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Rin's 5 min take on Bitcoin


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2021 Feb 27, 7:59pm   7,232 views  149 comments

by Rin   ➕follow (11)   💰tip   ignore  

In another thread ...

Just for some fun, I've decided to run a weekly price bar chart, with Fibonaccis on the whole thing ...



Here's the scoop, now that bigger institutes, along with the retail traders are into this speculation, there are actually trading zones for this thing because there are lots of players, not just the penny stock speculators.

So since last week's bearish candle engulfs the prior week's bullish one, we're on a retest of the price near the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level. If that level holds, we have a bounce in place ... ready to go.

If it falls through that region w/ no intraweek support, then it falls to the next trading zone, and so on.

For this to be a bust, it needs to get back to the baseline.

I suspect that the big fish will issue a huge buyback in the 23K range, if not earlier (29K-35K). Sure, this thing may evaporate in the future if the concept of digital gold doesn't hold but between now and then, this is a trader's entity.

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100   Bitcoin   2021 Mar 5, 7:30pm  

Patrick says
G36 says
what is this now? none of my comments come through anymore lol


Will you lay off the fake quotes?


yes....I absolutely will not edit quotes anymore.
101   Patrick   2021 Mar 5, 10:20pm  

OK @G36 you are out of moderation jail. Thanks.
102   Blue   2021 Mar 5, 11:46pm  

HunterTits says
Patrick says
OK @G36 you are out of moderation jail. Thanks.


He's so toxic I blocked him a while ago. Only see him quoted by others and that is bad enough.

Also pumping same crap like election2020 (blocked) Some people have limited intellectual capacity. If I see same crap from G36, I'd block him too to stop wasting time.
Crypto in the current form is purely gamble to find next greater fool. Mainly used for contraband that destroys communities.
103   just_passing_through   2021 Mar 6, 12:10am  

Patrick says
Will you lay off the fake quotes?


Ewww... That's like a black sin or something. Comment changers are no bueno. Unless it's their own of course for typos.
104   richwicks   2021 Mar 6, 4:02am  

Rin says
In another thread ...

Just for some fun, I've decided to run a weekly price bar chart, with Fibonaccis on the whole thing ...



Here's the scoop, now that bigger institutes, along with the retail traders are into this speculation, there are actually trading zones for this thing because there are lots of players, not just the penny stock speculators.

So since last week's bearish candle engulfs the prior week's bullish one, we're on a retest of the price near the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level. If that level holds, we have a bounce in place ... ready to go.

If it falls through that region w/ no intraweek support, then it falls to the next trading zone, and so on.

For this to be a bust, it needs to get back to the baseline.

I suspect that the big fish will issue a huge buyback in the 23K range, if not earlier (29K-35K). Sure, this thing may evaporate in the fu...


As a serious question:

I understand how easy it is to make money doing nothing for society, do you feel guilty only making money doing nothing to improve society, or do you think you improve society in a way I cannot see?

I think I can easily make money by being a sociopath, but even as an atheist, I want to hold onto my humanity. Are you sure you've held onto this? You're fucking a plastic doll, and before that whores.

Do you have any obligation to other people - and by that I mean do you have any feeling for them? I know this is a heady question.

For a long time, a very long time, I was a vegetarian because I realized I couldn't kill an animal, I simply could not end a life. I suspect you see this as weakness, but I see a lankness of compassion. Within my lifetime I've experienced compassion. Useless compassion for the most part.

I strongly believe our only worth of existence is making another life better. You may laugh at this, but I guarantee I'm the best dog owner you've ever talked to. My best experience was improving a life. I did dog rescue and fostering for a decade, and the most broken and miserable dogs, I kept and built up, only to have them die on me. This was my most rewarding part of my life and the most painful part of my life, so far. They were "just dogs" but I was an truly actually an exceptional owner. They had a better existence than 99% of human beings, and better than 99.999% of a dog's life. Vicarious joy is wonderful.

Rin, find something you can love. But - find something you can actually love. It's beneficial for them and you, benefit them. Improve a life, and get something out of it as well. Love isn't selfish.

But I warn you, love is a commitment through life. A dog is merely 14 to 18 years at most. A human is a full lifetime. Even so, 14 years is a long time.
105   Bitcoin   2021 Mar 6, 7:05am  

richwicks says
I understand how easy it is to make money doing nothing for society, do you feel guilty only making money doing nothing to improve society, or do you think you improve society in a way I cannot see?


