patrick.net

DooDahMan says

Oil company executives would rather find ways to boost their share price than increase production

It's a volume business, you do understand that, right? Oil will always make money. They can pump and refine more oil and make the same profits at $60 or $130 per barrel. They just sell fewer barrels at $130 and the margins are higher.

This is my wife's business. I'm going to have a fantastic year because people are not all that intelligent about the market for crude.

We can shoot the shit here talking about oil, but if you haven't worked in the industry and sold it you're kind of talking out your ass.

Ceffer says

9. Caligulan excess, hot and cold running hookers and cocaine, Satanic world conquest, Babylonian loan sharking to victimize the plebs, plans for psychopathic bloodline political dominance, Swiss citizenship.

I think I'm almost there. Just a few hundred years more of saving.

You forgot a Burisma board seat...

richwicks says

Well, with some hope he is!

I've seen many companies in Silly Con Valley go under because some immigrant asshole who controlled the company was a bigot. They'd hire only from a select group not based on competence, and as a result, they were outcompeted.

Wouldn't mind seeing Google go under. I hope he's racist as fuck.

Google is a poison and the sooner they go down, the better. I welcome their destruction. They are traitors to our Constitution. Fuck them.

Anything Hindoo cult touches goes to dogs due to incompetence , intolerance and corruption..
I am not sure if Sunder is Bharti or filthy Hindoo cultist... If he is Hindooo google destruction is certain.
https://amp.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/06/gupta-brothers-arrested-in-dubai-over-alleged-corruption-in-south-africa

gabbar says

14 percent of men never live long enough to collect social security, which can start at 62

My dad took social security as soon as he could, and he bet right. He died at age 75.

AmericanKulak says

Try not to live in a place where the city you live next to is the only place of employment within any kind of reasonable commute distance.

Right, you want to minimize your dependencies. Dependency is weakness.

Filthy Hindooo is modern day Mughals trying to destroy Sikhs.
They will end up like Mughals while Khalsa will come out strong.

https://twitter.com/bedi_sodhi/status/1534372142175113217
Another video shows what they think about you & their policies.. They are just normal citizens think about what secret policies they have against
...
Only power sikhs have is in Indian Army.We have seen it in 1984 even in Farmers protest where Retd Army men participated & govt had to issue notices.Not to use Army uniform to Participate in protest.They don’t even want you to serve their Nation? This is wat normal citizens think

https://twitter.com/Markaskwala/status/1533279087053135872
Kuldeep Brar who killed young sons of Sikh mothers, his own son died due to drug overdose and his daughter ran away from home and married a black man and later she too died with drug overdose.

clambo says

Another way to pay off credit card debt is to die.
It's an "unsecured debt" so they are stuck with the debt when you finally depart this world.

They're stuck with the debt even if alive or dead. It was a business transaction on their end. They made a bad deal if you don't pay. No one should ever fall into the bankruptcy lawyer trap or the collectors trap. You're broke and you're paying someone to be more broke with BK. My dad handled hundreds if not thousands of BK's so I know the game.

Screen calls. Never say your name answering the phone. If they ask your name say no and what do they want. If you were ever to get served, don't comply. Just say you're watching the house for a buddy and you're not you if you don't know the person.

I've never had to do this, but it's the way to make it go away. Collection companies will not go to court to garnish wages for anything under $20k and likely higher. If you're 1099 or have a stay at home spouse, there's not much they can do either and they know it. I got a Ph.D. in this shit during the housing bust as we did short sales to get commissions. But we also needed to know about other debt and have talked to 100's of attorneys that knew the game. Not honest or ethical, but at some point you need to take care of you. Remember, it's a business transaction. The banks made the game. Sometimes they have to take a loss.

gabbar says

I think most people should retire as early as they can

what exactly do people mean when they say "retire"? Or is it another of those undefinable words like Woman?

Ultra_FJB says

gabbar says

What are examples of good debt?

Asset debt not liability debt. Debt that pays me instead of me paying it.

This is making the spread between the borrowing cost and the return you’re getting. You’re essentially operating as a bank. Banks pay the savers pennies while lending their money out for dollars and making the spread. Bravo. 👏

Eman says

Ultra_FJB says

gabbar says

What are examples of good debt?

Asset debt not liability debt. Debt that pays me instead of me paying it.

