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Phase 2 of the Real Bailoutâ„¢ is here


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2008 Feb 27, 2:33am   26,909 views  273 comments

by HARM   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Portfolio Caps Will Be Lifted (Update2)

Phase 1 : Congress raised the GSE (Fannie and Freddie) conforming loan limit from $417,000 to $729,000.

Phase 2 : Congress instructs the OFHEO to lift portfolio caps on the GSEs (which were placed there because of GSE "accounting irregularities" and concerns about the GSE's size/share of market).

Next up...

Phase 3 : Eliminating all qualifying “standards” on the type of mortagages the GSEs can buy: allowing no-docs/NINJAs, neg-ams, I/Os, option ARMs and assorted hybrids.

Phase 4 : Congress making implicit GSE guarantees explicit, and taxpayers assuming/liquidating the portfolios of the soon-to-be bankrupt GSEs (RTC, part II)

Can’t happen, you say? Never say “never” where a bought-off "Socialize all losses" Con-gress and whining, clueless, bleating "why me?" sheeple are concerned.

HARM

« First        Comments 198 - 237 of 273       Last »     Search these comments

198   Peter P   2008 Feb 27, 2:17pm  

But the 10 planks absolutely do not fit the present US policies.

199   SP   2008 Feb 27, 2:18pm  

Malcolm Says:
I do admit it is radical, but what a fun concept to be an innovator/early adopter for. I think it looks awesome too.

Man, you would have loved this thing they used to sell back in the 90s, called the Corbin Sparrow, built in Gilroy. Radical to look at, completely plug-in, absolutely a hoot to drive. They even had a prototype for a 2nd generation that looked nicer, but they filed for bankruptcy a few years ago.

I heard someone was trying to revive the company, not sure what happened.

200   Malcolm   2008 Feb 27, 2:19pm  

What I'd like to know is what it seemed like when the Depression started. I know they went into the same denial, I've actually learned that from reading some of the links. Growing up, I often heard the stories about how miserable it was. People actually were starving. I don't know if our modern society will have a repeat of that or if it will be a Depression on paper or like Randy says just a big R. To me, for it to meet the definition of a Depression A) it has to happen to me and B) there needs to be long bread lines and real misery.

201   Peter P   2008 Feb 27, 2:23pm  

We invented the printing press not so long ago.

Moreover, unlike the past, US now has a powerful military, which is useful in fending off creditors.

202   Peter P   2008 Feb 27, 2:24pm  

However, the financial system may experience Depression-like influences.

Although I do not like moral hazards, I still have to praise Bernanke for saving our banking system, if he is to succeed, that is.

203   Malcolm   2008 Feb 27, 2:29pm  

I recognize the need to not let it collapse but that was just rampant stupidity. Criminally negligent.

How about fining the CEOs for all they're worth and dishing out some jail time?

204   Malcolm   2008 Feb 27, 2:30pm  

Still though, FDIC is covering the deposits, so what's the big deal in letting it all go to pot?

205   Peter P   2008 Feb 27, 2:31pm  

One probable cause of the Great Depression was underconsumption.

Perhaps retiring boomers will be our savior this time around. There should be no fear of them under-consuming whatsoever. :)

206   Malcolm   2008 Feb 27, 2:31pm  

Like CFC's tan man....he was criminally negligent. These people need to be held to a standard of public trust. They are backed by public funds.

207   Malcolm   2008 Feb 27, 2:33pm  

As long as you give them payments they'll buy anything. Oh man, I saw the funniest King of the Hill the other day where the grandfather wanted to buy a timeshare in Mexico. It was classic!

208   Peter P   2008 Feb 27, 2:33pm  

How about fining the CEOs for all they’re worth and dishing out some jail time?

It will happen. A few scapegoats will go down in numerous witch-hunts.

just rampant stupidity

'Stupidity' is the alternate spelling for 'humanity.'

209   Peter P   2008 Feb 27, 2:34pm  

I think a War is much more likely than a Depression.

210   Malcolm   2008 Feb 27, 2:37pm  

That's my worst case fear. Mexico is already firing across our border at the border patrol. We could have a real body count from pissed off investors going in and shooting some of these investment firms up. Nothing like finding out the servicer didn't complete the paperword properly so basically you bought someone else a house free and clear.