Both. I wouldn't feel guilty. But if I get richer, I indirectly help society because with my profits I am able to buy more rentals and be a good/fair landlord. Also, Investing in Bitcoin helps society greatly: Banks used to have a monopoly. Now you can be your own bank.

I also like your dog story. We got a 2 year old doggy and I love improving his and my life by walking through the rolling hills in this beautiful SoCal weather.
106   WookieMan   2021 Mar 6, 7:12am  

G36 says
Banks used to have a monopoly.

What are you talking about? Trucking is a monopoly with what you're saying. It makes no sense. There are multiple banks and transactional vendors in USD. Visa, Discover, Chase, BoA, etc. There's competition. Because they charge a fee makes no difference. If there's a fee free way, vendors aren't going to reduce the cost of goods. BTC has no net benefit besides maybe some of the tech. Ultimately there are no assets or value outside of trading it like digital video game coins. It's a game.
107   Onvacation   2021 Mar 6, 7:27am  

richwicks says

I understand how easy it is to make money doing nothing for society, do you feel guilty only making money doing nothing to improve society, or do you think you improve society in a way I cannot see?

I think my biggest problem with bitcoin is that it is purely a speculative bet that depends on the greater fool, consumes vast amounts of energy, and has no benefit to noncriminal society.
Wait, that's what I have saying all along!
108   Onvacation   2021 Mar 6, 7:32am  

G36 says
Also, Investing in Bitcoin helps society greatly: Banks used to have a monopoly. Now you can be your own bank.

Not really. All crypto is valued in central bank fiat. When the banks crash nobody will trade your crypto for food even if it's worth $1,000,000 per coin.
109   WookieMan   2021 Mar 6, 7:43am  

Onvacation says
richwicks says

I understand how easy it is to make money doing nothing for society, do you feel guilty only making money doing nothing to improve society, or do you think you improve society in a way I cannot see?

I think my biggest problem with bitcoin is that it is purely a speculative bet that depends on the greater fool, consumes vast amounts of energy, and has no benefit to noncriminal society.
Wait, that's what I have saying all along!

I don't even look at it morally. Yes it's bad. Tons of bad stuff with it.

My issue is that literally no one that invests in it can explain it. Every single website out there if you research it is pure pumper trash. People will claim "institutional" investors are getting in. So did the largest fucking insurance firms in the early 2000's buying pure trash or insuring it during the housing bust. That's why I think most crypto people are 22-34. They didn't live the housing crisis financially.

Crypto is not what anyone thinks it is that's invested. Plenty of people made bank off the housing crisis, a ton more got burned. When you've got people buying 3 houses as a waitress, things ain't right. Can't stop stupid I guess.
110   B.A.C.A.H.   2021 Mar 6, 9:34am  

Onvacation says
I think my biggest problem with bitcoin is that it is purely a speculative bet that depends on the greater fool, consumes vast amounts of energy, and has no benefit to noncriminal society.


Those are three problems.

Which one of those would you say is the biggest problem?
111   WookieMan   2021 Mar 6, 10:00am  

B.A.C.A.H. says
Onvacation says
I think my biggest problem with bitcoin is that it is purely a speculative bet that depends on the greater fool, consumes vast amounts of energy, and has no benefit to noncriminal society.


Those are three problems.

Which one of those would you say is the biggest problem?

Greater fool in my opinion. It can destroy families. I've seen it during the last bull run. And so can stocks, but with stocks you at least have an idea what you're getting by investing. You or anyone cannot explain what you're getting from crypto and specifically BTC.

It's tradable for sure. It would be stupid to hold it like other stocks and investments though. 2018 until Nov. 2020, BTC was dead money. 2-3 years. No dividends. No assets. No financial reporting. Who is holding it and who can pull the trigger at a moment and move the market. How much has been literally lost. Pain in the ass to transact in. There's nothing there and people are eating up the pumping right now.

So yeah. Greater fool. I don't like the criminal aspect to it either. It's not about drugs either. I don't think people understand human trafficking all that well. Crypto is perfect for that. It's sick.
112   Onvacation   2021 Mar 6, 10:49am  

WookieMan says
B.A.C.A.H. says
Onvacation says
I think my biggest problem with bitcoin is that it is purely a speculative bet that depends on the greater fool, consumes vast amounts of energy, and has no benefit to noncriminal society.


Those are three problems.

Which one of those would you say is the biggest problem?

Greater fool in my opinion

Agreed. Bitcoin is a big Ponzi scheme. The only way to get money out is for someone else to put money in.

