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The "I really miss 'America's Overvalued Real Estate'" thread


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2006 Jul 5, 6:36am   31,098 views  377 comments

by HARM   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

As many of you know, we recently had a casualty in our extended bubble-battling blog family. Sadly, it looks as though the founder of one of my personal favorites, "'America's Overvalued Real Estate", has sold out to the highest bidder --a commercial RE company :-(. (Note: previous rumors to the effect that the site had been hijacked/sabotaged by the NAR have proven to be unfounded.) As Different Sean might say, "there's the perfect free market at work again." ;-)

This site --an instant classic-- hosted hundreds of examples of absurdly overpriced wrecks sent in from all over the U.S. and Canada, along with the satiric and often hilarious commentary from the blogmaster. It was wonderfully cathartic and priceless for its comic relief and real-life illustrations of how unhinged sellers have become, thanks to our Fed & GSE-blown liquidity bubble. I spent many a Friday afternoon perusing the latest submissions, often reading them aloud to Mrs. HARM. Truly fun for the whole family.

In honor of this fallen giant, I dedicate this thread as a tribute to A.O.R.E. Please post local examples --with photos and/or MLS links if you have then-- of the most outrageously overpriced $hitboxes in your local neighborhoods. International submissions are also welcome. I shall kick things off by re-posting one of the most egregrious and well publicized examples from last year -- the infamous $1.2 million shack from "Naked City", Las Vegas:

naked greed

Post & enjoy...
HARM

#housing

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269   Peter P   2006 Jul 6, 4:19pm  

The Arabs were phenominally advanced in math, astronomy, music, architecture, ceramics and anatomy

Astrology too. They could be the people who invented the whole stuff. Ever heard of Arabic Parts?

One very major application of astronomy is astrology. Why else did people need to know the positions of planets other than the sun and the moon?

270   Glen   2006 Jul 6, 4:23pm  

are you calling the US a “welfare state”? If so, wouldn’t it be better to be a “social democracy” instead?

Perhaps. I confess that I don't know enough about the Canadian healthcare system to make an informed judgment about it. I know that the US healthcare "system" is highly dysfunctional and I suspect that the Canadian system would be preferable. But it is a mistake to characterize the US system as "deregulated." We have a bizarre over-regulated system which encourages overconsumption of healthcare services by the insured (due to the opacity and diffusion of costs) and underconsumption by the uninsured (for obvious reasons).

My original comment re social-ism was in response to DS's comment that "‘deregulation’ is another neoclassical rightwing thinktank weasel word which is code for ‘please let me make even more money for myself without scrutiny or oversight or a governing role to guarantee socially acceptable outcomes’."

I object to this comment because I think it mischaracterizes deregulation. I acknowledge that there is a role for government in policing the market and preventing fraud or abuse. However, I disagree with regulation which is intended to fix prices, "reward" favored groups or engage in social engineering.

I am fairly consistent in my belief that government should only intervene in the market when market forces are insufficient to provide an optimal allocation of resources. Since I have my doubts that a pure market-based healthcare system would provide an acceptable level of minimal care to the poor, I suspect that this may be one area in which the government can legitimately exercise its regulatory power. But DS's wholesale dismissal of deregulation lead me to believe that he believes government, as a general proposition, is better than the market at allocating resources. For the most part, I disagree with this analysis.

271   Glen   2006 Jul 6, 4:30pm  

Another point I would like to make on healthcare:

Many of the examples cited of social-ized healthcare systems seem so wonderful because they transfer the costs of caring for the present generation onto future generations. I suspect that many of these systems will prove to unsustainable over the long haul. Especially in countries like Japan and many western european countries with shrinking populations. But no worries, they will just open the borders and load the costs onto the backs of the poor immigrants.

272   surfer-x   2006 Jul 6, 4:31pm  

I disagree about 300 years ago. In the 17th-18th centuries the middle east was already way behind in all the fields that you mentioned as well as in other aspects of development.

Wow, seems like it is high time for these godless heathens to "face realty" and become another soulless shallow BA yuppie piece of shit.

You continually amaze me; your talents are diverse and astounding. Not only are you one of the leading BA real estate will never go down pundits, but aren't the one also responsible for such gems as work hard and you'll make a lot of money if not you're stupid and lazy?

Maybe you should "face reality" and go back to Craigslist.

273   Peter P   2006 Jul 6, 4:34pm  

Wow, seems like it is high time for these godless heathens to “face realty” and become another soulless shallow BA yuppie piece of shit.

LOL :lol:

274   HARM   2006 Jul 6, 4:40pm  

On a separate note, HARM, your ignorant comments about me trying to inject race into the debate and being a “shudder” liberal are oh so indicative of your close minded point of view. The fact I mentioned some hillbillies and wetbacks and spics and japs was meant to illustrate these issues are not restricted to the target du jour. Hardly an attempt to inject race into a debate, rather, an obvious acknowledgement the elephant is already in the room.

