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Are you a 'Fair-Weather' capitalist?


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2007 Aug 27, 4:25am   56,586 views  201 comments

by HARM   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

First came Jim Cramer's incoherent rant on the hedge fund/Wall Street meltdown, then came Bill Gross's semi-coherent plea to POTUS for a federal bailout of his struggling PIMCO bond funds the overleveraged U.S. homedebtor. Given that these are two of the most vocal and public commentators in the sphere of media finance/capitalism, it seems fair to ask: are these men true capitalists?

Now, I am not one to lecture others on the tenets and/or history of capitalism. I was studying literature and journalism, while many of the regulars on this board were immersed in B-school. Nonetheless, given my limited exposure to macro/micro economics, I vaguely remember a lecture or two about the virtues of creative destruction (i.e., the healthy, natural market process whereby businesses that are poorly run and/or engage in excessive risk tend to go out of business). I also recall a cautionary tale or two about the moral hazards created when government attempt to impede this necessary process. It's been a long time since macro-econ 101, but I distinctly recall Adam Smith saying something about an invisible hand that rewards good financial risk management and penalizes poor risk management, and that this was a *good* thing --not a bad thing, as Mr. Cramer and Mr. Gross both seem to think.

This begs the question: if capitalism is *only* allowed to work freely in ONE DIRECTION (up), is this really capitalism? If the people who habitually make poor financial decisions are always bailed out by those who did not, what sort of behavior does this encourage in the future? Are these Wall Street "Masters of the Universe" who are clamoring for a taxpayer/Fed bailout really capitalists, or something else?

I leave you to ponder this along with one of my personal all-time favorite truisms:

PRIVATIZE PROFIT, SOCIALIZE RISK

Discuss, enjoy...
HARM

P.S., kudos to Jim Grant for his excellent Op-Ed in the Sunday NYT: "capitalism without financial failure is not capitalism at all, but a kind of socialism for the rich".

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111   OO   2007 Aug 28, 9:09am  

skibum,

actually I looked at that $4.2M place, it was initially offered for $6M, on the market for over 18 months. It's in the Crappertino foothills bordering Saratoga hills backing into a natural reserve, the house itself is not spectacular, but to me the attraction is it has 10+ acres land with a commanding view, so from the land perspective, I think it is a much better deal than buying a new house on 1/4 acre land in Los Altos for $2.5M.

112   Peter P   2007 Aug 28, 9:13am  

Only if it involves 3d avatars and clunky streaming content client interfaces.

That is the only way to start a cult in Web 2.0 times.

113   Different Sean   2007 Aug 28, 9:15am  

credit cards are a discretionary luxury item, not a necessity. they are sometimes handy, but once upon a time people used to pay for things with savings. if they were a necessity, the govt would hand out credit cards to the needy. they are a short term personal loan with very high interest that are very lucrative for the CC cards thank you very much, despite the existence of early payers. the CC companies have provided, sometimes, for interest-free periods of up to 55 days in their business model in order to get consumers in (then get them on the debt treadmill) and have factored it into their business model. paying off early is more than allowable in their system under their own deliberate intentional rules. if early payers were unwelcome, they would not create 55 days interest free in the model, they would charge interest from the time of purchase, end of story. and they would probably get fewer customers as a result.

further, there is far more earnest discussion over the evils of credit cards as a debt trap than there are over early payers, much like the evils of poker machines and gambling addiction. we're talking 14-18% interest rates here. household savings are at an all-time low right now, and indebtedness at an all-time high thanks to banks pushing higher and higher credit limits these days. more and more people are being sucked into the credit trap in both housing and consumer goods -- there are people showing up in dire straits for financial counselling and assistance buying mcmansions and plasma screen TVs, i kid you not.

it's ludicrous, for how many months should we pay interest on a balance to reach the moral and ethical stance of not being a 'freeloader' on a personal loan? why not just front-end load the payment instead then? it's not a social system, it's a banking product of convenience designed to make money for CC cos and the banks, in the 'must have it now' society.

show me an article written and published somewhere reputable which claims that early CC payers are somehow immoral (doing something totally legitimate) and i'll show you an off-the-rails idiot with no clue...

114   Peter P   2007 Aug 28, 9:18am  

credit cards are a discretionary luxury item, not a necessity.

Anything not needed by a caveman is a luxury item.

115   Peter P   2007 Aug 28, 9:21am  

Better yet, luxury is a necessity.