The fact that it is unsustainable and used by criminals are secondary problems.
113   richwicks   2021 Mar 6, 11:34am  

G36 says
richwicks says
I understand how easy it is to make money doing nothing for society, do you feel guilty only making money doing nothing to improve society, or do you think you improve society in a way I cannot see?


Both. I wouldn't feel guilty. But if I get richer, I indirectly help society because with my profits I am able to buy more rentals and be a good/fair landlord. Also, Investing in Bitcoin helps society greatly: Banks used to have a monopoly. Now you can be your own bank.

I also like your dog story. We got a 2 year old doggy and I love improving his and my life by walking through the rolling hills in this beautiful SoCal weather.


Do you understand the objection of a rentier society?

Be kind to your dogs. I put so much into mine that when they died, it just destroyed me in that area. Worst thing I've ever done was ending my dog's life. I was an absolutely incredible dog owner but I cannot go through that again. If you are a good dog owner, if you love them, you will experience the same crushing pain. Others may see it as ridiculous, but I'm having a great deal of difficulty from euthanizing them and they made it to 16, 2 years beyond their life expectancy.

It's easy to make money if you have no regard for anything but yourself. I consider this evil to do. I am seriously considering being evil.

Regardless, be good to your dogs. Man's best friend, we co-evolved for at least 30,000 years.
114   B.A.C.A.H.   2021 Mar 6, 1:59pm  

richwicks says
I put so much into mine that when they died, it just destroyed me in that area. Worst thing I've ever done was ending my dog's life.


I was very sad when I lost them. One of the best things I've ever done was ending their suffering. I was very sad, but had no difficulty making that decision. Their vets agreed with me. Loved them too much to make them suffer. I think they would do the same for me.
115   Bitcoin   2021 Mar 6, 2:31pm  

Nice thing about Bitcoin is that its decentralized. Not like banks. There are lots of advantages over gold and fiat.

No wonder institutions are pouring Fiat into Bitcoin to hold long term on their balance sheet. I do the same.

116   Onvacation   2021 Mar 6, 3:01pm  

So, according to the chart Bitcoin is not backed by a sovereign but is valued in fiat. Can you see a little problem there?

If you can give a cogent answer to the question above we can debate the rest of your fallacious chart.

I think I'll drive the sports car to the yacht. (Miata to the boat) and go sailing.
117   Bitcoin   2021 Mar 6, 3:42pm  

I think the best thing about Bitcoin is the scarcity. Unlike FIAT, you cant just print more Bitcoin. I believe that's the biggest reason why Tesla bought 1.5B worth of USD in Bitcoin :)
Thanks Tesla!
118   Blue   2021 Mar 6, 4:07pm  

G36 says
I think the best thing about Bitcoin is the scarcity. Unlike FIAT, you cant just print more Bitcoin. I believe that's the biggest reason why Tesla bought 1.5B worth of USD in Bitcoin :)
Thanks Tesla!

What is this different from yours previous repostings. I am done reading your illogical posts.
119   just_passing_through   2021 Mar 6, 8:19pm  

China just 'went to war' against bitcorn miners on the 1st. This is going to shut down 65% of the worlds mining operation.
120   Bitcoin   2021 Mar 6, 8:54pm  

just_passing_through says
China just 'went to war' against bitcorn miners on the 1st. This is going to shut down 65% of the worlds mining operation.


yawn...sooo old news....we hear this every year since 2016
121   Bitcoin   2021 Mar 6, 8:55pm  

Blue says
G36 says
I think the best thing about Bitcoin is the scarcity. Unlike FIAT, you cant just print more Bitcoin. I believe that's the biggest reason why Tesla bought 1.5B worth of USD in Bitcoin :)
Thanks Tesla!

What is this different from yours previous repostings. I am done reading your illogical posts.


@Blue
nobody forces you to read Bitcoin news
122   just_passing_through   2021 Mar 6, 10:04pm  

G36 says
yawn...sooo old news....we hear this every year since 2016


Only morons don't pay attention to material shit.

That being said, it hasn't moved the price.

Hell, it might even protect people from a 51% attack.
123   GNL   2021 Mar 6, 10:27pm  

G36 says
I think the best thing about Bitcoin is the scarcity.

Bitcoin is infinitely divisible, correct?
124   Bitcoin   2021 Mar 7, 8:25am  

WineHorror1 says
G36 says
I think the best thing about Bitcoin is the scarcity.

Bitcoin is infinitely divisible, correct?


