patrick.net

tatupu70 says

Uh oh. Kansas called for Cruz. And Cruz leading in Maine.

Yup and in KS by big margins. I wonder if the all out assault on Trump by everybody else in the repub party is starting to have an effect? If trump goes down in flames, I ain't voting for the repub-especially not for the slimy cretin Cruz.

Gasp I can't bring myself to vote Hillary-maybe will do the same as last time, when I didn't vote.

One of the benefits of being an independent is that you can vote for either party-but when both suck, you are stuck!

tatupu70 says

And Cruz leading in Maine.

That's fraud, then. No way Maine is for Cruz, Maine NEVER votes the Soc Con. I could believe Rubio or Kasich but not Cruz - see Vermont and Mass and NH.

Only 4.5% precincts recording, is probably the villages with 3 log cabins accessible only by a Forest Service road, and reported results via VHF Radio because no phone lines or cell towers in range.

5% of the vote counted, relax

Kansas is no Surprise, went for Santorum and Huckabee by 50% also.

I think he will pick up. But Trump it is for me-I am not voting for an aristocratic establishment nutjob again. A used car salesman has more ethics than those nuts.

https://gfycat.com/MerryImportantFlyingfish

Trump beats Romneys 2012 performance in Kansas

Kentucky looks like it's in the Bag.

Trump better get Lawyers ready for Maine, but let's see when the inhabited parts start counting, and not just the Mountain Manaics who nail dead Owls to their doors.

Kentucky and Louisiana, the big ones, in for Trump.

Cruz won Kansas, but shockingly, Maine - which I totally don't understand.

There's going to be a special place in hell for both Rubio and Kasich as well as their voters and delegates. Hell throw in the republican party for suggesting that they stay in the race to scew up Trump.

One of the best pressers Trump has given just ended. #winning

zzyzzx says

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/la/louisiana_republican_presidential_primary-4074.html

Trump + 20 in Lousiania!

There are polls for Kentucky (Trump+13) and Kansas (Trump+12),

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_republican_presidential_primary-3555.html

Trump at + 18.7 in Florida, a winner take all state

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/oh/ohio_republican_presidential_primary-4077.html

Trump at + 5 on Ohio

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_republican_presidential_primary-3555.html

Trump at +24 in Mississippi

Support definitely seems to be waning for Trump.

Polled at +20 in LA. Looks like he'll squeak out a close win. Maybe end up +3. Appears to have lost with votes cast on election day.
Polled at +12 in KS. Lost by 25. 37 point swing.
Polled at +13 in KY. Looks like he'll win by 4

The Establishment isn't playign around anymore. Get the ballots out of the dumpters and do a recount I bet it would be a different story than what uncle Gates is reporting.

Tenpoundbass says

The Establishment isn't playign around anymore. Get the ballots out of the dumpters and do a recount I bet it would be a different story than what uncle Gates is reporting

You know Microsoft isn't counting votes anymore, right?

tatupu70 says

You know Microsoft isn't counting votes anymore, right?

Why because people complained?
No they just aren't telling anyone anymore.
It's the software. There is and was no plan B vote talleying software.
They are still polling with machines right?

Tenpoundbass says

They are still polling with machines right?

No

And Maine (which I assume is what you are talking about) was a caucus.

Caucuses are different than Primaries. I expect all the diehard Cruz Churchladies and Pastors did some shaming and strongarming at their Tables.

If these were Primaries, results I think would be different, 'cept maybe in Kansas.

I hear in Florida, you can't watch TV without seeing upteen anti-Trump ads.

Trump has hardly spent much, relative to his competition, anywhere.

tatupu70 says

No

And Maine (which I assume is what you are talking about) was a caucus.

Well the mother fucker had no business no where near anywhere anything that had anything to with any vote tallying in the first goddamend place.
All else after that is a red flag for Shenanigans. Coupled with the medias outright mental breakdown to topple Trumps rise, and everyone's willingness to label his supporters as KKK racist facists.
When this is over you know we don't go back to the way shit was before.
We're going to do a huge race reconciliation. I'm going to drag everyone out of their homes and rub their noses in the Liberal race shit.

It's time we put the Democrats er I mean the Dixiecrats back to thier former racist glory. You bastards should stop hiding in the shaddows calling Trump supporters racist. Come on out you racist creeps, show everyone your hoods, you Liberal cunts!

