The most important takeaway is that Reuters shows Harris with only a +13% lead among Hispanics, placing Latino support for Trump nationally at 43%. Let’s cut to the chase – a Hispanic voter share for Trump north of 40% is simple electoral death for the Democrats.
Why?
Well, analyze it in context. Per the Pew Validated Voter Survey, the best metric for such post-election voter analysis, Trump earned 28% of the Hispanic vote nationally in 2016. Then by 2020, his support among Latinos leaped to 38%. Now, with his share climbing into the 40s, it puts the Harris team into an electoral college corner. Specifically, Hispanics are a determinative force in key swing states of Arizona and Nevada, and a growing driver in Georgia too, which now has over a million Hispanic citizens.
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https://stevecortes.substack.com/p/polls-hispanics-to-power-a-trump
When you are the wrong kind of brown.