116   OO   2007 Aug 28, 9:23am  

Btw, I am curious if anyone knows of the Quito Village in Saratoga? Is it going to be a Chinese mall development? The buyer of Quito Village, Peter Pau, is the same developer who did the Cupertino Village, the home of Ranch 99 and a whole array of Chinese retaurants. Looks like Saratoga is following suit of Cupertino. Peter is known to have a very good relationship with Chinese retailers.

http://sanjose.bizjournals.com/sanjose/stories/2007/07/16/daily24.html

117   Different Sean   2007 Aug 28, 9:30am  

Anything not needed by a caveman is a luxury item.

actually, yes. we can survive on very little. however, there is a minimum level of material wellbeing we need to participate effectively in a society. hence the vexed problem of what constitutes a definition of 'poverty'.

it's unlikely people lived in caves much, btw, the pattern seems to have been more of nomadism with retreats to sacred sites like caves for ritualistic purposes. it was certainly very far from universal in history, when you look at the sheltering habits of african, australian and other palaeolithic-type societies today. perhaps in the case of the last Ice Age in Europe about 10,000 years ago where it was just bloody freezing and you got insulation effects from blocking up cave-like structures, once you kicked out the hibernating bears...

118   Randy H   2007 Aug 28, 9:52am  

So caves were not a necessity, but a luxury. Therefore it follows that kicking bears out of caves was not unethical either.

119   Randy H   2007 Aug 28, 9:55am  

By the way, many not at all "off the rails" authors of scholarly work related to free rider problems:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Free_rider_problem

Summary, emphasis added:

In economics, collective bargaining, psychology and political science, free riders are actors who consume more than their fair share of a resource, or shoulder less than a fair share of the costs of its production. The free rider problem is the question of how to prevent free riding from taking place, or at least limit its negative effects.

120   Randy H   2007 Aug 28, 9:57am  

Necessity is entirely irrelevant.

The point of this argument, from my perspective, was to draw out the futility and arbitrariness of making relative moral judgments about personal financial or economic decisions.

121   Different Sean   2007 Aug 28, 10:04am  

yes. i note the wiki free rider article doesn't make reference to the CC enigma as a case in point. i don't question the notion of 'free riding' per se. (is that one of brand's 'straw men'?)

btw, pubs here put on free coffee machines in the incredibly lucrative poker machine areas. i don't gamble on poker machines, i have no idea why, it's so compelling, but sometimes i take the free coffee into the dining area for a laugh. no staffer has ever told me not to. ethically, is that freeloading off the pub or teaching them a lesson? discuss, with reference to kohlberg's 6 stage of development of ethical reasoning. ;)

122   HARM   2007 Aug 28, 10:13am  

Anything not needed by a caveman is a luxury item.

I find this offensive.

123   Peter P   2007 Aug 28, 10:16am  

Necessity is entirely irrelevant.

Very true.

Necessity belongs to Modal Logic, not Economics.

124   Peter P   2007 Aug 28, 10:20am  

ethical reasoning

Is it even possible to reason ethics?

125   Different Sean   2007 Aug 28, 10:20am  

very funny, HARM. that appears to be homo neanderthalis, not cro-magnon man aka homo sapiens sapiens

126   HARM   2007 Aug 28, 10:27am  

The point of this argument, from my perspective, was to draw out the futility and arbitrariness of making relative moral judgments about personal financial or economic decisions.

Arbitrary or not, I'm sure you'll agree that some basic moral judgments must be made and applied by law* or you eventually end up with chaos and/or kleptocracy. And specifically what kind of judgments/laws we make says something important about who we are and what we collectively value.

*(and ideally, the law applies to everyone, irrespective of social caste)

Is it ok to sell heroin to minors? Y/N
Is it ok to sell WMDs to unhinged religious fanatics? Y/N
Is it ok to sell neg-am NINJAs to unemployed 24-year-old sociopaths? Y/N

Ok, that last one is little more ambiguous, but you get the general idea.

127   HARM   2007 Aug 28, 10:31am  

@DS,

I don't know if you get the same TV commercials in Oz, but that's one of the GEICO cavemen.

128   DennisN   2007 Aug 28, 10:33am  

Except that the transaction fees go to the transaction network provider, and the issuing bank is left with annual fees and interest + penalties.

Then why the heck do the banks direct-mail market me so aggressively? I've had credit cards since the 1970's and have never paid any interest. If they lose money on me, why don't they just stop sending me enticing offers to cards? I was a BofA customer since forever, and dropped their Visa card, which at the time had an $18 annual fee, for compeditors' cards. BofA knew all the details of my history...I had paid no interest on their old card for over a decade....but they kept sending me adverts in the mail until I took them up on their offer. Did they think I would become less frugal with age?

* * * *

I have a dumb question for the gang. This has been driving me nuts. There's a lot of talk about FB's getting a 1099 after a short-sale and owing the IRS big bucks. This confuses me.

Say FB bought a house for $400K, and had to short sell it for $300K. The lender gives him a 1099 for $100 capital gains. BUT the FB can document a $100 capital LOSS on the sale of his house, so why isn't this a wash as far as the FB is concerned? It's actually fair, otherwise the FB would have a non-offset capital loss to play with in his future taxes.

