployment.

This just will not do! Pain and negative consequences are for thrifty, responsible suckers like you --not the REIC!! Oh, the humanity... what to do, what to do?

Wait --I've got it!:

The biggest problem right now with maintaining that permanently high plateau is that rents cannot easily be inflated with debt, the way housing prices can. There is no such thing as a fraudulent cash-out refis, HELOCs or neg-ams for renters --they must pay their rent with real earned income and/or savings (yes, some people out there still have savings --can you believe it?!). Since renters must pay rent using real money vs. monopoly bubblebucks, there's no way to ignite crazy bidding wars on rentals. And global wage arbitrage is keeping wages firmly in check --no inflation happening there (crooked CEOs excepted, of course). Sadly, there's currently no way to funnel huge amounts of Fed/MBS/Chinese liquidity into the hands of renters, so they can bid rents to the sky.

And herein lies the solution: the REIC must create new debt vehicles for RENTERS!

Your assignment: How can the REIC and banksters create enormous new debt vehicles for renters, capable of inflating rents as high as house prices, thereby cancelling the rent-vs.-buy imbalance --without having to resort to any of that pesky wage inflation?

Discuss, enjoy...
HARM

#housing

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43   DinOR   2007 Feb 9, 1:05am  

Isn't force feeding their alligator of a specuvestment punishment enough? This thread has taken a sinister turn (and I like it) :)

44   Peter P   2007 Feb 9, 1:07am  

Please only do what is legal.

45   DinOR   2007 Feb 9, 1:08am  

Crab shells left in the garbage overnight are downright PUNGENT just by morning! I mean STINKY! You have to take a deep breath (in an unaffected area) and sprint to the g-can, nasty.

46   DinOR   2007 Feb 9, 1:14am  

justme,

When FB "financial strategies" are applied to rentals you've got to admit, it really exposes them for the folly they truly are! SP's "pick a rent payment" midnight move-out on the 27th day of the 11th month is gonna be tough to beat though!

47   DinOR   2007 Feb 9, 1:19am  

O.K, how about a 40-50 or 100 year lease (or other blatantly ridiculous and contorted "arrangement") that tests the bounds of human longevity?

You know (just to get the payments "affordable")?

Re-define "affordable rents" as 89% of gross income?

48   SFWoman   2007 Feb 9, 1:21am  

Half a block down the street a chalk outline of a body, a bit of police tape and some gauze 1/2 hour before an open house.

A few bullet shells scattered on the block.

A pile of poop (with nearby crumbled toilet paper so nobody will mistake it for the dogpile it actually is) near the bushes makes a home less inviting.

'Vomit' on the sidewalk just before the open house. (My vomit recipe in middle school was a can of fruit cocktail, a bit of water and some cheap yogurt blended for about 2 seconds in the food processor. Add vinegar for a piquant odor at last minute).

Bad clams tossed behind bushes 2 days before open house or brokers tour.

Broken malt liquor bottles in neighborhood. Make sure to combine with emptied car ashtrays (pick this up after use so the butts don't go down the storm drain and out to the beach).

49   DinOR   2007 Feb 9, 1:23am  

SFWoman,

Just give Surfer X the address and I'll pick him up as soon as I clear bail!

50   Claire   2007 Feb 9, 1:26am  

Dinor,

They have that in the UK already - called lease-hold and usually for 99 years or so. You basically have to look after the property and pay all taxes, and all upkeep - i.e. new roof etc, but at the end of 99 years it reverts back to the owner. Lease-holds can be sold on, but are generally cheaper than buying free-holds of course the closer to the end of the term, the cheaper the lease-hold is to buy.

One case where the owner would not renew the lease-hold or sell the land to the current lease-holder led to the lease-holder demolishing the house (as they had built it) so that the owner would not get any benefit from the added value of an existing property on the land.

51   SFWoman   2007 Feb 9, 1:31am  

Claire,

Aren't the leaseholds held by people like the Duke of Westminster for the most part?

I have seen them for sale with things like '354 years left on lease' or '26 years left on lease.' I'd be nervous buying one with little time left.

52   SFWoman   2007 Feb 9, 1:32am  

http://sf.curbed.com/

Curbed is looking for food and real estate bloggers. Peter P.?

53   DinOR   2007 Feb 9, 1:37am  

Claire,

Thanks for sharing that. I've never been to the UK but how different is the trend we're currently on here? Leslie Appleton-Young assures us neg. am/exotic loans "are here to stay". At least the way the "Brits" handle things there's no illusion of "ownership". I just wish we could be more up front about it.

Someone here kidded (half-way) that "rent2own" might be the wave of the future. Look for more "creative" lease arrangements and "just take over my payments" real soon!

54   Peter P   2007 Feb 9, 1:43am  

SFW, thanks for the suggestion.