Well, if I misinterpreted your comments at face value (as serious), then I am sorry. But you were the first one to "play the race card" so to speak --even if it was in jest. Though you may not agree with me, I encounter this type of knee-jerk "Liberal" reaction all the time here when trying to discuss immigration rationally. Sort of like automatically bringing up Hitler when discussing the Bush Administration.

275   tsusiat   2006 Jul 6, 4:44pm  

Glen -

fair enough, good response. I personally believe some "social engineering" is necessary and preferable, but your points on the general opacity of the system make sense to me. My cousins married to a guy who used to work for an HMO, and I can tell you, don't even get him started on the benefits of one system versus the other.

The irony is that employment for people like him doesn't exist in Canada. He's not doing that kind of work anymore anyhow, thank god.

As to optimal use of resources, it is an easily proven point that many recent scientific advances resulted from the efficient application of resources by quasi-governmental organizations like the military or NASA.

Of course, these organizations on the grand scale cannot be considered "deregulated", even if elements are more or less so.

The same can be said of healthcare - it need not be "deregulated" to achieve optimal allocation of scarce resoures.

Remember - the interests of doctors are not the interests that should be driving the system - it should be those of feepayers and patients - however the fees are paid.

276   Glen   2006 Jul 6, 4:53pm  

As to optimal use of resources, it is an easily proven point that many recent scientific advances resulted from the efficient application of resources by quasi-governmental organizations like the military or NASA.

Of course we don't know what sort of advances would have occurred if the hundreds of billions spent on NASA and the military had been available for R&D in the private sector. I suspect that all of those highly trained scientists and engineers would have come up with a thing or two in order to make a buck... And the mortality rate of passengers on NASA spacecraft (+/- 5%), for example, is ridiculous when compared to the mortality rate of passengers on private air transport (+/- .0001%).

277   tsusiat   2006 Jul 6, 4:55pm  

Glen-

ouch, touche.

278   Glen   2006 Jul 6, 4:57pm  

Tsusiat,
Besides...I thought you agreed with me that the MIC was out of control? Why try to rationalize it using ex-post justifications based on a few useful civilian byproducts of defense R&D?

279   Mike/a.k.a.Sage   2006 Jul 6, 4:57pm  

Why is their always a caveat at the end of every news story about bad housing news? Why must journalists put a line in about some glimmer of hope, apologizing for the bad news? Are they required by law to do this? Why? Why? Why? It makes me sick how they manage to ruin a good, bad news story.

280   Glen   2006 Jul 6, 5:10pm  

Journalists like to fancy themselves as “objective.” So the last paragraph is the attempt to show the “other side” of the story. I have a journalism degree, and I remember always being told to be “objective,” though I do not believe there is much objectivity in the mainstream press.

Yes...that is a very annoying tendency. I went to see the Al Gore movie last weekend. One of the interesting points he brought up is that in a survey of (some ridiculously large #--I think it was like 800+) peer-reviewed scientific articles on climate change, 0 expressed any doubt that CO2 contributes to global warming. But in a survey of (another large #) of articles in the mainstream media, 53% expressed at least some doubt that CO2 contributes to global warming. I suspect that the media felt obligated to give the "other side" of the story by giving equal time to the energy industry shills.

Or the coverage of Bush administration lies.... "Democrats say that Bush misled the US into war. On the other hand, Bush says he didn't." End of story. So aggravating!

281   Mike/a.k.a.Sage   2006 Jul 6, 5:15pm  

How about showing the "other side" in the middle of the story, or is that too difficult.

282   Glen   2006 Jul 6, 5:18pm  

How about exercising a little independent judgment and occasionally rejecting the BS touted by the advocates of the "other side."

There is a housing bubble. It will end badly. The industry says it will be a soft landing, but there is no historical precedent to support their view.

283   HARM   2006 Jul 6, 5:18pm  

Since when is it wrong to be a liberal? What planet did you grow up on, where democracy consists of arguing that politics of left or right must be founded on absolute certainty and the other godless souls are corrupting the nation?

If you mean "liberal" in the classical sense, as in more like pro-limited government, pro-individual economic choice, pro-tolerance in race, religion, sexual preference, etc. (aka moderate Libertarianism), then I don't see anything wrong at all.

If you mean modern "Liberal", as in pro-government social re-engineering, picking marketplace "winners" & "losers", dictating preference to consumers, creating government quasi-monopolies, propping up inefficient and unprofitable industries with endless subsidies, promoting the interests of certain "preferred" racial/ethnic groups over others and engaging in racially divisive victimhood/reparations politics, then please count me out.

I have never accused all "liberals", leftists or whatever label you prefer as "godless souls" corrupting anyone, nor do I claim to have a monopoly on absolute Truth. I just see injecting race politics as counter-productive to debating what immigration policies will produce the most optimal results for U.S. citizens and society.

