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prime areas in bay area will never see a dramatic reduction in price


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2010 Aug 26, 8:34am   27,681 views  109 comments

by chip_designer   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

testing it

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104   EBGuy   2010 Aug 30, 8:12am  

From Another parcel tax may be coming for Lafayette School District
Lafayette residents voted in 2007 to increase the district's current parcel tax from $132 to $313, with 3 percent annual increases.
Residents of the Acalanes Union High School District pay $301 yearly for two parcel taxes, both approved within the past year.

By my estimate, these folks are still 'underpaying' on their parcel taxes (though the 3% annual increase is impressive).

105   Â¥   2010 Aug 30, 4:03pm  

Serpentor says

Price to income is the key.

Interest rates are ~half what they were 10 years ago . . . that really helps the "affordability" part.

106   Serpentor   2010 Aug 30, 4:29pm  

lending standards have tightened up. Interest rates won't stay low forever.

107   thomas.wong1986   2010 Aug 30, 5:31pm  

Serpentor says

As to whether it will drop to 1995 levels? I don’t know because I don’t have income/price levels back to those levels. I do know that back in 1997 when I came to the area, the economy was roaring, people were getting bonuses left and right, interns were getting free cars, furnish apts, and a fat salary. I don’t think “house price to income” ratio dropping down to 1998 would be so hard to imagine, in fact it is inevitable.

All thanks to investor money from VCs from 1998-2000. To the tune of $150B made many folks feel rich. But then by mid 2000 to 2001 it pretty much dried up and so went the salaries and bonus. There was too much money chasing too few good ideas.

You will find details on PWCmoneytree.com Left hand side.. Historical Trend Data.

108   JasonM   2015 Aug 29, 11:11am  

Cvoc13 says

I disagree, I think we will in fact see 1997 or back to 1993 type prices in all of these areas. Might take until 2014 or so, but when the trickle down goes up to those 6 figure incomes types and knocks them down. Now of course there are PRIME properties, one off's I am not talking about those those are the exception not the rule. I do in fact expect to major declines as I have said before why. But what they heck we all have our own thoughts, and frankly none of us has a crystal ball (I don't anyway) But I feel strongly at least.

Wow - talk about delusional. What the hell was wrong with these people?

109   Ceffer   2015 Aug 29, 12:08pm  

The tiger moms will take flamethrowers and burn down homes until the demand makes the prices go back up again.

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