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Social effects of the bubble


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2005 Sep 21, 3:01am   51,689 views  583 comments

by SQT15   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

Per Jamie's request

What kind of social impact do you think there has been by the bubble? Are people any different because of the wealth effect? What about the social impact on people who have not bought into the RE market? Do you think what we are seeing is predictable human behavior that will occur again in the next bubble?

Is there a social impact we haven't discussed yet?

#bubbles

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75   Peter P   2005 Sep 21, 10:21am  

Guys, is there a dilplomatic solution?

76   Peter P   2005 Sep 21, 10:30am  

Okay, this needs to stop.

77   Peter P   2005 Sep 21, 10:35am  

Peter P, actually yes, there is a diplomatic solution, I won’t post here anymore, as quite frankly while I really enjoy most of your comments, fucknobs like Primetroll are the reason I despise the BA.

That is entirely unacceptable. You are a star here. I sincerely ask you to stay.

Why don't you start the next thread and you will have the power to delete?

78   Randy H   2005 Sep 21, 10:48am  

Social effects of the bubble

The great schadenfreude I'll experience as I watch myriad Realtors(tm) get bounced out of their leased Lexuses. Oh where will they all end up? They're not charasmatic enough to sell used cars. They lack the quantitative skills to be insurance adjustors, or the salesmanship to be insurance agents. Forget about real licenses like CPAs or Series-X. Hmmm. I think we'll see that social-mobility (downward) theory come to life for this bunch. And this, I'll not mourn.

79   Peter P   2005 Sep 21, 10:54am  

Social effects of the bubble

LOL. Randy, you are the expert!

Forget about real licenses like CPAs or Series-X.

Amazing that real estate professionals do not have real licenses.

80   HARM   2005 Sep 21, 10:59am  

Peter P,

Thanks for taking care of our little 'problem child' --you beat me to it. I really wish he'd take up Surfer-X on his offer. I have a feeling that would take care of the problem ;-) .

81   SQT15   2005 Sep 21, 11:01am  

I'm sorry I wasn't here when the troll started posting, I can't monitor the site all the time so it's ineveitable the troll will post when I'm not here. I'm begging you guys to please stop responding to him. He likes the insults. He's here for the attention. You must ignore him or he won't go. Surfer-X, please don't go, I'll always jump in and delete his comments as soon as I can. But know this, there is nothing you can do to annoy him more than ignoring him. Truly.

82   Peter P   2005 Sep 21, 11:01am  

Thanks for taking care of our little ‘problem child’ –you beat me to it.

That was SactoQt, not me. :)

83   Peter P   2005 Sep 21, 11:02am  

BTW, only Patrick and the thread-owner has the power.

84   SQT15   2005 Sep 21, 11:07am  

Yup, anyone who starts a thread has power to delete, this one just happens to be "mine."

85   HARM   2005 Sep 21, 11:08am  

Say goodbye to MP's latest incarnation. He'll be back soon enough, of course.

86   OO   2005 Sep 21, 11:11am  

I think whoever thinks that US is definitely going down need to take some time off and travel around the world for a year, and I mean it. There is nothing more telling than seeing the world with your own eyes. If you think we stink, there are far more stinkier countries out there. I say so because I am a first generation immigrant (legal of course) and I thought real hard about which passport to carry. I deliberately worked and studied in many countries to make sure I don't get on a sinking boat.

I am with Randy H 100% on his/her assessment of the situation. Grant it, when the bubble bursts, we will be heading into probably the most difficult period of American history, since we need to repay many debt that this country has accumulated over the years, moral debt, social debt, skill debt, etc, the list goes on. But never lose sight that even with all these problems, we still enjoyone of the highest natural resources per capita, we have more than enough food and water generated in this country for our own consumption (60% of world's food output comes from US) even if world trade comes to an entire halt. So if it is going to be the end of the world, I will stick around here because we shall have a better survival chance than anywhere else on earth. Period.

