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To buy, or not to buy...


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2012 Feb 29, 6:40am   65,444 views  219 comments

by hrhjuliet   ➕follow (1)   💰tip   ignore  

What do you all think? Wait out the Bay Area market a few more years? We have two kids, jobs here and we are renting a 500 square foot home. Should we buy some crap hole under $400,000 in the area, or move to a place where we could have a nice home for $200,000? Should we invest? Please add your reasons why, and any solid data or links you have to help.

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192   Bigsby   2012 Mar 5, 3:27am  

And you're still trolling. Why is that? You should be out building one of your death traps or do you not work these days?

193   1sfrenter   2012 Mar 5, 3:37am  

Realtors Are Liars says

Housing prices are falling.

After 30 years you'll have a depreciating expense.

Maybe so, maybe so. But either way I am paying a monthly expense for shelter.

Are you suggesting no one ever buy a home, or that everyone just wait? If the latter, for those of us who already have been paying a chunk of money in monthly rent while waiting for this bubble to unwind (not the speculators and investors, just the hoi polloi), what exactly is it you are suggesting?

Or are you perhaps, a troll for the 1%, who is greedily licking their chops at the prospect of the barrel you'll have us all over when 90% of all property is owned by the 1% and everyone rents from them?

194   freak80   2012 Mar 5, 3:41am  

1sfrenter says

Or are you perhaps, a troll for the 1%, who is greedily licking their chops at the prospect of the barrel you'll have us all over when 90% of all property is owned by the 1% and everyone rents from them?

You're already renting all property from the 1%. The rent is called 30 years of "mortgage interest." Renting money to "buy" property isn't much different than just renting the property.

195   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Mar 5, 5:05am  

1sfrenter says

Mortgage for 30 years = payment for 30 years with the possibility of having something at the end

Yup, a 30 yr old piece of crap that needs major updates. You don't think there will be better building materials, better engineering technique, better built-in media and communication systems? Your 30 year old home will be a tear down, so what did you really end up with? 30 years of an inability to invest your money when you buy into today's prices. Buy in 3-5 years when the prices come down to historical averages if you must buy.

196   freak80   2012 Mar 5, 5:10am  

RentingForHalfTheCost says

Yup, a 30 yr old piece of crap that needs major updates

And that assumes it's still standing. There's an awful lot of shitty run-down housing in the BA. Even if it's a relatively new house, houses aren't built to last anymore. They're made of vinyl, particle board, and glue.

197   FortWayne   2012 Mar 5, 5:58am  

I would advice to avoid spending money on something you'll end up hating over years. If you buy something you aren't happy with, you'll hate it even more after you spend thousands upon thousands in repairs and maintenance.

Silicon Valley bubble isn't going to last forever. Big companies like Google will stick around, but all this random little companies that provide less than marginal service will probably be going away sooner or later. Prices will drop just like they did during DotCom crash.

198   REpro   2012 Mar 5, 6:43am  

Silicon Valley is relaying too much on one industry.
Detroit use to have very high pay blue collar jobs with all possible perks. If in 1950 one could tell, that in next 15-30 years Detroit will decay beyond imagination, everybody would laugh of him.

199   freak80   2012 Mar 5, 6:47am  

REpro says

Silicon Valley is relaying too much on one industry.

Hasn't much of Silicon Valley gone to India already?

America is in a state of permanent decline.

200   REpro   2012 Mar 5, 7:14am  

wthrfrk80 says

Hasn't much of Silicon Valley gone to India already?

When tech gadgets are sent for production overseas, research and technology (often with tax subsidy) attached to it, is given away for free.

201   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Mar 5, 12:46pm  

wthrfrk80 says

Even when the mortgage is paid off, you don't "own" your house. Try missing a few property tax payments and see how much you really "own."

Even when the mortgage is paid off, you're renting the land from Your Local Government.

I am game for this definition. It is more in line with reality that everyone going around living in debt saying they own their leased car, leased house, leased wife, etc. The only thing you really own are your mistakes. ;)

202   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Mar 5, 12:50pm  

Realtors Are Liars says

tatupu70 says

RentingForHalfTheCost says

As collateral or guarantee of payment, the lender of the mortgage holds the deed or ownership of said property, until the buyer pays the mortgage off

Ding, ding, ding, ding. Do you see the word collateral in that sentence?

