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Global warming: the long term signal matters. Don't get too excited over short term variations.


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2017 Apr 28, 9:04am   1,267 views  2 comments

by FNWGMOBDVZXDNW   ➕follow (2)   💰tip   ignore  

I've been mentioning signal and noise ratios and the requirements for longer term trends when discussing global warming. Here's a write-up with a description of this phenomena and a statistical study showing why what we are observing is statistically expected. Don't get too excited over 3 or 4 year trends.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2017/apr/27/new-study-global-warming-keeps-on-keeping-on

Despite consistently being hit with news like this: https://thinkprogress.org/march-set-remarkable-global-warming-record-dfa2349c84c5

I think that we are watching a small random warming on top of a consistent and fast anthropogenic global warming trend.

#globalwarming

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1   FNWGMOBDVZXDNW   2017 Apr 28, 9:11am  

Here's a write-up about El Nino and the recent warm trend.

https://phys.org/news/2017-04-el-nino-global-hiatus.html

2   FNWGMOBDVZXDNW   2017 Apr 28, 9:21am  

Here's a good article from a couple of years ago warning against overreacting to the 'global warming hiatus' from 1998 to 2012. Good advice at the time and in hindsight.

http://www.nature.com/news/climate-change-the-case-of-the-missing-heat-1.14525

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