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Crumble crumble crumble


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2011 Dec 20, 12:49am   18,961 views  48 comments

by FuckTheMainstreamMedia   ➕follow (3)   💰tip   ignore  

LA is a lot like the Bay area in terms of home prices. The first places to decline hard after the 2006/07 peak were the rough neighborhoods and the outlying places. Then slowly prices in nice older areas with commutes started to fall.
For Los Angeles, this meant much of the SFV, and places like West Covina, Whittier, Hacienda Heights, and Lakewood...all places with 45 minute to 1 hour rush hour commutes to DTLA.

Yet safe, trendy, or gentrifying neighborhoods within a 45 minute or less commute to DTLA or the Westside remained stubbornly high.

This is starting to change. The first change was in Woodland Hills/Tarzana. Then Encino. Then Sherman Oaks. The one factor those areas share is that they are close in distance but far in drive from the Westside. One factor they also share is subpar schools(except WH which is furthest drive).

As such, the areas with good schools and a close rush hour drive to job centers still stayed in a bubble. My understanding is that this is also the case with the SF Bay Area.

No longer.

http://www.redfin.com/CA/Burbank/1900-N-Screenland-Dr-91505/home/5318080

I do realize this was an all cash sale, and that the buyer is almost guaranteed to be a flipper who is going to chuck this back on the market at $500K or so. Nonetheless, thats one heavy fall from the peak, and theoretically dropped the pricing back into the range where a middle class family...say a family of 4 with a $90K annual income...could afford to buy it. In a safe neighborhood with good schools and a reasonable commute to job centers.

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41   JG1   2011 Dec 22, 1:42pm  

dodgerfanjohn says

I don't think anyone really cares about your "gotcha" pulled from an over the top posting rife with exaggeration.

Then focus on my other posts, "Be Nice Or Take It Outside", or assume I was addressing the exaggerating poster, and not you.

42   B.A.C.A.H.   2011 Dec 22, 2:14pm  

thomas.wong1986 says

But SV has been around for decades. 1975-2000 were indeed the boom years given we grew to over 400 public companies, but now declined to 200 with a shrinking local work force.

It is different This Time. As China gets more politically unstable, more elites from over there have eyes cocked on Fortress Communities on the Left Coast. Hong Kong was a small city-state "kinda place", not really big enough to make that kind of stampede the 1990's. But one in five in the world nowadays live in China, with a lot more elites to stampede into places like The Fortress compared to only Hong Kong in the 1990's.

So the shrinking local work force is not entirely relevant for The Fortress.

43   wjw   2011 Dec 22, 3:42pm  

Graph above is great. Remember, more trouble due, as boomers in the midst of retiring, then dyin', the next generation's status as virtual jobless (Starbucks a job?). Where's the demand support. Good luck y'all.

44   JodyChunder   2011 Dec 22, 9:45pm  

B.A.C.A.H. says

So the shrinking local work force is not entirely relevant for The Fortress.

BACAH buddy I have been around probably longer than you if you counted your years up in dog years and than took that and times it by 2. I can tell you that all life looks like to me FOR SURE is one big loopty loop. nothing changes. toys are better.

45   B.A.C.A.H.   2011 Dec 23, 2:53pm  

JodyChunder says

ACAH buddy I have been around probably longer than you if you counted your years up in dog years and than took that and times it by 2

If I understood your math, I would doubt your assertion. But I don't understand your math.

46   JodyChunder   2011 Dec 23, 2:55pm  

i am old thats all. you seem young and slick to me in some of the stuff you say.

47   B.A.C.A.H.   2011 Dec 23, 3:08pm  

Jody, I turned 50 last month. Maybe you think that's young and slick. I dunno.

48   JodyChunder   2011 Dec 23, 3:40pm  

i apolofize bacah. you struck me as a young cavelier sort. take it as a compliment.

i still have many years on you.

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