This is making the spread between the borrowing cost and the return you’re getting. You’re essentially operating as a bank. Banks pay the savers pennies while lending their money out for dollars and making the spread. Bravo. 👏

Perfect example right now for me...borrowing $138K @ 5.5 APR and lending $50K out at 15%. The rest of the money I can invest in the stock market in high quality companies to manage my risk.

DooDahMan says

Not sure where or how my comment went but here it is again - it was awaiting moderation but then just vanished for some odd reason

@DooDahMan You know it was passive-aggressive and personal.

Please stop doing that.

DooDahMan says

Not really - The top 25 oil and gas companies lost an eye-popping $811 billion altogether in market capitalization between the end of 2019 to the end of March 2020.

You have to understand losses. Take one shit year and make future years more profitable by having a huge write off that carries over year after year cutting taxes to damn near zero.

Oil companies never "lose" money. The drillers maybe if they made a bad bet. The likes of Exon, BP, Shell, never "actually" lose money. They wouldn't be in business if they did. They take the losses for a year or two and pump the price and pay no taxes on the gains. Rinse and repeat. I'm young, but this seemingly should be obvious to everyone. It's been going on for decades.

Our tax code makes it okay to suck for a year or two, not pay taxes and then win for a year or two and still not pay taxes. Carryover.

they spent billions on that shit? fuck we getting hrift fucked in the ass by these people.

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raunak91 says

Download the current affairs for UPSC pdf to get a better understanding of the exam trends. Officers Pulse gives the most up-to-date study materials. They also assist in the completion of the course through effective time management. The IAS daily current affairs are particularly essential because it contains the majority of the questions. As a result, they assist applicants in resolving their worries about the themes. They will provide you with literature that will assist you in comprehending the various variations of the question. It will aid in the improvement of your accuracy, learning, and thinking abilities. Best wishes for the exam!

That was just spammer I think.

Patrick says

That was just spammer I think.

My phone spam is also from indiots....most of time... Hindooo cult give them nothing and its hard to live on $1 a day wage.
"This is IRS calling.....".

This book not only covers the 1985 Air India bombing case well, it also gives, in the process, a very thorough description of the turbulent times of the mid-1980s. Because of great political upheavals in Punjab, the Canadian Sikh community went through went through lot of turbulence.
There are many aspects to the plane's bombing: terrorism, Sikhs' aspirations and troubles, the Indian government's treatment of the Sikhs in India and also in Canada, how the Canadian government handled the situation, and the sufferings of the victims of this tragedy. This book focuses on the animosity between the Sikhs and the Indian government, and also the role of the Canadian government that was caught between these two adversaries.
The two journalists are well-qualified for the subject matter and it shows in the detail they present. Another reviewer states that the authors are biased against the Sikhs. This is not the case at all. There is a lot of circumstantial evidence presented. You can make up your own conclusions by putting together the pieces. The authors are very clear about few things:
1. The Indian diplomats and their agents in Canada were continually acting to subvert the Canadian Sikh community and thus maligned the broader Sikh community when only a small number of Canadian Sikhs were possibly violently inclined in the context of the extreme violence that was going on in India at the time.
2. The key Sikhs implicated in the Air India plot were in contact with the Indian authorities.
3. The Canadian External Affairs ministry of the time acted very partial to the Indian government for business reasons.
All taken together, the reader is left with the impression that, more than the reactionary elements within the Sikh community who were reacting to the extreme violence against their homeland, the Indian government was pulling strings behind the scenes to malign the name of the Sikhs in foreign capitals.
Just as it is well-established in hindsight that Indira Gandhi's dirty tricks in Punjab got out of control and true militancy took birth, it is quite likely that something similar happened in June 1985 in Canada as well.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/autos/news/dozens-of-low-mile-2-7l-ford-bronco-engines-have-already-failed/ar-AAWKNOQ

In October 2021, a now-deleted Bronco6G account posted that the failures were attributed to a bad batch of valves that Ford received from one of its suppliers.

Chinese quality strikes again!

Filthy Hindooo cult always tries oppression and curtailing freedom to hide their butchery.
https://twitter.com/SinghDa79710749/status/1534602947727720450

Only Sikhs can lead to prosperous south Asia. Muslim/Hindooo failed.
https://twitter.com/SinghDa79710749

Too bad. FORD: “Fix or Repair Daily”

I want a Toyota Hilux, the 4x4 comes with a straight 4 cylinder Diesel.