"Over two quadrillions units are available
On its part, a single bitcoin is divisible by eight decimal points. The smallest unit is the Satoshi, which is also referred to as a bit, hundredth of a millionth bitcoin (1 satoshi = 0.00000001 BTC). Therefore, each Bitcoin can be broken down into 100,000,000 satoshis.

If you convert 21 million bitcoins into satoshis you have slightly over two quadrillions, enough units to go around. In fact, every world citizen in 2140 could own an average of 131,250 satoshis."

https://medium.com/@EricGrill/the-divisibility-of-bitcoin-fc1bcb40dd52

but not only scarcity and divisibility are advantages for Bitcoin....there is so much more... for instance "non counterfeit ability"

There's a huge black market for counterfeit money, from fake gold coins to fraudulent $20 bills.

Cant do that with Bitcoin :)
125   Bitcoin   2021 Mar 7, 8:27am  

just_passing_through says
Only morons don't pay attention to material shit.


Exactly! Thats why nobody pays attention to the miner/china news. It comes up every year. Old, boring news. Think of it as a nothing burger.

Its very easy to just move your mining business.
126   GNL   2021 Mar 7, 8:35am  

G36 says
not only scarcity and divisibility are advantages for Bitcoin

2 quadrillion is scarce?
127   GNL   2021 Mar 7, 8:35am  

G36 says
not only scarcity and divisibility are advantages for Bitcoin

2 quadrillion is scarce?
128   Bitcoin   2021 Mar 7, 8:43am  

very scarce! There will only be 21M Bitcoin. That's not even enough for each millionaire (in the world) to hold just one Bitcoin! And I have 1.9 Bitcoin !!

WineHorror1 you confuse divisibility with scarcity.

That's what i am here for, to educate.

Scarcity: you cant make any more Bitcoin (You can print FIAT as much as you want though)
Divisibility: divisible by eight decimal points. The smallest unit is the Satoshi, which is also referred to as a bit, hundredth of a millionth bitcoin (1 satoshi = 0.00000001 BTC). Therefore, each Bitcoin can be broken down into 100,000,000 satoshis.
129   Onvacation   2021 Mar 7, 8:46am  

G36 says
Scarcity: you cant make any more Bitcoin (You can print FIAT as much as you want though)

Bitcoin is valued in fiat. Can you see the contradiction?
130   Bitcoin   2021 Mar 7, 8:49am  

You can trade Bitcoin to a stable coin (many, many stable coins), you can trade Bitcoin to ETH, to LTC, to ADA and to USD.

That doesnt mean you can print more Bitcoin. You confuse trading pairs with Scarcity.
Thats why I am here....to educate!
131   WookieMan   2021 Mar 7, 9:12am  

G36 says
You can trade Bitcoin to a stable coin (many, many stable coins), you can trade Bitcoin to ETH, to LTC, to ADA and to USD.

All crypto comes back to fiat. All of it. No one transacts in crypto except for illicit activities. No intelligent business owner would accept crypto as payment unless they're running a pump. That's what TLSA is doing. They're printing cash $$$ USD and have probably closed their position in BTC at this point or are doing it slowly.

As a publicly traded company you have a fiduciary duty to do what is best for shareholders. Could be criminal if it was found you just burned through cash acquired through stock offerings to buy spreadsheets. Holding BTC will burn TSLA shareholders when it drops. TLSA exiting BTC will plummet the market. I don't think they're in anymore or will start to unwind their position. Pick up a quick $200-300M on the backs of people chasing get rich quick schemes.

You brag about TLSA being a good thing getting into crypto. It's not. It's extremely bad if you think about it.
132   Bitcoin   2021 Mar 7, 9:55am  

I forgot you can also trade Bitcoin to Chainlink and stellar. I HODL those coins as well.

Hodling is the best way to increase your wealth. Patrick owns 0.01 Bitcoin. One user suggested to spend it on food when Bitcoin was at 38k. Good thing Patrick hodl'ed. Now his Bitcoin holdings are worth over 500 USD. Soon, it will be over 1k!

Tesla bought 1.5B USD worth of Bitcoin and hodl'es.....Follow Tesla's lead!
133   just_passing_through   2021 Mar 7, 12:20pm  

G36 says
Exactly! Thats why nobody pays attention to the miner/china news. It comes up every year. Old, boring news. Think of it as a nothing burger.


