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California housing seen cooling further going into 2020: UCLA forecast
•While job growth and the California economy remain strong, weakness is apparent in the state's housing market and it is likely to cool further going into 2020, says the latest UCLA Anderson Forecast.
•The housing slowdown could put a damper on Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom's plans to step up the pace of new homes built to help ease the state's housing shortage.
•The director of the forecast says home prices are falling in many major markets of the Golden State, calling the decline "widespread and substantial."
While job growth and the California economy remain strong, weakness is apparent in the state's housing market and it is likely to cool further going into 2020, according to the latest UCLA Anderson Forecast, released Wednesday.
"The housing markets are softening in California, and it's not just the tony neighborhoods of San Francisco, Silicon Valley and West LA," said Jerry ...
Wish you could see valuations over google maps, to see price changes on more local level. Are declines more in shitty areas?
Are declines more in shitty areas?
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From November to December, sales of new and existing houses and condominiums in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties dropped 8.2 percent.
Sales usually rise in Southern California between November and December, with an average increase of around 12 percent, so this was clearly a huge aberration.
•The housing pain persists in Southern California, as higher costs weigh heavily on potential buyers. Home sales in the region fell 20.3 percent year over year in December, according to CoreLogic. That is the lowest December sales pace since 2007.
•From November to December, sales of new and existing houses and condominiums in the area dropped 8.2 percent in December.
•Sales usually rise in Southern California between November and December, with average increase of around 12 percent, so this was clearly a huge aberration.
"Last month's sharp drop in home sales stands out in several ways," said Andrew LePage, a CoreLogic analyst, noting that it was the slowest pace in 11 years and the largest decline for any month in more than eight years. "This drop in activity reflects a variety of factors. Mortgage rates hit a 2018 high in November, affecting December closings, and stock-market volatility created an additional headwind in high-end markets. Meanwhile, some would-be buyers remain priced out or unwilling to buy amid concerns that prices have overshot a sustainable level."
Sales of newly built homes fared particularly badly, down more than 50 percent from their average over the last 30 years. Much of that is because builders are still building far fewer homes since the housing crash, and part is because prices for newly built homes continue to soar.
"Half of America can only afford a $230,000 mortgage, and the builders in good locations just can't get down to anywhere near that," said John Burns, CEO of California-based John Burns Real Estate Consulting. "Eleven of the top 19 builders, their average sales price is above 400 grand."
More: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/30/southern-california-home-sales-plunge-20percent-in-december-lowest-pace-in-11-years.html
If you go back and look what happened not so long ago, it is interesting to see the same type of headlines.
Type in SoCal Housing in the search tab on here.
#SoCal #Housing