129   Randy H   2007 Aug 28, 10:34am  

HARM

But of course. And so long as I'm in charge of setting the minimum ethical code, I'd include a prohibition on anything referred to (oxymoronically) as "American Cheese".

130   HARM   2007 Aug 28, 10:39am  

Sir Randall,

I hereby appoint you my Deputy Minister of Economic Morality and Fiscal Responsibility.

131   Randy H   2007 Aug 28, 10:39am  

BUT the FB can document a $100 capital LOSS on the sale of his house, so why isn’t this a wash as far as the FB is concerned?

I don't think you can claim that capital loss, at least not personally. If you're running a real estate investment business, and your business owns the home, then you might be able to get away with it.

As to the "why" banks still market ccards to you, there are a number of explanations:

* They are unorganized. You'd be surprised at how such sausage is made.

* They are regulated. Once upon a time, they couldn't use your historical data freely; departments were firewalled off from one another.

* They have calculated that enough "free riders" can be converted and/or make occasional mistakes and suffer penalties. How many out there who pay in full like me haven't at least once paid a day or two late due to simple disorganization or forgetfulness? If you cycle huge amounts of $ per month, like many pay-in-fullers, then you get slammed with penalties in that one month which goes a long way towards covering your free-ride.

132   Paul189   2007 Aug 28, 10:41am  

Dennis,

I've heard in banking parlance that you and I would be referred to as "Dead Beats" by never paying interest on the credit cards.

Paul

133   Randy H   2007 Aug 28, 10:45am  

Customers who do not pay in full the amount owed on their monthly statement (the "balance") by the due date (that is, at the end of the "grace period") and are not in a promotional period owe interest ("finance charges") are known in the industry as "revolvers." Those who pay in full (pay the entire balance) are known in the industry as "transactors," "convenience users," or "deadbeats." Those that shift usage of their credit cards or transfer balances frequently are known in the industry as "rate surfers", "rate tarts" or "gamers."

134   HARM   2007 Aug 28, 10:48am  

Now all we need is for Congress to create a new Department of Economic Morality and build a Taliban-style Basij (morality police). They will patrol the streets and Tazer any subprime broker attempting to hawk NINJAs to clueless borrowers. Bond & hedge fund managers attempting to pass off Alt-A toxic waste as "safe" will be shot on site.

135   HARM   2007 Aug 28, 10:49am  

Just kidding (sort of...).

136   HeadSet   2007 Aug 28, 10:50am  

I put that credit card article paraphrase in as an example of the absurd. I do not think anyone really believes that paying off credit cards every month is immoral.

The original article was most likely written by a credit card industry shill who was attempting:

1. to increase business by convincing people to spend a little extra and maybe leave a balance

2. make the people who habitially leave a balance take pride in thinking of themselves as the backbone of economic prosperity, rather than as undisiplned bags of appetite who can't manage to spent less than they earn

137   HARM   2007 Aug 28, 10:59am  

I still don't quite understand the logic in merchants & CC companies viewing people who pay off each month as 'free riders'.

Whenever you pay by CC, you save the retail merchant time/labor in having to physically store & deposit cash or verify & process a check. Time is money, and convenience benefits both parties --customer & merchant.

Whenever you pay by CC, you generate fees for the CC company. So regardless of whether or not you pay in full each month, you are *still* a profit center for them. Not as much profit as the revolving debtor, but still not a 100% "free rider".

138   Randy H   2007 Aug 28, 11:00am  

I admit using credit card "transactors" as a straw man argument of sorts. But I think I made a reasonable case that since 1/3 of all credit users pay in full, yet the other 2/3 are those who can least afford to pay the burden for those (us) moral elitists. If we're really so concerned about being ethical we would all stop using credit cards completely and/or insist upon the elimination of credit cards entirely.

At best we're arbitraging the system; at worst we're free riding on the backs of the poor, ignorant, stupid, uneducated, and financially existential.

139   Peter P   2007 Aug 28, 11:01am  

I still don’t quite understand the logic in merchants & CC companies viewing people who pay off each month as ‘free riders’.

I don't care what they think. If they don't like me paying off my balance every month they can charge me a fee.

I am not bothered by labels.

140   Randy H   2007 Aug 28, 11:01am  

HARM

Whenever you pay by CC, you generate fees for the CC company.

The CC Company != The Bank issuing the CCard.

Visa is a transaction processing network. They get your 2.x% fee, paid by the merchant, price partially passed on to you.

Wachovia is the issuing bank. They survive off of member fees, late charges, penalties, and of course fat interest.

141   Randy H   2007 Aug 28, 11:04am  

Note Wahcovia is a bank with other operations, so ostensibly they benefit by having use of the working capital, by being able to cross sell their other services, and by trying to use their CC offerings as a way to poach customers away from other banks.