211   B.A.C.A.H.   2008 Feb 27, 2:37pm  

Malcolm,

If you look at my post again, you'll see that I didn't write that you were wrong, nor did I say that you were offensive. I merely said my substitution of street terms for your politically correct characterization of "most" of us is just another way of saying the same thing.

I wasn't disagreeing. And I didn't say you were being offensive, and I didn't take offense. So if you wanna say that I'm the offensive one, go ahead. "Some" or maybe as you said "most" mainstream Americans who grew up in mainstream USA and learned physics and math but failed in social skills took our social un-intelligence with us to engineering school and the workplace. Hardly surprising that some (or as you put it "most") of us lack the social intelligence to recognize things like your irrational exuberance or whatever. So that's one caste.

There's another, from elite upbringings in places all over the USA and all over the world, with all the perks and best resources and opportunties afforded by their birthright, including the most elite engineering schools. Coddled much of their life by hearing accolades about how special and smart they are, drawn from all over the world to the "Silicon Valley" or "tech" cache, you really think they're gonna listen to anything that you or me or anyone else has to say when they have been told their whole lives how smart they are, when they "know" that real estate only goes up? So there's those types, too.

212   Malcolm   2008 Feb 27, 2:38pm  

Have a good night man.

213   Peter P   2008 Feb 27, 2:39pm  

Mexico is already firing across our border at the border patrol.

We need that double-layered fence built ASAP.

214   Randy H   2008 Feb 27, 2:42pm  

Depression is a political term. The "Great Depression" was a deflationary recession in economic terms. The "Great Depression" in Europe was (in many countries) the opposite -- hyperinflation. What made them depressions was the fact that the event threatened and changed governments.

I believe we are all but immune to hyperinflation, for the reason Peter points out -- we have a credible military. It's hard to collect from people who won't pay and have a lot of carrier fleets. Other examples would be Russia in the 90s, Israel years earlier.

But we aren't immune, however, to a good old fashioned liquidity trap.

215   Peter P   2008 Feb 27, 2:44pm  

But we aren’t immune, however, to a good old fashioned liquidity trap.

For that, we have the printing press! :)

216   Peter P   2008 Feb 27, 2:46pm  

It is very important to maintain a credible military. It is one of the few things that cannot be privatized.

God help us.

217   Malcolm   2008 Feb 27, 2:46pm  

Yes, the most arrogant ones of those castes that I encountered were from European countries where they are never questioned, and always had job security due to the social caste systems there. We even had one of those guys commit suicide at Metallic Power after he managed to get himself fired for this atitude.
So I do think I've encountered my fair share. On the flip side, some of my closest friends were from those days and they definitely were not intreverted nerds, although even they joked about how badly their peers were at understanding economics or logistics. Then there was a group of very smart nerdy types who were so insecure they could never commit to something, they always doubted everything, and created more stumbling blocks than they solved. Nothing ever got completed because of this almost anti social behavior. I've seen it all.

218   B.A.C.A.H.   2008 Feb 27, 2:47pm  

Randy,

Well glad that I was wrong that you only "used to" post here.

Didn't say I hated you.

Not at all. It was I who solicited your opinion, because I respect and learn from what you wrote here, about the gold.

I asked your opinion (not advice) about gold, and you gave it. Something about the only good that would come from it would be to use it to flee the country (like maybe, some Vietnamese did after the fall of Saigon), but also something about that in that case, someone else would probably rob me for it. I took it as a double entendre, like the robbery might be the imposition of some kind of capital controls like the failed ones Mitterand imposed early in his first term.

I also noticed you expressed that sentiment to others at other price points too.

Well I didn't take your opinion as advice, but I did take note of it.

219   Peter P   2008 Feb 27, 2:49pm  

Yes, the most arrogant ones of those castes that I encountered were from European countries where they are never questioned, and always had job security due to the social caste systems there.

They need to understand that intelligence is just a commodity nowadays. If they are not flying around in private jets, they have no business being arrogant.

220   Peter P   2008 Feb 27, 2:51pm  

We are back to the days of 200+ comments per day. :)

221   Malcolm   2008 Feb 27, 2:53pm  

Didn't know it was a challenge. I have to stop myself sometimes, if you get me on a rant, I'll get it up to 250 :(
I know I can't help it.