Now this is funny:

http://tinyurl.com/3c6rf9

55   Allah   2007 Feb 9, 1:50am  

HARM,

Some day you have to alphabetize that bubble glossary; it is starting to get quite huge!

Your assignment: How can the REIC and banksters create enormous new debt vehicles for renters, capable of inflating rents as high as house prices, thereby cancelling the rent-vs.-buy imbalance –without having to resort to any of that pesky wage inflation?

Don't give them any ideas!

56   HARM   2007 Feb 9, 1:52am  

justme Says:
I have to say, this is one of the most dangerous threads I have seen.

Wow. I am... truly... honored. :cool:

SFWoman,

You're a gem! Those are some wonderful suggestions. Not that I'm writing any of this down and actually --you know-- planning on actually doing them or anything. Why, that would be downright unethical...

:twisted:

57   Claire   2007 Feb 9, 1:53am  

DinOR

House prices in the UK are horrendously expensive. About 5 years ago you could only really borrow 3 to 3.5 times your salary with at least 10% down and you had to provide wage slips etc to prove your income (also 30 year fixed were being promoted because the interest rate was 3% - 6% historic lows), but things have changed and they have adopted a lot of the US lending practices and options. House prices have as a result shot up and I believe that they will have a crash, but "when" is the question.

However, a lot of people learnt their lesson in the 80's - a lot of people walked away from their houses then because interest rates were 13 - 18% and there was a high unemployment rate - house prices crashed then.

What was realized 20 years later was that those that held on now had houses that were worth a lot more (especially in London) and all the ones that walked away all regretted walking away because their property was worth so much more now! However, people forget that they just couldn't pay the mortgage - the lenders learnt to try and keep people in their properties, because they lost a lot of money by evicting everyone and selling the houses for a loss and to be more cautious about lending.

However, 20 years on people are forgetting what happened and it's coming around again!

58   StuckInBA   2007 Feb 9, 1:54am  

DinOR :

Are you watching that NEW finding new depths ? Additional 12% already. Is this a record of some sort ?

Is this a preview of what is to come in subprime credit or am I over-hyping the news ? I think the investor sentiment can turn on a dime - everyone was jittery about this section of MBS and their worst fears seem to be coming true.

Not a good place for bottom fishing. It opened +ve and then the carnage started.

59   Claire   2007 Feb 9, 1:56am  

SF Woman,

Yes, leaseholds were generally created by the landed gentry probably in the 1700 - 1800's. Probably because a lot of estates were entailed and so could not be sold off?

60   HARM   2007 Feb 9, 1:57am  

Oh, and thanks to Claire as well (though the rat poison idea might be skirting the law and inviting trouble).

61   Claire   2007 Feb 9, 2:07am  

I would like to state that it was next door who put the rat poison in their roof space to kill the rats, before they realized the consequences - if anyone is thinking that we did it. We have rats in our roof so would never put rat poison down - don't want to deal with that, thank you!

You can always remove my post if you are concerned that some idiot would do it, although others alluded to much more risky things in the past - i.e (dare I say it out loud?) something to do with matches and their alligators.

62   Claire   2007 Feb 9, 2:17am  

I believe people have sold lease holds over here already right? I remember seeing some ads about a year ago about buying the house for 200-300000 and renting the land from the builders to make it more affordable - a bit like trailer parks - right?

And I bet there are some in Boston from the "old days".

63   Peter P   2007 Feb 9, 2:21am  

RE: anti-gentrification people

Why would anyone be anti-gentrification?

64   HARM   2007 Feb 9, 2:22am  

Claire,

I have added a disclaimer to your comment --just in case.

65   Claire   2007 Feb 9, 2:22am  

SP - tons of people would buy a house if you claim it will stop them going bald instead of grey - that would save the market!:-)

66   Peter P   2007 Feb 9, 2:24am  

HARM, you need a big, BIG disclaimer for the thread itself. Talking about something illegal may be seen as a crime in itself.

* I am not a lawyer.

67   Claire   2007 Feb 9, 2:24am  

HARM - please - just remove my comment - it's making me nervous now!

68   DinOR   2007 Feb 9, 2:27am  

StuckinBA/Suds,

Uh.... YEAH! :)

Like I say Doug Kass' comments yesterday shared SP's sentiment that this stuff doesn't happen in some sort of "sterile" environment. This WILL bleed over into the A paper! Not to tout my own projections but I've been preaching this from a soapbox for awhile. The sense of vindication is, well....... intoxicating! (Hick') :)

69   HARM   2007 Feb 9, 2:32am  

Claire,

I have excised the 'rat poison' comment, but I really wouldn't worry too much. Talking about someone else doing something illegal or about a crime conceptually is a far cry from advocating it. And last time I checked, the First Amendment was still in force over here (though the current Administration has done its best to subvert it).