The total number of votes in maine was under 20k I think. Cruz got 8k and trump got 6k- that is a very low turnout??

Looks like the caucuses are out, but the establishment is launching an all out assault on trump-if he survives this and becomes the nominee-Hillary won't have anything left to throw at him!!

Trump did pretty well considering the media onslaught and has a lead in almost any poll for the upcoming primaries. Cruz is the only one left that could get him and - while unlikely - Cruz isn't establishment either. The establishment has already lost on the Republican side. Now if Hillary is indicted finally even the Democrats may regain some sort of democratic process..

mell says

Trump did pretty well considering the media onslaught and has a lead in almost any poll for the upcoming primaries.

Of course he's doing well. The establishment want's a contested primary so they can broker the nomination at the convention.
All the while placing gags in his voters mouths and calling us racist and beating us with political whips and chains.

When this is over, you guys know how I vent here? I never say this stuff in polite company. But I will start, this will be my only speed of dialog.
Every Liberal that gets in my way on line or otherwise will get a verbal beat down.

I can afford to do it, as there is not many people who can do what I do. And there damned sure isn't anyone who understands my convoluted complex system I wrote my company that communicates with their vendors. I discovered something this past week. When you're really good at what you do, not a phony like most Liberals. But really really really know your shit at what you do. You can say what ever you want, and the Liberal HR establishment just has to squirm nervously and take it while you do so. I've got social and verbal tools and weapons, and I'm going to start using them.

Tenpoundbass says

When this is over, you guys know how I vent here? I never say this stuff in polite company. But I will start, this will be my only speed of dialog.

Every Liberal that gets in my way on line or otherwise will get a verbal beat down.

I can afford to do it, as there is not many people who can do what I do. And there damned sure isn't anyone who understands my convoluted complex system I wrote my company that communicates with their vendors. I discovered something this past week. When you're really good at what you do, not a phony like most Liberals. But really really really know your shit at what you do. You can say what ever you want, and the Liberal HR establishment just has to squirm nervously and take it while you do so. I've got social and verbal tools and weapons, and I'm going to start using them.

Hey, more power to you - but you're a contractor AFAIK which makes it a bit easier than for full time employees. Anyhow, is there going to be an inauguration party/bbq somewhere?

Trump needs to promise Ted Cruz Scalia's seat and get him out already - but Cruz MUST endorse Trump openly and bluntly.

I can't take it anymore! #Trump2016 #MakeAmericaGreatAgain #AlwaysTrump pic.twitter.com/H7xOvlXdVz

— milton-ortiz62'chevy (@milton90863528) March 5, 2016

We love Trump, Mang.

Seems like Trump's train wreck debates are starting to catch up with him. If it were not for early voting, Trump may not have even won Louisiana. Everything is way closer than the polls suggest based on last night's returns. It's a good thing Trump skipped CPAC to shore up Kansas.

Barely a 1.5 weeks of negative advertisements exposing Trump's record and temperament, and Trump could be imploding. Imagine that.

Glad we have mostly have closed primaries here on out to keep the Trumpster liberals out.

Super Saturday #RubioMath

Trump
1st Place * 2 States = 2
2nd Place * 2 States = 4
Total: 6 points

Rubio
3rd Place * 4 States = 12
Total: 12 Points

Rubio Wins!!!

Just wait until Rubio adds Puerto Rico to Minnesota, then you'll see what a national election winner he is!

Actually Rubio finished in 4th place in Maine.

Also--Cruz would never get confirmed to the Supreme Court. His fellow Senators all hate his guts.

tatupu70 says

Also--Cruz would never get confirmed. His fellow Senators all hate his guts.

He's may very well not get re-elected. It doesn't matter. With Rubio Gone, at maximum Ted will get half of Rubio's supporters - at very, very, best
Most of the rest will go to Kasich, some will bow to the inevitable and Trump will keep winning.

Meanwhile, Lindsey Graham voted against Amnesty being dependent on finishing the first 350 miles of wall not long ago. It's easy to see what the GOPe wants.

thunderlips11 says

bow to the inevitable and Trump will keep winning.

I think it's better than 50/50 that it's a brokered convention at this point.