Says comes up every year: which is bull shit. Lying morons are worse that just plain morons.
Says the largest economy on the planet within 5 years not participating is a nothing burger: ha ha ha!
134   WookieMan   2021 Mar 7, 2:07pm  

G36 says
Tesla bought 1.5B USD worth of Bitcoin and hodl'es.....Follow Tesla's lead!

No one should do this. Generate wealth. It's not that hard. Don't flip a coin, especially on something those that are invested cannot explain. There's a reason...
135   richwicks   2021 Mar 7, 2:20pm  

B.A.C.A.H. says
richwicks says
I put so much into mine that when they died, it just destroyed me in that area. Worst thing I've ever done was ending my dog's life.


I was very sad when I lost them. One of the best things I've ever done was ending their suffering. I was very sad, but had no difficulty making that decision. Their vets agreed with me. Loved them too much to make them suffer. I think they would do the same for me.


I did dog rescue for a long time. I was deluded into thinking I was "saving lives". They weren't just my dogs, but the dogs I saved. People who involve themselves in rescue and rehabilitation lose money on it. You'd be shocked at how much money I spent. A ton of vet bills and food. The dogs I had were broken often, screwed up by their previous owners, and my job was to make them believe that whatever experience they had prior was an anomaly, that they had a very bad experience with terrible people, but 99.999% of people were good. I protected them and kept bad people away from them to trick them.

You don't save any life, you extend them. In reality, I was actually displacing a dog from a shelter when I fostered. Whatever dog I got to a new family displaced some other animal in a shelter. I only "saved" two dogs, the ones that I kept. People are thoughtless and cruel - not intentionally, they just don't care or lack empathy.

And that was my thinking, I went through such enormous effort for my pets, and when I put them down, it's just a terrible thing. I worked very hard to keep them happy and healthy. I understand the necessity of euthanizing them, but I'm never going to get over it. I have good resources, I can dictate my time, I avoid obligation, so I could dump it all into them. They had a great life, but the cost isn't money, it's killed a part of me to euthanize them. They weren't so much dependent on me, I realized I was very dependent on them.
136   Bitcoin   2021 Mar 7, 6:42pm  

just_passing_through says
Says comes up every year:


yep, its called FUD (Fear Uncertainty and Doubt).

FUD or simply lying gets spread throughout the year so that weak hands/dumb money sells Bitcoin to smart money.
137   Bitcoin   2021 Mar 7, 6:44pm  

Hodl'ing Bitcoin is the best wealth generator. BTC has been the best performing asset and the great news is we are still early in the bull cycle.

Companies like Tesla (bought 1.5B USD worth of Bitcoin) were just the beginning. More and more institutions will convert their balance sheet cash into Bitcoin.
138   B.A.C.A.H.   2021 Mar 7, 7:45pm  

richwicks says
I did dog rescue for a long time.


Every dog I had was a rescue. One directly from the pound. The others from an SF-based outfit that only rescues senior dogs. It's called Muttville.

Muttville seniors are fabulous animals. They are screened by Muttville for their personalities. Since they're fostered, they're all housebroken. They were ideal companions for someone who is gone most of the day for work. They enjoy walks in the early AM and in the evening after work, and since they are seniors they are content to spend most of the workday snoozing in the house.

A nice aspect was that the fosters allowed me to informally board my adoptees with them when I was away from home. One of those fosters was a lady of modest means so I paid her the same that a kennel would charge. The other foster lady was a retired CFO from a major company.

My last Muttville dog passed away a few years ago. Probably will adopt another one before too long.
139   richwicks   2021 Mar 7, 8:19pm  

B.A.C.A.H. says
Every dog I had was a rescue.


Nearly every pet I had as a kid was some abandoned animal. People from the city would abandon them, we would find them starving and beg our parents to take them in. I grew up in the sticks. It's evil, but you will never have a better pet than an animal that knows you saved them. Perhaps that is part of the reason I did fostering.

B.A.C.A.H. says
My last Muttville dog passed away a few years ago. Probably will adopt another one before too long.


I'll look them up. Perhaps I can foster again, but I don't think I can ever own again. Just too goddamned painful. It's a terribly cruel thing to abandon an animal when they become needy. My greatest obligation in my dog's old age was to help them through that until their death. I just do not understand people's lack of compassion, and if I did - I think it will end my humanity.

Who would dump an animal in their old age? But I've seen it. First dog I lost in fostering was a 12 year old Samoyed dumped. She was a wonderful dog, but went into seizures commonly. We had to euthanize her. I've euthanized 4 dogs, 2 fosters and my own.

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