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WookieMan says
This is true, but if they're getting money and putting up a fight, they'll keep going.
No they won't. What point is there entering a fight that you're certain to lose you fucking psychopath? You jerk off to the though that 100's of thousands of people are dying for no reason at all?
Yes they will Rich. You clearly don't understand stubborn Eastern Europeans at all.
Both countries are losers and this will grind out for a decade at least.
They're across and Ocean with no capable Navy.
We have half a country of fucking free loaders and a massive border issues with shit heads coming into the country. If money goes to Ukraine, whatever.
They're going to keep fighting and shrink their border with Europe.
Reassessing American Aid After Avdiivka
As the second anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of the country to its west nears and the latest aid package for Ukraine stalls in Congress, we must be clear-eyed about the future: there is no path for Ukraine to win this war. American support will not change this reality.
No Path to Victory: Russia has the Momentum
The reality two years in is that there is no path to victory for Ukraine – not in the sense of pushing Russian troops back to the pre-February 2022 lines of control. After the Ukrainian troops abandoned Avdiivka – the most significant loss or gain by either side in nine months – following some of the war's heaviest fighting, almost all advantages accrue to Russia. The seizure of Avdiivka does not materially change the war, but it does change the momentum. Moscow can throw mass in terms of bodies, tanks, artillery, and drones at the exhausted Ukrainian forces until they crack. Ukraine is exhausted and outnumbered and struggling to recruit new troops. The best Ukraine can do now is fight Russia to a negotiated settlement that allows sovereignty, territorial integrity, and security from another Russian invasion. Even these provisions now seem unrealistic.
After initial setbacks at the onset of the invasion, the Russian military now displays the resolute determination initially witnessed by the other side. Russian generals have adapted to Ukraine's offenses after initial setbacks. Russian commanders are now building the kinds of defenses in depth that Ukrainian forces struggle to fight through. Russian ground forces now routinely defeat Ukraine's drones. Russia's formidable arsenals of attack helicopters, drones, and mines pound Ukraine while the Ukrainian troops resort to rationing artillery shells and long-range rockets.
In considering an aid package to Ukraine, DC policymakers and their constituents must assess how long the cash and weapons will continue to flow and toward what end. Getting to a favorable – or at least even – negotiated settlement will take more than a year of fighting. Putin has no incentive to stop fighting and every incentive to continue pushing and waiting for his adversaries to the west run out of troops and munitions, and policy makers in the U.S. run out of patience.
None of this is fair to the people of Ukraine, who have placed their hopes of sovereignty on American commitment. It is, however, the tragic reality of the situation. The $60 billion aid package held up in Congress will not significantly change the future. This fight is a long haul that will require additional aid. The spigot will close at some point – perhaps soon – turning off aid and sealing Ukraine's fate.
https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2024/02/21/ukraine_can_no_longer_win_1013260.html
Translation: Ukraine Is Fucked
Andrey Morozov, a prominent pro-war Russian blogger, has reportedly died by suicide following outrage over a post in which he claimed that the Russian army lost 16,000 soldiers during the capture of the eastern Ukrainian city of Avdiivka.
Morozov, who went by the pseudonym Murz on Telegram, was an ultra-nationalist commentator who fought alongside Russian-backed separatists in eastern Ukraine in 2014 and participated in Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022.
On Sunday, Morozov wrote to his 120,000 followers on Telegram that Russia lost 16,000 personnel and 300 pieces of armour during its months-long capture of Avdiivka. The post drew heavy criticism from senior Russian propagandists, who accused the blogger of “slandering the Russian defence ministry”.
In Morozov’s final messages on Tuesday morning, he announced his suicide and said he was pressured by his superiors to delete the post detailing the number of casualties in Avdiivka. Several people close to Morozov on Tuesday confirmed his death, with some saying that he had shot himself.
Triggered in part by the rebellion by then-Wagner head Yevgeny Prigozhin, the Kremlin last year largely cracked down on voices such as Morozov, who once was part of a loud group of ultra-nationalist hawks who criticised Moscow over shortages of weapons and accused the Russian military leadership of hiding the true death toll among its forces.
Russia hides its war losses and the true casualty toll from its invasion of Ukraine remains a secret, though western officials believe the war has cost the country more than 315,000 dead and injured troops.
4 months, 16K dead and 300 tanks lost is a cost of capturing a small town with pre-war population of 32K
New information emerging from relatives of dead and injured Ukrainian soldiers, plus reports from Russia’s ministry of defense, painted an even worse picture of the fall of Avdiivka than originally thought. For one thing, it looks like Ukraine waited to order its dying soldiers to withdraw until after most units lost cohesion and began to flee anyway. The withdrawal order was just political cover.
And when the withdrawal order did come through, the remaining soldiers were ordered to abandon their injured fellows, creating a chance for the media to attempt to frame a narrative around Russian maltreatment of captured Ukrainians rather than the catastrophic failure of Ukrainian command.
Zelensky, for his part, blamed the loss of the key fortress city on Republicans, for delaying his sweet, sweet American payola. In more bad news for Ukraine, its champion of democracy also issued a new declaration of martial law, which canceled next month’s presidential elections, and keeps the former comedian in undemocratic power through executive fiat until he says different.
Apparently, just now is an inconvenient time for Zelensky to run for re-election. But he’s not a dictator like Putin. No, never. Criticizing Zelensky is like criticizing Democracy™ itself.
Where are you getting this information from? The same people that told you there was a weapons of mass destruction program in Iraq, that they were mobile weapons laps, that Hussein mailed out anthrax letters, that Hussein worked with binLaden, and that we couldn't wait for the final proof to come in the form a mushroom cloud, perhaps?