In a way, we need a big recession. We have been sick for a while, and it is about time that the symptoms surface altogether so we can take a stab at the root of the problem. Perhaps we have to turn a bit left for social stability, perhaps we have to cut down shopping expenditure, that is all needed for the healing process.

87   KurtS   2005 Sep 21, 11:13am  

Wow, guess something happened while I was away.
Did someone have a meltdown? awww.

Why don’t you start the next thread and you will have the power to delete?

X-man, stay around--your posts are interesting, and far more relevant than our bent Marina statistician.

88   Escaped from DC   2005 Sep 21, 11:33am  

1. Let everybody speak. To silence one is a mistake.

2. Ignore him or don't.

3. Surfer X, come on man, thicken that skin. Physical threats? He's beaten you so many times here, why take it up in person? He has got a thumb on your button, and you can't ever beat a button pusher by popping your head off every time he pushes your button.

4. To threaten a man about whom you know little or nothing is either very brave or very foolish. As I once said in a younger year when anger was still within me . . . "I don't care how big you are, if you're not bulletproof, you're picking the wrong fight."

89   OO   2005 Sep 21, 11:34am  

According to Merrill's annual survey, we have close to 4M millionaires in the US (50% of the world), classified as those with at least 1M worth of cash or cash equivalents (stock, bonds, etc.), realty holdings and occupied homes don't count towards the networth. I think only these 4M people should be counted towards the sub-rich class. Of course, the billionaires are also included in the 4M number.

90   SQT15   2005 Sep 21, 11:39am  

Escaped from the District . . . With Kurt Russel Says:

1. Let everybody speak. To silence one is a mistake.

2. Ignore him or don’t.

3. Surfer X, come on man, thicken that skin. Physical threats? He’s beaten you so many times here, why take it up in person? He has got a thumb on your button, and you can’t ever beat a button pusher by popping your head off every time he pushes your button.

4. To threaten a man about whom you know little or nothing is either very brave or very foolish. As I once said in a younger year when anger was still within me . . . “I don’t care how big you are, if you’re not bulletproof, you’re picking the wrong fight.”

Please don't chime in just to stir the pot, it isn't needed or wanted. Many many times has the blog voted to BAN the troll, we've tried to block him but he's so desperate for attention he won't go away. We like Surfer-X and want to keep him so please don't add to the antagonism.

91   Escaped from DC   2005 Sep 21, 11:45am  

I was chiming in to stir the pot?

Man o man. Does that minimize what I thought I was doing.

Hey - sure - whatever. I guess I'll try to go figure out why I cared enough to post.

Don't feed the troll. Mollify the profane crybaby who provides "valuable posts."

Oh wait, look, I'm a troll. Better delete this post before is messes up the profound continuity of this thread.

92   Peter P   2005 Sep 21, 11:47am  

I vote to nicely ask Surfer-X to stay.

93   Peter P   2005 Sep 21, 11:48am  

Oh wait, look, I’m a troll. Better delete this post before is messes up the profound continuity of this thread.

How are you a troll?

94   Peter P   2005 Sep 21, 11:50am  

Escape, your view are highly valued too.

Gosh, diplomacy is hard.

95   SQT15   2005 Sep 21, 11:51am  

So I have enjoyed the company of this board. You all seem like decent people. You all certainly are smart people.

When you first get the notion that I may be right, some of you might be able to find me. Send me an email.

Maybe.
Maybe we can help fill that void.

I think I know how.

I think we can do it.

Goodbye folks, be good to your neighbors, regardless of how little they will deserve your goodness.

You posted this earlier in a fit of pique and only came back to defend what?? The troll his ability to irritate the hell out of everyone? We have tried to block him from the site at least 4 times because he's nothing more than an irritant. You think this is about free speech? You certainly objected to other pov's enough earlier to "leave" when you didn't like what was said. But now you're going to pull out the "holier than thou" card for an idiot who does nothing but provoke? Why waste your time?

96   Peter P   2005 Sep 21, 12:03pm  

I think we need to relax and have some iced tea again.

