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When and How Low????????


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2011 Jun 18, 3:48pm   21,744 views  81 comments

by HousingBoom   ➕follow (1)   💰tip   ignore  

1. When do you think U.S. home prices (nationally) will bottom?

2. How much further do you think prices will drop (nationally) before prices bottom?

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80   odin   2011 Jul 3, 9:52am  

Looking at the graphs above, tell me why housing prices wont revert back to the mean? After all, if they can go up by X percent, they can go back down by the same percent, yes?

People are not making that much more than in 2000 (if any). The population, if you include retirees, is not increasing. Interests rates can't really go lower. And, I feel that rent is increasing only because people don't want to buy- and that is creating rental demand- it's a dislocation, not a correlation. Now, in my area of NJ prices are no where near even their 2000 levels.

Tell me why prices won't DEPRECIATE (not crash) back to the mean, over a number of years?

81   Â¥   2011 Jul 3, 9:58am  

odin says

Tell me why prices won’t DEPRECIATE (not crash) back to the mean, over a number of years?

1970s style inflation.

Don't see it happening, but I can't say it won't.

The minimum wage in Calif doubled between 1968 and 1981. It could double in the next 12 years.

That's the general trend; the system desperately needs wage inflation. Maybe we'll actually get it.

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