The Russian military is no threat to Europe and won't be for at least a decade or so, especially if the Europeans give just a small rat's ass about improving their militaries by a small degree
Dude, you've beaten the horse dead on this topic
You bring it up in every comment and you sound like an idiot.
Get over Iraq
richwicks says
Nobody has ever threatened this nation, except the federal government.
Fixed it.
Our criminal sociopathic government will
Let you spout off day, after day, after day about this shit. You do nothing but cry like a little baby here on Patnet. You don't do a thing. You ever meet with your House Rep? They're easily accessible.
You don't even know the people I'll see in the next 2 weeks.
House representatives have no power. They are puppets.
TL:DR. Your normal drivel.
Maybe you even think you're fighting it and if you're even attempting to you, you're being led down a false rabbit hole. Most people are.
You're not elected. You don't talk to your House Rep monthly or State house or Congress person. You're willfully ignorant and just continue to bitch here and do nothing about it.
Yet you want to appeal to them. You're delusional.
The people you think are somebody to go to a solution for, have no problem with any of those, and they are merely puppets.
We are the world's police.
I don't think you have a remote understanding of the world before your time. You'd likely be dead.
The US has sent something like 300,000 Ukrainians to their death in a war they couldn't possibly win in the SLIM HOPE it might weaken Russia although there's no strategic advantage to weakening Russia really.
In case you didn’t hear, the MSM are now admitting that Ukraine is a CIA proxy.
Meaning Putin’s invasion of Ukraine was NOT unprovoked, and that the US are the expansionists, overthrowing sovereign nations for geopolitical gain.
The US brought war to Putin’s doorstep.
Meaning that every single thing Western media told you about the war in Ukraine, was based on a lie. All the analysis you heard from pompous MSM talking-heads, was based on the presumption that Putin did this unprovoked, just because he is “literally Hitler”. None of it was true.
Turns out, Putin’s accusations of Western intelligence controlling Ukraine were correct, therefore his attack is more than justified. Just imagine if Russia funded Nazi militias in Canada, started a civil war, overthrew the government, then installed their own puppet regime, then put Russian intelligence bases and biolabs all over our northern border. Every American would be calling to flatten Canada and Russia. Well that’s exactly what the US did to Russia, and they are pissed.
Russia tried to join NATO, they were denied. Russia tried to negotiate non-violent means to resolve the conflict, they were denied. Russia tried to present their grievances of US bioweapon production and espionage to the UN, they were denied. Russia tried to go the diplomatic route, and the West just cried “Russian disinformation”, while they were the ones pushing disinformation.
The West also went out of their way to censor independent journalists like me who have been telling you this from day one, because if the public knew this detail the entire time, they wouldn’t have supported sending our tax dollars there.
This is going to be a tough pill to swallow for many Americans, but Russia are not the bad guys in this scenario. The West are, and it’s not even close.
The sooner we all recognize this, the sooner we can clean up the mess.
I have to say I haven't seen those MSM articles he mentions, but then, I never look at the MSM at all.
A video making the rounds yesterday purportedly showcased a mild-mannered assassin allegedly hired by Ukraine’s secret police to car-bomb Tucker Carlson for $4,000, but who was somehow stopped or arrested by the Russians. It’s not completely clear. While the tale would be consistent with how the Ukrainians usually man-handle journalists, I could not verify the video’s veracity, and I noted the story was not featured on Russia Today. Nor has Tucker said anything about it. So it remains in the “rumor” category until there’s more reliable information. But I figured someone would ask about this salacious story in the comments.
Three short days ago, the New York Times ran an unprecedented, astonishing, history-making, exclusive, damaging, long-form story under the intriguing headline, “The Spy War: How the C.I.A. Secretly Helps Ukraine Fight Putin.” Not ‘helps fight Russia.’ Helps fight Putin. The second sub-headline, which should’ve been the main headline, explained, “A C.I.A.-supported network of spy bases has been constructed in the past eight years that includes 12 secret locations along the Russian border.”
The least interesting fact about the article was that it immediately demolished the main argument for Ukraine support and instantly turned dozens of Senators and Congressmen into liars. The most interesting fact was the CIA’s obvious decision to burn its vast, unimaginably-expensive, militarized, networked, anti-Russia intelligence operation in Ukraine.
Note how carefully worded was the sub-headline. The CIA network of spy bases ‘includes’ twelve along the border. In other words, there’s a lot more than twelve bases. The total number remains classified. It’s like the M&M’s-in-the-jar-game. Guess how many secret, underground Ukrainian CIA bases are in the empty Vodka bottle to win a broken M1 Abrams tank!
It was a big, giant article, penned by Pulitzer-winning reporters Adam Entous and Michael Schwirtz who, the byline informed us, interviewed more than 200 people in the US, Europe, and Ukraine for the story. Adam and Michael are both well-connected intelligence community hired guns and Russia hawks. Adam won a Pulitzer for his story exposing Russian meddling (to ‘help Trump’) in the 2016 election. Michael won a Pulitzer in 2020 for his series of articles exposing Russian intelligence assets around the world. So.
For the story, Adam and Michael got deep access to top-secret CIA material and even toured one of its secret underground bases on the border in Ukraine. I’m wondering, how much top-secret, classified information was exposed to these reporters so they could write this story, obviously with close CIA cooperation?
I’m not sure that, in the entirety of its long, dubious existence, the CIA has ever dumped this much current, classified information into the public domain before. I think we have witnessed yet another historic, record-breaking 2024 disclosure.
Especially given recent classified-document controversies here in the States, one wonders who authorized the declassification of all that classified information? Was it authorized?
But the even bigger question is: why.
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