97   SQT15   2005 Sep 21, 12:12pm  

Peter P

I am sorry. I shouldn't get into any arguements either. But I'm tired of defending myself when I am simply doing what the majority of the blog has asked for.

98   KDLady   2005 Sep 21, 12:18pm  

You know how to discipline an errant child don't you? Ignore and/or distract.

Surfer X - you are much too intelligent to get drawn in to this MP - head in the sand- person's mentality.

Come on, seriously, what kind of person takes the time to go out of his way to make other people feel so badly about themselves? Only someone with pathetically low self esteem. He is only trying to make himself feel better ( about what we don't know) but rest assured, he is hurting ( if MP was as successful as he wants us to believe, why in God's name would be even have a minute to spare or even bother to spew such hatred to people on this board)?

He is bored and unfulfilled - don't even respond - just pretend ( better yet, don't even read his posts) that he doesn't exist. Life is too short - don't even waste another minute on this wanna be.

99   Peter P   2005 Sep 21, 12:19pm  

But I’m tired of defending myself when I am simply doing what the majority of the blog has asked for.

You do not need to defend yourself against all POVs. You have the understanding of the majority. Thanks for maintaining all these recent threads. I should have been less lazy. ;)

100   OO   2005 Sep 21, 1:01pm  

jbunniii,

our neighbor, Canada, has an oil reserve that is only second to Saudi, in the form of oil sand, in Alberta. Brazil also has a huge reserve that will be made profitable to explore if the spike in oil price continues.

As a continent, we are assured of oil, food supply, drinking water. I am just looking at the worst case scenario. There are far worse continents, e.g. Asia, Europe (excl Russia), and of course Africa. If we can stand the worst case scenario, the rest is all upside.

101   SQT15   2005 Sep 21, 1:16pm  

I gotta log off for awhile. Ignore anything the troll posts and I'll delete when I get back. Eventually if we all ignore him, he'll go since he's not getting the attention he so desperately craves. And since I'm going to delete, it'll be like he was never here anyway.

102   OO   2005 Sep 21, 2:54pm  

Just a random thought.

What will the recent climatic catastrophy in the Gulf/FL region do to CA realty? I don't remember the east coast and the Gulf area whacked by hurricanes every year 10 years ago. Will the northeastern well-off snowbirds eventually realize that the Pacific coast is a better alternative than the-soon-to-be-under-water FL? Will that mean CA RE will just stand strong because obviously there will be millions of Americans who can afford to pay more for a better weather? Compared to this persistent annual disaster, once-in-a-while earthquake is just a piece of cake.

103   SQT15   2005 Sep 21, 2:59pm  

Just a random thought.

What will the recent climatic catastrophy in the Gulf/FL region do to CA realty? I don’t remember the east coast and the Gulf area whacked by hurricanes every year 10 years ago. Will the northeastern well-off snowbirds eventually realize that the Pacific coast is a better alternative than the-soon-to-be-under-water FL? Will that mean CA RE will just stand strong because obviously there will be millions of Americans who can afford to pay more for a better weather? Compared to this persistent annual disaster, once-in-a-while earthquake is just a piece of cake.

Given the outrageous cost of RE here in CA displaced people might look to the midwest instead. We'll see.

104   SQT15   2005 Sep 21, 3:07pm  

My husband had a funny story today. He knows a guy who's trying to sell a house in El Dorado Hills, its been on the market for 4-5 months I think. The guy is such an idiot.

He puts the house on the market for $750,000 and gets and offer for $705,000, his response is "are they nuts! I'm not selling for $705K." And he lets the house sit. A month or two goes by and he re-lists the house at $700,000 and someone offers him $680,000. He gives the same answer and doesn't sell. The house is now listed at $650,000 and he says he'd kill for an offer of $680,000. But if someone offers him less than $650,000 he's not going to take it! I wonder how long this is going to go on and how low he'll eventually go. If I hear I'll let you know.

105   SQT15   2005 Sep 21, 3:09pm  

Jack

I was thinking of emailing Surfer-X and telling him that everyone wants him to stay, but I don't want to be too pushy. What do you think?