Ding, ding, ding, ding. Do you see the sentence "lender holds the deed" in that paragraph?

Yup, The holder of the deed is the owner. Amazing how you just skip over the last sentence where it says "the mortgage holder occupies the house as if they were the owner". Read - "as if". I know, I'm waiting my time. Where is that ignore button before I get dumbed down in the process of trying to help. Ugh

203   1sfrenter   2012 Mar 5, 12:56pm  

robertoaribas says

30 years of an inability to invest your money when you buy into today's prices.

Who said I had any money to invest in the first place? The assumptions floating around here are astounding.

Rent and PITI are identical right now, in the places we are looking. 100K interest free deferred payment (40 years, heck I'll be dead by then) down payment assistance from the city and a mere 2.5% cash from me.

Not sure about the rest of the readers here, but the bottom 90% of Americans are not sitting around wondering how to invest their money: we are trying to figure out how to pay the rent or the mortgage, keep our jobs, and feed our kids.

If I decide to move and get another rental, I would probably have to come up with over 8K cash for first, last and security deposit. For a 500K house: 13K. Monthly nut: 3K whether I rent or buy.

I'll gladly pay the additional maintenance (with a house/painter carpenter and auto mechanic couple, I know we can do more ourselves than the average homeowner) than have to deal with haughty, imperious, greedy landlords for the next 5-10 years.

Besides, I want another big dog. And maybe some pygmy goats.

204   tatupu70   2012 Mar 5, 8:52pm  

RentingForHalfTheCost says

Yup, The holder of the deed is the owner. Amazing how you just skip over the last sentence where it says "the mortgage holder occupies the house as if they were the owner". Read - "as if". I know, I'm waiting my time. Where is that ignore button before I get dumbed down in the process of trying to help. Ugh

Sorry, I think you were already dumbed down. Yes, the bank holds the deed. What ownership rights does that give them? Do they have any rights to the appreciation of the asset? Are they responsible for any liabilities caused by the asset? Do they have any access to the asset?

What ownership rights does the bank have??

205   freak80   2012 Mar 5, 10:49pm  

Who cares about "ownership rights"? That's academic. The fact is: if you stop paying your mortgage, the bank gets the house. Or at least that's the way it was until recently.

Unless you're buying outright with cash, you're either renting from Your Landlord or you're renting money from Your Bank. Do whichever option is cheaper and less risky.

Mortgage interest is "rent" too: it's rent paid to use money you don't own. If it's cheaper to rent money than rent houses, do that. If it's cheaper to rent houses than rent money, do that.

206   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Mar 5, 11:40pm  

wthrfrk80 says

Who cares about "ownership rights"? That's academic. The fact is: if you stop paying your mortgage, the bank gets the house. Or at least that's the way it was until recently.

Unless you're buying outright with cash, you're either renting from Your Landlord or you're renting money from Your Bank. Do whichever option is cheaper and less risky.

Mortgage interest is "rent" too: it's rent paid to use money you don't own. If it's cheaper to rent money than rent houses, do that. If it's cheaper to rent houses than rent money, do that.

+1

207   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Mar 5, 11:49pm  

robertoaribas says

RentingForHalfTheCost says

Yup, a 30 yr old piece of crap that needs major updates. You don't think there will be better building materials, better engineering technique, better built-in media and communication systems? Your 30 year old home will be a tear down, so what did you really end up with? 30 years of an inability to invest your money when you buy into today's prices.

My current home was built in 1968.... I'm in the process of updating most of the interior, hardly a teardown, and close to everything, unlike new homes built way out in BFE.

By the way, most buildings people own condos in in eurpope are hundreds of years old...

Built with brick and mortar rather than wood like most SFH in the US. I guess builders never read "the three little pigs". Every contractor should able to recite this story before given their license. I spent some time in Germany and the 200 yr old houses look like they were built yesterday. Here in the U.S. after 200 yrs all you got is a liability. Horrible foresight, and you can see the greed straight in the materials list on the blueprint.

208   freak80   2012 Mar 6, 12:02am  

RentingForHalfTheCost says

I spent some time in Germany and the 200 yr old houses look like they were built yesterday. Here in the U.S. after 200 yrs all you got is a liability.

