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Why is DC so expensive?


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2011 Sep 22, 12:04pm   22,386 views  53 comments

by Patrick   ➕follow (60)   💰tip   ignore  

From a patrick.net reader:

http://washingtonexaminer.com/local/2011/09/washington-area-richest-nation-last-year

This is why there are still $400,000-$600,000 townhouses in this area and there are $300,000 pieces of sh** on the market right now that should be selling for waaay less.

I live an HOUR away from DC and it is extremely hard to find affordable home prices, still.

I would love to get your take on the government's influence on the prices in this area (DC, No. VA, MD). It is certainly propping up the economy in this area... Maybe the house prices will never go down..
The roads are so congested here because people are moving further and further away from their jobs to commute to work. I know people that commute from Pennsylvania to Bethesda, MD.

Hey at least we have jobs, right?

My take is that the lobbyists' take is HUGE and growing throughout Republican and Democratic administrations alike, and this is driving up housing prices in the DC area as the lobbyists gorge on their cut of bribes to Congressmen:

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/reliable-source/2010/04/check_it_out_big_salaries_for.html

Until we have publicly funded campaigns the country will continue to be run by corporations and billionaires for their own benefit.

Unfortunately, we took a huge step backwards recently when the Supreme Court ruled that corporations are people and therefore entitled to First Amendment protection so they can spend as much as they want on political campaigns. Bullshit!

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Citizens_United_v._Federal_Election_Commission

#housing

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41   zzyzzx   2011 Sep 27, 3:18am  

Matt99999 says

I get down in the dirt , work boots, blue jeans and I am swamped with work and I havent made less than 6 figures since 1982

What do you do for a living?

42   corntrollio   2011 Sep 27, 4:18am  

OurBroker says

Mr. and Mrs. Smith make $300,000 a year, $25,000 a month. With a 28 percent front ratio they can spend $7.000 for mortgage interest and principal, property taxes and property insurance -- say $5,500 a month for principal and interest. At 4.25 percent they can borrow $1,085,486.37.

$7K/month is quite hefty -- more than 40% of net, and could easily be 45%+ depending on your payroll deductions. Not sure I'd feel comfortable with that myself, even as a job creator.

However, when I actually did the math on this, I got more like $8K/month (pre-tax) in costs, using submedian's calculator, assuming 40% marginal tax deduction (35% federal AMT + 5% Maryland). That'd be 50% of net income even with very low payroll deductions. The loan amount alone was $1100 more than you estimated at $6620, and your estimate is probably wrong because it's a massive jumbo loan and would have a higher rate.

You can use http://www.paycheckcity.com/calculator/netpay/us/maryland/result.html to figure out what net pay would be, roughly, which of course would need to be adjusted by tax preferences like the mortgage interest deduction ($1M limit of principal + $100K equity loan, right, so if you got a $1.085M first mortgage, not all the interest is deductible).

43   OurBroker   2011 Sep 27, 4:59am  

$25,000 per month x 28% = $7,000.

If you have a household income of $300,000 that's $25,000 per month gross -- before taxes.

My example is designed to provide a general illustration. It's very much in the ballpark.

44   corntrollio   2011 Sep 27, 6:10am  

OurBroker says

$25,000 per month x 28% = $7,000.

Yes, I get that the traditional ratio supports it (and agree with you on that -- I've stated numerous times that traditional ratios are 28/36). What I'm saying is that it might not be a wise financial decision to commit such a high percentage of your net, especially in this economy where you might want to keep a cushion.

That is the maximum point at which a bank gives you a traditional mortgage. Do you really want to be at the maximum and be house-poor with a mortgage that will be quite difficult to pay off, even at such a high income?

I already pointed out that your total monthly calculation was wrong. It's actually more like $8K/month, of which $6600 is mortgage payment, so scale down the mortgage you gave us by 1/6.

45   OurBroker   2011 Sep 27, 6:21am  

If you're ultimate point is that people should not borrow the maximum available to them under lender guidelines then we agree.

My example is to generally illustrate a point. In reality deals differ considerably based on any number of variables. This doesn't make my illustration "wrong."

46   monkframe   2011 Sep 27, 2:30pm  

Q: Why is DC so expensive?

A: Because it's the seat of power, and a good warm seat in the morning is a damned expensive thing!

47   Schizlor   2011 Sep 28, 6:34am  

The Heights of Buildings act of 1910 is what limits the heights of the city's buildings. It's a common misconception that there are laws stating no building can be higher than the Capitol or the Washington Monument, though by the letter of the law, it would automatically be illegal to build a building higher than the Washington Monument. This is because the height of a building is limited to the length of the street it sits on, plus an additional 20 feet. As there are no streets long enough to exceed the height of the monument, it would not be possible to build such a building in the city by default.

I for one like the effect this has had on the cityscape. Housing woes notwithstanding, anyone who's driven East from Arlington down the GW parkway towards Reagan National and beyond can appreciate the effect this has on the landscape. Its kind of nice to be able to see more than 100 feet into the city in any one direction, and that you can be across the river in Arlington and see scenes like this:

48   OurBroker   2011 Sep 28, 6:37am  

Hi --

What a great photo. Were you along the GW parkway somewhere?

49   Done!   2011 Sep 28, 7:07am  

Why? Because Jumbo loans helped keep prices high.
But not after October 1

Market Current limit Limit After October 1 Reduction in Limit
San Diego $697,500 $546,250 $151,250
Fairfield, CT $708,750 $575,000 $133,750
Los Angeles $729,750 $625,500 $104,250
Washington, DC (most counties) $729,750 $625,500 $104,250
Orange County, CA $729,750 $625,500 $104,250
Riverside-San Bernadino, CA $500,000 $417,000 $83,000
Baltimore (most counties) $560,000 $494,500 $65,500
Boston (most counties) $523,750 $465,750 $58,000

50   Schizlor   2011 Sep 28, 7:10am  

Can't take credit for that one actually, though from the looks of it it had to be right off the GWP

51   mdovell   2011 Sep 28, 11:43pm  

I'd hate to nitpick this...but..

Has any developer thought of building down instead of up?

I know they have underground centers in Montreal due to the cold. Naturally there would not be a view but if it is cheap enough it might be worth it.

52   corntrollio   2011 Sep 29, 5:06am  

PersainCAT says

Besides the fact that u usually dont build below 2-3 stories underground becasue no one wants to be down there, from my understanding DC has a high water table due to the type of land its built on. So any major underground buildings run the risk of flooding.

Yes, the Potomac being right there makes a difference too. This is why certain Metro configurations that require tunneling (e.g. Metro to Georgetown) are slightly more complicated as well.

Done! says

Why? Because Jumbo loans helped keep prices high.
But not after October 1

I for one am happy to see superconforming loan limits go down. They should go back down to $417K or lower, so this is just a good start.

53   B.A.C.A.H.   2011 Sep 29, 2:23pm  

Jumbo loans lead to jumbo mortgage interest deductions. Working families' subsidy for the rich, it is.

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