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Did the tax credit stabilize home prices?


               
2010 Jul 5, 1:21pm   4,643 views  21 comments

by inflection point   follow (0)  

Following a surge driven by the home buyer tax credit, pending home sales fell with the expiration of the deadline for qualified buyers to sign a purchase contract, according to the National Association of Realtors.

NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun said, “Consumers are rational and they rushed to meet the tax credit eligibility deadline in April. The sharp decline in contract signings in May is a natural result with similar low levels of sales activity anticipated in June,” he said.

Yun noted the tax credit has broadly stabilized home prices. “Without the tax credit, there will be more aggressive price negotiations between buyers and sellers. The key test on whether the housing market can stand on its own without stimulus medicine will depend critically on private sector job creation in the second half of the year.

“In most areas of the country, there will be no sharp snap back in home prices in the upcoming years, although some local markets have experienced double-digit gains this year,” Yun said. NAR forecasts the national median home price to rise only 4% cumulatively over the next two years.

Did the first time home buyer tax credit stabilize or increase home prices?

#housing

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1   Fireballsocal   @   2010 Jul 5, 1:33pm  

It appeared to here in the Inland empire. For several months before the tax credit was supposed to end the first time and when it did end this last time April 30th, bidding wars commenced on the homes I was interested in. Most houses sold for 5-10K over what the asking price was and since the banks trickled the houses onto the market, homes were snatched up quickly. Right now, all you hear are crickets as houses once again sit waiting for new owners. The house I am in escrow on (short sale), I offered asking price with the seller paying the closing costs and my offer was accepted. There were several other bids but mine was the highest. Other houses are having to drop the asking price to get bids and even that isn't helping some.

I don't think people really understood that the $8,000 that they stood to get from the government was already factored into their purchase price. All they saw was free money and rushed to get it, no matter the cost.

2   Â¥   @   2010 Jul 5, 2:22pm  

Consumers are rational

Pull the other one, Larry.

3   toothfairy   @   2010 Jul 5, 3:49pm  

I dont think the surge was purely from the tax credit. There was a lot of pent up demand everybody decided at the same time that it's safe to buy.

so the bounce stronger than usual this spring.

4   MarkInSF   @   2010 Jul 5, 4:00pm  

Yun? Why not just quote Mickey Mouse's take on the housing market? Or a log. Given Yun's track record, the log would probably be just as accurate. Maybe more so.

5   gameisrigged   @   2010 Jul 5, 6:26pm  

Q: How do you know when Lawrence Yun is lying?

A: His lips are moving.

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