Yep, that's America. If we built stuff to last, we wouldn't need to keep consuming. And if we didn't need to keep consuming, our overlords would stop making money...

209   tatupu70   2012 Mar 6, 12:14am  

wthrfrk80 says

Who cares about "ownership rights"?

Obviously you don't. But they are pretty important.

wthrfrk80 says

Mortgage interest is "rent" too: it's rent paid to use money you don't own. If it's cheaper to rent money than rent houses, do that. If it's cheaper to rent houses than rent money, do that.

That much we can agree on.

210   Bigsby   2012 Mar 6, 12:21am  

RentingForHalfTheCost says

Built with brick and mortar rather than wood like most SFH in the US. I guess builders never read "the three little pigs". Every contractor should able to recite this story before given their license. I spent some time in Germany and the 200 yr old houses look like they were built yesterday. Here in the U.S. after 200 yrs all you got is a liability. Horrible foresight, and you can see the greed straight in the materials list on the blueprint.

Brick isn't exactly the best idea in a major earthquake zone.

211   Bigsby   2012 Mar 6, 12:34am  

CalifGal says

Bigsby says

Brick isn't exactly the best idea in a major earthquake zone.

Really?

Tell us about seismic zones and seismic restraint as it relates to horizontal and vertical reinforcing in double wythe masonry walls.

Does that relate to one of your $60/sq. ft. houses? Why don't you explain to me why brick isn't the material of choice in seismically active areas? In fact, I don't think I can recall ever seeing a brick house in all the years I lived in Tokyo. Are there lots of them in the Bay area?

Oh, and didn't you forget something?

212   freak80   2012 Mar 6, 1:20am  

She's a BRICK...HOUSE...

213   freak80   2012 Mar 6, 1:28am  

Oh it's a SHIT...HOUSE...priced mighty mighty, just rentin' it 'til the rout...

214   Bigsby   2012 Mar 6, 1:51am  

69Charger says

I can't put up a CMU building in seismic zone S-4? Really? REALLY?

Realtors Are Liars.

Where exactly did I say that?

215   Bigsby   2012 Mar 6, 2:29am  

Contractors Are Liars.

Most especially $60/sq ft ones.

And doesn't that mean that you are one of a handful of people on here who actually benefited from the housing bubble. Or are you just Googling your construction info?

216   bg   2012 Jul 29, 4:46am  

hrhjuliet, I am in a similar boat. The biggest problem is that my husband can't get a job that pays nearly as much anywhere else. I don't think we can move. So I sit here pondering the purchase of a home. I can't figure out what to do about it. I continue to work on my down payment. I think that prices will continue to go down at a "slow hiss" pace on Peninsula. I have almost been thinking about buying a rental while we continue to rent. On the low end, it seems that there are properties that meet rent parity.

217   bg   2012 Jul 29, 5:15am  

edvard2 says

Still another option is to hold out for longer, save up a LOT of cash from your supposedly cushy, well-paying California job, and basically semi-retire somewhere else. My folks live in Semi-rural NC and they own a large piece of land, a decent house, and so on and the value of all of it is well under 200k. Where they live a normal house in say- an acre of land- is still easily less than 150k. I have even seen some for under 100k. So figure you save up lots of dough and go to someplace like that, buy a house for cash, stick the rest into various savings and retirement accounts, get some crappy joe-job that at least pays for your insurance, and call it a day. Sure- it would be a huge shift in lifestyle. I grew up that way. For others it would be a real shocker

This has been our generally approach.

edvard2 says

But getting back to that question, if where you live means you actually have to pay more to get what you really want, then would it be worth it to save up some more? I personally don't see a reason to rush right now. The market is actually still depreciating and even if it bottoms out, it will probably be awhile longer before it moves.

That has also been my view of things. Even if it bottoms, I don't think it will take off like a rocket. I think recent increase in prices is artificial, akin to a dead cat bounce.

BG

218   freak80   2012 Jul 29, 11:55pm  

holy zombie thread...

219   Eman   2012 Jul 30, 1:41am  

hrhjuliet says

Of course I don't like the Bay Area, lots of people don't, but a lot of people are stuck here for the very reasons I gave. It is a hard choice. I'm afraid of regrets, but I'm also afraid of making the wrong choice and buying if the market is still going down.

How's the housing market in your area between Feb and now? Up, down or sideways? If so, by how much?

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