Latest poll has Kasich ahead in MI. If he wins there, he will almost certainly take OH too. I will have the popcorn ready for the convention--it will be one for the ages.

tatupu70 says

Latest poll has Kasich ahead in MI. If he wins there, he will almost certainly take OH too. I will have the popcorn ready for the convention--it will be one for the ages.

Depends on which poll, also it won't matter if Trump comes in strong 2nd and furthers his lead in delegates (I believe MI is only winner take all if over 50% or not at all). At this point Kasich is likely hurting Cruz. Anyhow, a brokered convention is somewhat possible.

tatupu70 says

I think it's better than 50/50 that it's a brokered convention at this point.

And if Trump don't win you're going to see the WLM movement.

We're going to throttle the hypocracy and irony in this country so loud that Merkle shits her pants, from the perfect brown note.

tatupu70 says

thunderlips11 says

bow to the inevitable and Trump will keep winning.

I think it's better than 50/50 that it's a brokered convention at this point.

Latest poll has Kasich ahead in MI. If he wins there, he will almost certainly take OH too. I will have the popcorn ready for the convention--it will be one for the ages.

You're not wrong, but after March 15th it's Winner-take-all, no more proportional states.

Going forward it's all downhill for Cruz - he's running out of Dominionist Whacko States (esp. with Caucuses where Pastors and fellow Churchgoers can bully their congregation members like Alaska and Iowa) like Kansas or where he can win or come in 2nd with ease.

But even in some of those, several of his victories have been by a hair, around a 3% margin: Iowa and Alaska for example, which probably would have been Trump's if it wasn't for the "Small Town Precinct Shaming Effect" and had been regular secret vote primaries. It doesn't matter if Trump loses places like Idaho, if he wins places like Michigan and Louisiana; Cruz can't win where it counts except his home state of Texas.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/03/02/us/super-tuesday-results-delegates.html

As the NYT itself states:

There real question is what will the GOPe do? They're in a bind. Many GOP voters who don't vote for Trump register their 2nd choice is Trump, and I believe the last few polls that asked this question have Trump at slightly over 50% of all Republican Voters as the first and second choice. Cruz voters REALLY do not like Rubio, and don't like "Common Core Kasich" either.

So, the "Rally around the Establishment Moderate" strategy could create the opposite of the desired effect. The other possibility, "Everybody except Cruz and Trump drop out" Strategy is also not going to help, since Cruz is absolutely unelectable in the general election - too far to the social con right without the populist planks that Trump has to soften that. That means many Rubio and Kasich voters will either stay home or go Trump to ensure a chance at a November Victory. I can't imagine Cruz getting more than half of Rubio/Kasich voters at the very best, including GOPe Loyalists that Hate Trump.

The Socal2s of the Republican Party is maybe 20-25%. Maybe in 2000-2012 they could count 30-40% as diehard straight down the middle Rushbo-National Review-Weekly Standard Pro-Corporate Neocon types, but not this time. This means they cannot win without major outreach and promises to the hard right social cons and liberal republican/nationalist types, neither of whom are feeling the GOPe love right now.

Caucuses are strange. But he withstood a brutal all out , from all directions assault and still took the two biggest states. There is not much else the establishment can throw at him. I believe the caucus states are almost done? My state for example independents can vote for either party, but only for one party and indys are breaking for trump-especially with Rubio being decimated, they should consolidate with trump.

I cannot imagine an indys voting for slime ball cruz.-he looks like he slid from some satanic cult. Every time he talks, it feels like fingernails on a chalk board.

I am seeing a lot of Trump supports KKK ads in my state by the Superpacs- almost every commercial break-lets see if it makes any effect or all that money goes the way of jeb's superpac.

Everybody I know in Florida is saying the Anti-Trump bombardment is just pissing people off - including non-Republicans. It's like a constant irritating barrage. They are mailing Hillary loves Trump mailers to everybody in the state it seems.

Okay, this is just too funny. #GOPe and RubioRubes saying there's Marcomentum because he added non-state PR to his sole Minnesota victory, on the heels of 3rd and 4th placements all Super Saturday. ZZzzzzz.

http://i.imgur.com/TyTHO8j.png

So basically when people are given a choice to vote Trump wins most instances.