222   Randy H   2008 Feb 27, 2:53pm  

Sybrib

It's all good. It's been a while, and honestly I don't remember you particularly hating me. I was referring to the "goldbugs" who came on here with eerily regularity pasting links, pushing some "brokerage" or another, and invoking hellfire and damnation as a reason to load up on gold eagle coins.

Gold is a great component of a reasonable portfolio, in my opinion. Commodities in general might be pretty good for the near term, due to inflation. My only point was don't expect to "spend" your gold. It's not money. And I always prefer investments into things that produce cash flows.

223   Malcolm   2008 Feb 27, 2:54pm  

Yes, that's what I used to say to (nicely) and about them. In this country you're worth what you can actually deliver, don't try flaunting some status thing around like you're indisposable.

224   Peter P   2008 Feb 27, 2:55pm  

Gold is just a trading vehicle to me. I am completely detached when it comes to investments.

225   Malcolm   2008 Feb 27, 2:56pm  

Anyway, I'm good with leaving it as is. Just please know I don't look down on anyone who is genuine.

Take care.

226   Peter P   2008 Feb 27, 2:59pm  

It’s not money.

Gold coins *are* legal tenders, so they are technically money. However, you probably don't want to "spend" them at their face values. :)

227   EBGuy   2008 Feb 27, 4:58pm  

Yes, I went physical, and yes at one time I had a 10oz bar which used to make me nervous.
That is so freakin' cool. Would you open the top of the toilet tank and point out your "water saver" to guests? Seriously, though, 10 oz. is about the break even point with the GLD ETF, which looses .4% a year. A Wells Fargo safety deposit box is $40 a year. And this still doesn't take into account security issues of buying and selling physical gold.
I am still in shock over the Euro. Any idea of who will blink first, the Fed or the ECB? And speaking of which, currency swaps are/were a huge part of the Fed SOMA portfolio. I am assuming this means that the Fed is holding a bunch of Euros, which, so far, seem to be getting more valuable. Ahh sweet, we lose but the Fed wins! Hurray for out team... let's devalue our way to prosperity.

228   Lost Cause   2008 Feb 27, 5:02pm  

People are going to be crushed under the palettes of $100 bills.

229   HeadSet   2008 Feb 27, 10:22pm  

Randy H says:
And I always prefer investments into things that produce cash flows.

Here! Here!

230   Malcolm   2008 Feb 27, 11:34pm  

I don't have an opinion on Euros. I don't even follow it but a friend emailed me yesterday and said, hey I just made some money with Euros.

Holding a 10 oz bar is a very interesting feeling. Pure gold is a beautiful substance.

231   Patrick   2008 Feb 27, 11:58pm  

Gold is beautiful but wicked. Like certain women.

232   Malcolm   2008 Feb 28, 12:09am  

I think there is a relationship there. The more gold you get, the more women you can get. The more women you get, the less gold you have left over.

233   DennisN   2008 Feb 28, 12:29am  

It is just scary reading the 10 planks of the Communist Manifesto and matching that with US history of the period.

I think you would like reading Jonah Goldberg's new book, LIBERAL FASCISM, in which he explores the thesis that fascism and Nazism are left-wing phenomina, rather than the standard mainstream-media take that they are right-wing phenomina.

Randy, make sure you pick up the DVD of John Milius'

234   DennisN   2008 Feb 28, 12:32am  

THE WIND AND THE LION. It shows Theodore Roosevelt the way he should have been (it adds some Hollywood touches).

Heck I'm a typical social-graceless tech guy too. Degrees in physics and applied math, worked as a circuit designer then later systems engineer before going off to the "soft geek" world of law school.

235   DennisN   2008 Feb 28, 12:34am  

We need that double-layered fence built ASAP.

Wouldn't a simple anti-personel mine field be a much cheaper and more effective barrier? You can't get over those with either a ladder or a coyote.

236   Peter P   2008 Feb 28, 12:35am  

fascism and Nazism are left-wing phenomina

Of course. I thought individual freedom (with attached responsibilities) is a "right wing" concept.

237   Peter P   2008 Feb 28, 12:36am  

Wouldn’t a simple anti-personel mine field be a much cheaper and more effective barrier?

Then we will need a double-layered fence to keep people from the mine field. ;)

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