106   SQT15   2005 Sep 21, 3:34pm  

Cindy

All I know is that the guy bought a new house and is selling the old one. He has family money so doesn't have to sweat it too much, but he keeps wanting to hold out for more money and is just sitting watching the price go down rather than take an offer.

107   SJ_jim   2005 Sep 21, 3:35pm  

How 'bout some crazy/bizarre real estate property ads? Or, in this case, a series of ads that basically amounts to crazy. These below are for the same property, posted on Sept 15, 18, & 21 (top to bottom):
http://www.craigslist.org/sby/rfs/97828686.html
http://www.craigslist.org/sby/rfs/97949488.html
http://www.craigslist.org/sby/rfs/99093921.html

If you don't want to look, basically the price for same unit is listed at 459K, 450K, and 439K on Sep. 15, 16, and 21. At least CL is free.
The funny thing is, a while back, the person was listing the price higher, then lower, then higher within a 1-2 wk time frame. Like friggin' realtor schizophrenia. LOL.
Oh here's another interesting read:
http://www.craigslist.org/sby/rfs/98431958.html

108   Jamie   2005 Sep 21, 3:39pm  

LOL, this thread is crazy. I vote that I not be allowed to suggest any more topics for discussion. Can I get an "amen?" :-P

Surfer-X, I'm sorry about your friend. And I do hope you'll stick around. We need someone to rage against the machine.

Owneroccupier, your point about us having it better than most of the world is well-taken. Thanks for adding a ray of light in all the doom and gloom. :-) I want to believe that any bad economic times to come will ultimately bring positive change.

RE the catastrophes in the gulf coast region, I would be very surprised if it contributed to a greater demand for real estate here in CA. Many people who've never lived in CA are terrified of the earthquakes, so I'm guessing the snow birds and such are not going to flee one disaster area for another potential one. Plus real estate is so relatively cheap there as opposed to here (even with recent run-up in FL prices), it's pretty hard for people to make the leap from that region to this one. Or at least it seems that way to me. :-)

109   HARM   2005 Sep 21, 3:40pm  

SactoQt,

Great story --this is a classic example of riding the market downhill.
Btw, I wouldn't worry about Surfer-X --he'll be back eventually. As Jack, Cindy, Karrie, etc. correctly pointed out, irritating though the troll may be, no one should be feeding him. The more negative attention he gets, the more he keeps coming back.

110   Jamie   2005 Sep 21, 3:41pm  

PS I'm clearly feeling the need to add many smiley faces to this thread. Please excuse the excessive smiling.

111   SQT15   2005 Sep 21, 3:45pm  

PS I’m clearly feeling the need to add many smiley faces to this thread. Please excuse the excessive smiling.

Personally I could use the smiles. I mixed a double martini and took a bath to unwind. This is supposed to be fun right? Btw, I'm trying to watch the thread while taking care of two kids and packing to move in a week and a half. Have pity on me when I can't get to the troll's post's and ignore ignore ignore. I'm begging here. :?

112   HARM   2005 Sep 21, 3:47pm  

PS I’m clearly feeling the need to add many smiley faces to this thread. Please excuse the excessive smiling.

No :mrgreen: need :twisted: for :roll: you :evil: to :oops: apologize :lol: we :razz: understand :cool: the :shock: feeling :grin: completely :???:

113   SJ_jim   2005 Sep 21, 3:49pm  

I think it's somewhat likely that some people, in the frigid northeast, who had been planning on buying retirement/vacation property somewhere on the warm sunny gulf coast, would naturally look set their sights on california in light of the recent gulf coast disaster(s). How many people??? Anyone's guess. Hopefully, for their sake, they come out & experience the crisp & cool ocean water before committing to buy.

114   Jamie   2005 Sep 21, 3:52pm  

Sacto, you're doing a great job. You shouldn't feel like you have to babysit us all the time. :-) :-) :-) :-) :-)

HARM, LOL. I must expand my emoticon language skills. I love the face with the shocked eyes. I'm too lazy to go look up how to do them all.

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