No

If the thai baht really crashes hard, then it's my turn to move to thailand where my dollars will elevate me to king status among the local hos. me thinks many americans did this decades ago.

House prices falling any significant value in the near term would equate to the undoing of the mass devaluation of the dollar that has occurred over the last 27 months. So, NO.

Looks like a good time to go to Europe, since the Euro is down relative to the dollar:



On the other hand, maybe higher fuel costs for the flight negate that advantage.

Also, I'm not going anywhere that requires masks at any time, much less the dangerous and worse than ineffective vaxx.

ARE HOME PRICES ABOUT TO FALL?

About to? Nope. Later this year or early next year, probably.

If I ever get a Toyota Hilux it will be in Mexico, but I can drive up to California for a visit sometime.

thanks, helpful info

Home prices come down to affordability as most are bought with a mortgage or they are bought with cash and then long term rented.

Those bought with cash are intended to earn at least a 7% annual return on investment, so they have to charge enough rent and minimize expenses to realize that.

Housing cost (rent or mortgage/property tax/property insurance/hoa fee/home repairs) should not be more than 38% of household income.

With the 30 yr mortgage rate nearly at 5.9%, and it was 2.8% months ago, that means housing has to drop to late 2019 price levels at least.

.

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DooDahMan says

t. In other words, the probability that a big one-day rally occurs during a bear market is nearly twice as high as you'd expect on the basis of randomness.

It may be long term investors buying stocks at a desirable price level. They think they are getting value by buying it then and holding onto it for at least 3 to 5 years.

Look at Carnival Cruise this past Friday and see how much the stock went up in early trading. If it goes up that much that means so major investors or "whales" are buying shares.

.

ad says

Look at Carnival Cruise this past Friday and see how much the stock went up in early trading. If it goes up that much that means so major investors or "whales" are buying shares.

Soros bought RIVN at 103 plus, Buffett bought SNOW at 251. Whales can be wrong too.

I think the term here is 'Reversion to the Mean' trading.

In other words, when the bear market sell off is huge, creating a huge gap between the price and the 200 day EMA, then, there's a tendency to rally back to re-test the 200 EMA or at least, the middle of the Bollinger bands (in effect), before re-commencing with another sell off.

A picture is worth a 1000 words. Here's the SPY with a 200 day EMA in red & a Bollinger Band which uses the 66 day (approx 3 mos) as its EMA with the standard bands.



So whenever the market seizes to be bullish, i.e. when the below 200 EMA price is a daily phenomena, ala bear market, you can almost see the reversion to mean, counter-rallies, trying to get back to good.

So the question then is to what extent is one an active trader? If one's not glue to the ticker tape w/ all his software tools, then perhaps, it's best to only take trades, once the 200 EMA is re-tested and the price action closes above it.

Rin says

'Reversion to the Mean'

Yes, and the PE is below 20. How far does it drop ? To 15 ? https://www.multpl.com/s-p-500-pe-ratio

,

And the annual return for the S&P 500 has been only 6.5% since January 2000. That is based on reinvesting dividends and is the rate before inflation.

Adjusted for inflation, and the annual return is 4% since January 2000. What happened to the S&P 500 returning 11% a year ?

https://dqydj.com/sp-500-return-calculator/

.

ad says

Yes, and the PE is below 20. How far does it drop ?

I'm not too sure if the PE, or better yet, the Schiller PE10 (which uses 10 years of trailing earnings to average out the periodic poor quarterly sales), give ambiguous results when used globally.

https://www.topdowncharts.com/post/2020/04/09/10-charts-on-the-pe10-valuation



If you look at ETFs which track Singapore (EWS), Korea (EWY), Poland (EPOL), Norway (ENOR), etc. They seem to also be dealing with their own bear markets.

Rin says

Schiller PE10

Yeah the Shiller PE ratio, which uses the last 10 years of earnings, continues to trend down. https://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe

.

At level 4. Won't be at level 5 until the house is paid off. Goal is to be at level 6 by the time I retire.

Level 7 only if I become independently wealthy via some of my patents / innovations / inventions. To date they only exist on paper. None have gained traction, but I still tinker in my spare time.