142   Peter P   2007 Aug 28, 11:09am  

At best we’re arbitraging the system; at worst we’re free riding on the backs of the poor, ignorant, stupid, uneducated, and financially existential.

Either case, I feel good enough to have sushi. :)

143   justme   2007 Aug 28, 11:13am  

Headset,

I agree with you completely. I wasn't aiming at the messenger, sorry if you had to duck.

Randy,

Every time I go to the store and pay cash *I* *pay* the credit card industry out of my own pocket in the form of the higher prices that merchants charge in order to cover the 2-4% credit card private tax that they have effectively been imposed upon me. In practice I have no choice other than to pay the tax. I think that is plenty to pay for a service that I am not using.

Now, for me to avoid to pay still more interest and penalties on top of the transaction tax, makes me a "free rider" ? One who "does not shoulder my fair share of the cost of production", of a product that I don't even want to use, for the most part.

I don't think so.

PS: I don't mind paying $0,25 to use the ATM card at a gas station. That's fair and square.

144   justme   2007 Aug 28, 11:17am  

And now I, and other freeloaders, are also moral elitists :-). That feels good :-).

Seriously, Randy, thanks for acknowledging that the argument was a bit of a strawman
(note how I avoided using the loaded word "adm*tt*ng" :-))

145   HeadSet   2007 Aug 28, 11:18am  

If one freely incures a debt for a home, car, or other consideration, then refuses to pay that debt, than that person is a welsher. A moral issue.

The fact that the law provides various renegging tools does not change the welsher's moral stance. The welsher is acting within the law, but not morally. Harm's payment is full (a difficult task, involving personal sacrifice, as are most real moral issues) puts him morally ahead of the "clever" character who buys a home with the intent of abamdoning the loan.

I also think there is a problem with any rent seeking activity, regardless of ones political or economic influence. Also, since it is a given that people will act in their own best interest, using that fact that seems strange license to brush off morality concerning such issues.

146   HeadSet   2007 Aug 28, 11:21am  

"At best we’re arbitraging the system; at worst we’re free riding on the backs of the poor, ignorant, stupid, uneducated, and financially existential."

Gee, that sounds like you are talking about state lotteries.

147   Randy H   2007 Aug 28, 11:21am  

And because a blogger named "justme" has declared it so, all men and women in the right shall henceforth be declared moral whence they use credit cards of which they are eternally paid-in-full.

If you're going to aggregate, then you have to deduct from your moral outrage of paying the 2-4% "private tax" the operational efficiencies realized through credit cards enabling electronic payments, the increased velocity of the money supply (thereby increasing multiplier efficiency), and of course the fact that more rightful taxes are collected because of decreased avoidance of taxes paid on cash which is persistently easy to hide from the government.

What % is left for you to be outraged about?

148   HeadSet   2007 Aug 28, 11:31am  

"What % is left for you to be outraged about?"

That we can no longer float checks for nearly a week?

149   e   2007 Aug 28, 11:40am  

Anyone see this piece?

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2007/08/28/BA87RQV63.DTL&tsp=1

ALAMEDA COUNTY - An Alameda County rape victim pretended to befriend her attacker - going so far as to set up a job interview for him - as part of a ploy to seek revenge, but later decided against vigilante justice and settled for arranging his arrest, authorities said today.

When the 47-year-old woman's alleged assailant showed up at a coffee shop the day after the attack for his job interview, sheriff's deputies took him into custody.

Howard Moore, 24, of San Leandro, was arrested on suspicion of rape, sheriff's Sgt. J.D. Nelson said.

The woman, who works as a real-estate agent, was showing a home in Alameda County to a prospective buyer Aug. 16 when the prospective buyer attacked her, Nelson said. He declined to say where the incident happened because that could identify the victim.

The assailant choked the woman, raped and robbed her, Nelson said.

During the attack, the woman started to befriend him "in attempt to gain his trust," Nelson said.

She told him she wasn't going to call the police and would try to help him, Nelson said. She even went as far as to promise to arrange a job interview for a security or bodyguard position for the man the following day, Nelson said.

The woman later told investigators that she had set up the interview so "she could exact vigilante justice on him," Nelson said. "The victim was afraid the suspect would not be sent to prison for the crime."

She ultimately decided to call the sheriff at the urging of a relative who used to work as a police officer, Nelson said.

When he showed up for the supposed job interview at a Starbucks in Hayward, Moore was met by sheriff's deputies, Nelson said.

150   DennisN   2007 Aug 28, 11:50am  

we’re free riding on the backs of the poor, ignorant, stupid, uneducated, and financially existential.

Makes you PROUD to be an American!! ;)

I don’t mind paying $0,25 to use the ATM card at a gas station. That’s fair and square.

You must go to the wrong gas stations.

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