70   Claire   2007 Feb 9, 2:33am  

Thanks HARM :-)

71   Claire   2007 Feb 9, 2:41am  

Oh, there's just a ton of pranks I could tell you about that I learnt from others as a student - but perhaps left unsaid in print.

72   SFWoman   2007 Feb 9, 2:50am  

Claire,

Leaseholds in the US are more common around Palm Desert and sometimes on Indian reservation land (vacation houses on 99 year leases). I have never seen one in Boston.

73   Claire   2007 Feb 9, 2:56am  

DinOR - who owns the A paper - we have some PIMCO in our 401K, but that's because I thought that was the safest one (even though it's not gaining as much as the others) - do you think they will be affected? Also Vanguard Target Retirement IRA - I guess that'll get hit?

74   EBGuy   2007 Feb 9, 2:57am  

Sorry to interrupt the prankathon, but I am trying to figure out what the age limit below refers to in the link Anthony posted yesterday.
http://www.nysscpa.org/cpajournal/2006/1206/essentials/p40.htm
Parents may gift up to the annual exclusion (currently $12,000), presumably in appreciated stock, to each child over the age of 13 to avoid the “kiddie tax.” The child receives the asset at its (lower) carryover basis, sells it at a gain, and pays the 5% capital gains tax. The same strategy is employed by other donors for other donees (e.g., grandparents and grandchildren).

75   Claire   2007 Feb 9, 3:04am  

SFWoman - my bad - I thought I had read somewhere that some of the stone built houses in Boston proper were still leaseholds. But I can't bring anything up on the net about it so maybe I got it wrong.

76   DinOR   2007 Feb 9, 3:09am  

Claire,

We've had posts in the past that dealt with "cleansing" one's self of MBS exposure and concluded that it's nearly impossible for plan participants. I've had an ongoing feud w/ Bill Gross (at PIMCO) for longer than I can remember so I can't speak to the quality of paper he holds. I will say to his credit that Bill has refrained from "juicing up" the yield w/"wallpaper". Without knowing what your plan is offering in the form of alternatives it would be conjecture on our parts. Cash?

I bailed on MBS back in '04 and haven't looked back other than these "rear view mirror Mad Max post apocalyptic" moments. Which I rather enjoy thank you. :)

77   DinOR   2007 Feb 9, 3:13am  

Claire,

Oh, I'm sorry! Typically insurance companies get the brunt of the A paper. What has occured to me lately is just how "disposable" these mort. shops are! They spring up like mushrooms in the good times and drop like flies in the bad times? What's more is that the founders of a lot of these relative start-ups is that they learned everything they know from their former (and larger) employers before they defected. Weird huh?

78   Claire   2007 Feb 9, 3:17am  

Some forms of real estate a lose-lose situation
Buyers should think twice about leasehold estate
By Robert J. Bruss | July 13, 2006

Boston.com

It's only a Dear ....kind of article, but I guess I concluded there were leaseholds in Boston from it. I guess he could be syndicated?

79   StuckInBA   2007 Feb 9, 3:18am  

Claire :

PIMCO has many funds. I stayed away from it in my 401K as I saw that fund was holding MBS.

I have a Vanguard Target fund and I like it a lot. Every target fund has a "Total Bond Market Index" fund. This portion definitely has exposure to MBS - about 35% of it IIRC. So there is a risk. I am in two minds about getting out of it. It's not a big portion of the entire fund depending on which target date you are using, and it provides other diversification - I like their mix of international funds in it.

NIA, YMMV and all other disclaimers.

80   Claire   2007 Feb 9, 3:21am  

DinOR - thanks, for enlightenment - I figured these guys are all selling this stuff and chopping it up and selling it again and that somehow it gets in with what I would think were safe investments - but I guess we'll still be hit as I'm sure the funds own insurance company stock too. I only have bonds, because it is recommended - but I'm not sure that they are worth having - maybe in the long long run I will be glad, but right now I'm not sure they are worth having with a retirement 30 odd years away.

81   Claire   2007 Feb 9, 3:26am  

I can't actually envision not being hit by this train wreck - if insurance companies get hit - then they will just up everyone's premiums on everything to pay for their risky gambling in other areas. If they are publicly traded then you can bet mutual funds are into them as "safe" stocks. If pension funds (especially state) get hit, then they will have to get the money from somewhere to support the pensions - increase taxes to bail everyone out?

82   StuckInBA   2007 Feb 9, 3:29am  

DinOR :

The sense of vindication is, well……. intoxicating! (Hick’) :)

Oh yes. I am generally long on stocks - Never shorted a stock, but did buy puts on occasions when I thought the market is overbought in the short term.

But in this case, seeing one billion of market cap evaporating in mere 2 days is more vindictive than seeing Colts finally win it. One BILLION US$ in such a short time. OUCH OUCH OUCH.

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