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The PC demise is vastly over hyped


               
2010 Jul 20, 6:50am   1,900 views  10 comments

by TechGromit   follow (1)  

There's not a day that goes by that I don't see a story by some mobile computing fan is predicting the demise of PC's. Given the rapid growth of the Iphone/Black Berry/Smart phone market they believe the PC days are numbered. I however can't see office workers sitting in the cubes creating documents and reports on there smart phones with tiny keyboards. It's just not going to happen. It's impossible to be productive on a tiny keyboard and a 4 inch screen as a computer user with a full size keyboard, mouse and 17 inch monitor. It's just not going to happen. Mobile computing has it's place and it's uses, but they are not a replacement for PC's. Others are quick to point out that the explosive growth of Xbox/PS3/gaming console market seriously threaten the home PC, again I have to laugh, did you even try to play the Civilization on an Xbox? It's a lobotomized version with a sub-standard user interface controller. It might be enough to satisfy a video console user that never played the real thing, but any person who played the original game on a PC would never tolerate it. What about World of Warcraft? There are around 20 million players that play this game alone. If some of the bigger computer makers want to abandon this market, there will be plenty of companies that would love to love to support even this niche market alone. There are also millions of other gamers that don't play WoW, but enjoy killing aliens on there computers. Some of the best computer games released recently were all made for the PC originally. Bioshock, Fallout, Bad Company, Call of Duty, there were all released for the PC first and are far superior to the video game console versions released later, provided you have updated computer hardware.

I believe mobile computing growth will soon top out and it will be just another electronic device, instead of a game changer like they are claiming. Every new industry firmly believes they are the future. I remember working in the casino's, and the wild predictions of all the untapped market that is out there. but what they forget is despite how many casinos you build, there are only so many people that gamble. Building more casino's doesn't create demand, anymore than selling a new an improved smart phone or upgrading the wireless network does. The market will top at out that will be the end of that revolution.

Personally I do not own a Smart phone, hell I don't even text on my phone. I see other people in meetings fiddling on there phones, yes they are neat, but I have no interest getting one for myself.

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1   nope   @   2010 Jul 20, 6:51pm  

Many smart phones have HDMI out and USB connections.

Plug your phone into a big monitor (preferrably capacitive multi touch), and a keyboard, and how is it any different from a "PC"?

Getting a proper smartphone (at present, only the iphone and android devices really count -- blackberry doesn't come close, and symbian certainly doesn't either) has made a big difference in my life. It's my music player, my GPS, my camera, my family photos, plus web access whenever I want...and it makes phone calls, too

2   Done!   @   2010 Jul 21, 1:16am  

My eyes started quitting on me, about the time I bought my iTouch.
I don't think I have over 3 total hours using the thing, since I got the thing for Christmas.
I realize that if my eyes were what they used to be, I'd use it a lot more.
I don't even use my smart phone for all of the things that it can do.
Hand held Gizmos will never replace the PC, much less compete with sales.
Lets see you balance a spreadsheet on these devices, edit photos, build a data base and develop a back end, create Word documents(With full WYSIWYG features like Word).

These hand held devices are a great for insight to the internet, through texting, messaging, briefly using the browser capabilities to win a Bar bet, but it's not 10th of the Prodution device that a PC is. It enhances the (everywhere is my office) experience. But you'd be lost with out a PC.
Especially about the time you needed to augment a 2000 page word document, and print it back out, perform prepress on an image. ect....

3   a4adam   @   2010 Jul 21, 2:22am  

I have to agree. They've been predicting this kind of trash since the day laptops emerged. Hey, last time I checked everyone in our office still uses a desktop PC or Mac.

4   MAGA   @   2010 Jul 21, 3:34am  

We still use desktops at the office. They work just fine and the only thing they perform is Microsoft Office and terminal emulation.

5   SFace   @   2010 Jul 21, 3:43am  

It's not so much that the PC is going extinct, it's the fact that they are more of a commodity and have limited profit potential going forward. It use to be there was a replacement cylce every 2 to 3 years, now it is more like 4-5 years. Just look at Dell and Apple the last ten years and that tells you all you need to know about the PC.

It's not that the PC is not needed, it just went from 100% to 50%. There are some really cool apps right now like taking a picture of a check to deposit money and many other tools taking productivity to another level.

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