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Interview: Why The American Recession Bears Failed


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2016 Jul 18, 12:22pm   19,665 views  137 comments

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https://loganmohtashami.com/2016/07/18/interview-why-the-american-recession-bears-failed/

#Economics

We want this war for the next 20 years against the Anti American demogoues. Make no mistake both conservative and liberal.. the days of lying about this great country is coming to an end.... the days of the data miners destroying the Anti American Troll is here

Let The War Begin

#USA

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115   _   2016 Jul 19, 1:28pm  

junkmail says

Hossein Me

junkmail says

Hayden

Mom :-) ahhh

indigenous says

Amir

Dad

The rest I have no idea ;-)

116   freespeechforever   2016 Jul 19, 1:29pm  

They get along great.

They are building a Four Seasons together in Surfside, Florida now (over 400 million dollar project).

I told them it's a bad idea over dinner at Joe's (Stone Crabs), but they have a non-recourse loan and just laughed right in my face!

(They picked up the very hefty tab, so it's all good.)

117   _   2016 Jul 19, 1:31pm  

Amir ( Mohammad) Mohtashami
Haydeh Lavari :-)

Known as Mom and Dad :-)

118   indigenous   2016 Jul 19, 1:32pm  

Logan Mohtashami says

indigenous says

.I didn't say anything.

I made a mere remark, that exchange creates respect.

119   _   2016 Jul 19, 1:32pm  

freespeechforever says

They get along great.

amazing...

120   junkmail   2016 Jul 19, 1:36pm  

Complied last post before he came clean. (So obviously late to party)
Good thing too since I had his dad's records on my screen.

I find honesty to be the best policy.

Perhaps we're not as stupid as you first thought, Logan. One thing I learned in my many years on the planet. Don't underestimate your opponent.

Closing window and going back to gardening.

121   _   2016 Jul 19, 1:41pm  

junkmail says

I find honesty to be the best policy.

Hence why that is my real name and real face ;-)

122   beershrine   2016 Jul 20, 1:35pm  

Logan, Good job on that radio show, You have solid info. bro...Don't let those trolls get to you keep up the good work. K

123   _   2016 Jul 20, 1:51pm  

beershrine says

Logan, Good job on that radio show, You have solid info. bro...Don't let those trolls get to you keep up the good work. K

My conservative friends went nuts when I went left of Bernie Sanders and called out their lies on Federal Debt... It was awesome!! because you know I have all the charts to show that higher federal debt hasn't lead to higher nominal rates

October 30th - Nov 1st , I was asked to go to the national housing economic conference in Austin Texas, this is where a lot of the financial people go and debate on housing.

So, for the first time, I believe I get to debate live with all the financial people in one place.

I can't explain enough... how giddy I am about this chance, the other conferences with economist has just been discussions and going over data.

This event

http://www.americatalyst.com/content/2016-americatalyst-fast-forward

Also in talks to write for 538, Nate Silvers ESPN website. As long as the restrictions aren't too much, that could happen as well.

124   indigenous   2016 Jul 20, 2:15pm  

Logan Mohtashami says

called out their lies on Federal Debt

What are they?

125   _   2016 Jul 20, 2:21pm  

indigenous says

What are they?

Balance Budget amendment... a thesis that many Republicans use as a political weapon even though Republicans in power never believe in it.

But the thesis that if Federal Debt rises, the bond market will require the U.S. to pay higher interest rate..

Or federal debt will create inflation which is really an issue from heavy importing countries that have to borrower against the dollar.

In any case, its been a horrible thesis and a strong political weapon as well.

It's politics, its all part of the game... but ... its a terrible lie

126   indigenous   2016 Jul 20, 2:33pm  

Logan Mohtashami says

Balance Budget amendment... a thesis that many Republicans use as a political weapon even though Republicans in power never believe in it.

Yup that is a bogus argument. The better one IMO would be spending as a percentage of GDP.

Not that I disagree with the sentiment of smaller more localized government.

Logan Mohtashami says

But the thesis that if Federal Debt rises, the bond market will require the U.S. to pay higher interest rate..

That revolves around whether or not the Fed controls interest rates. You say they don't, I'm skeptical.

We are seeing secular deflation. But that maybe a part of a long term business cycle.

Logan Mohtashami says

Or federal debt will create inflation which is really an issue from heavy importing countries that have to borrower against the dollar.

Since we export inflation that is sort of a moot point. OTOH you subscribe to inflation is "too much money chasing too few goods". I have also read it is a function of population growth and fractional banking. Not sure I buy into the latter but the prior gets mitigated because of the reserve currency status.

At the very least it seems to me that borrowing to pay for debt is iniquity .

127   _   2016 Jul 20, 2:36pm  

128   indigenous   2016 Jul 20, 2:43pm  

US Federal Government Contribution to GDP = percentage of GDP is federal spending? correlates to the Fed balance sheet.

129   _   2016 Jul 20, 2:47pm  

indigenous says

US Federal Government Contribution to GDP = percentage of GDP is federal spending? correlates to the Fed balance sheet.

Those are 2 different things entirely

130   junkmail   2016 Jul 20, 3:02pm  

Just want to say, I'm liking the new Logan. Humble, honest and genuine.

But still 100% wrong. (just joking)

131   _   2016 Jul 20, 3:06pm  

junkmail says

But still 100% wrong. (just joking)

My wife says that to me everyday but without the joking part ;-)

132   neplusultra57   2016 Jul 20, 3:46pm  

Logan Mohtashami says

Also in talks to write for 538, Nate Silvers ESPN website. As long as the restrictions aren't too much, that could happen as well.

That would be cool, Logan. What restrictions would 538 impose that bother you?

133   _   2016 Jul 20, 3:54pm  

neplusultra57 says

What restrictions would 538 impose that bother you?

I have to go over that with them when we have time to go over the details, but they said the key word restrictions, this just recently happened too.

What they want

1. Write to a broad audience, so that means I have to assume people aren't financial savvy. This would be a terribly big change for me because I only write really to those who follow economics ( Hence) the Facebook page being a constant news feed of economic charts and data.

2. Time, do I have the time and would it be worth it for me. I have no idea yet how much they want.

We shall see, their economist and I agreed that I would change how I write articles for them. However, I still want the freedom to do my own stuff.

We shall see.

134   indigenous   2016 Jul 20, 5:50pm  

This chart looks like huge government growth.

This chart is ambiguous:

135   _   2016 Jul 20, 6:00pm  

indigenous says

This chart looks like huge government growth.

Mostly mandatory payouts

136   indigenous   2016 Jul 20, 6:18pm  

Seems odd that entitlements are included as GDP, but many things don't make sense we considering GDP.

137   _   2016 Jul 20, 6:22pm  

indigenous says

Seems odd that entitlements are included as GDP, but many things don't make sense we considering GDP.

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