284   HARM   2006 Jul 6, 5:26pm  

There isn’t a lot of space in a newspaper story to flip back and forth between two sides, so they generally follow one story so to speak; and throw in the last paragraph to appease the “objectivity” standard.

Not to mention that RE advertising pays for a lot of newsprint.

285   Glen   2006 Jul 6, 5:28pm  

HARM:
Count me in the "classical liberal" camp.

Can we please have a party which promotes liberal politics and liberal economics?? Most Democrats would agree that government should not tell women whether or not to get an abortion, or whether gays should be allowed to marry, or whether they can do drugs, obtain assisted suicide, etc... Many Republicans would agree that the government should not be involved in doling out favors to industries, handing out subsidies, sponsoring GSEs, etc...

Seems to me that a good liberal should support freedom both in the context of personal morality and in the area of economic choice. But I guess my views are fairly unusual.

286   HARM   2006 Jul 6, 5:34pm  

Can we please have a party which promotes liberal politics and liberal economics??

Here you go: http://www.lp.org/article_85.shtml

287   Mike/a.k.a.Sage   2006 Jul 6, 5:38pm  

What is wrong with being in the middle, if being in the middle is where common sense resides. Mike/a.k.a.Sage

288   Glen   2006 Jul 6, 5:42pm  

Hmm... maybe I should have said a viable political party...

289   Glen   2006 Jul 6, 5:45pm  

From the Libertarian Party website:
"We call for the elimination of all restrictions on immigration, the abolition of the Immigration and Naturalization Service and the Border Patrol, and a declaration of full amnesty for all people who have entered the country illegally."

HARM: Is this acceptable to you?

290   Different Sean   2006 Jul 6, 6:14pm  

Glen Says:

[stuff]

that's all very touching, but you don't seem to be in the loop on what's really going on, how anyone else organises their medical system, and so on and so forth.

You’re joking, right? US healthcare deregulated?? Not quite. We have layers upon layers of bureaucratic sclerosis. Consumers have no idea what health care even costs because of the insurance industry, which acts as an intermediary.

well, how would you deregulate? this is getting crazy. deregulation is to put it in the private sector and not mandate parameters of operation.

Health insurance is subsidized in a haphazard and inefficient way by permitting employers to deduct health care premiums, while denying the same benefit to the unemployed or self-employed. Medicare provides incomplete coverage to the old and the poor, but everyone else is left to fend for themselves.

and...?

I am not a free market purist, as I stated earlier. I believe in sensible regulation which allows consumers to make informed choices.

that's just more market speak. over here, people who constantly talk about 'consumer choice' are always held up to be market goons. choice of what?

Neither the US system, nor the social democratic systems, provide for such informed choices. I suppose my ideal scenario would involve a minimal healthcare social safety net for all citizens (for catastrophic care and preventive medicine), with consumers free to supplement this coverage through private insurance or self insurance.

the irony is, that's exactly what you have now -- you've just summed up the US health care system. gaak!! and you say also that that is the 'ideal' as though it has not been realised.

i always find it hilarious when americans always say they are striving towards an 'ideal' which is both regressive and usually the system they already have, and usually punishing -- while the rest of the world is doing it different and better a totally different way... the insularity and parochialism and sheer stupidity is quite something to behold...

there's a website i found recently which i can't find again comparing the US to about 20 other countries and points out what a schemozzle the US system is. mainly due to overpaying doctors, and the whole health insurance/HMO disaster. if i can find it again i'll post in a link. plus the OECD ranking report...

health insurance comes up as an issue on this site over and over again. there's a lot less stress in my life knowing everything is free through the public system as a universal guarantee, nothing to pay, script costs are low, and knowing that it is twice as efficient (i.e. half the cost to operate) per capita as the US system to boot... effectively the govt is the insurer, as they know there is a finite demand on their services, so they may as well absorb the hassle...

291   Different Sean   2006 Jul 6, 6:15pm  

the OECD report pointed out that one major hallmarks of the US system is its denial of access to care for those who need it on financial grounds, compared with other similar countries, which contributed to its overall world ranking of 37th in quality...

292   Different Sean   2006 Jul 6, 6:19pm  

I suppose my ideal scenario would involve a minimal healthcare social safety net for all citizens (for catastrophic care and preventive medicine), with consumers free to supplement this coverage through private insurance or self insurance.

actually, on a re-reading, that's what most other countries have. except i see a GP for anything for free, get blood tests, X-rays and ultrasounds for free, etc. and scripts are only about $20 at most... so it's not just 'catastrophic' healthcare. are you saying many americans currently don't get treated even when something catastrophic occurs at present?

293   HARM   2006 Jul 6, 6:30pm  

@Glen,

Hey, no political party is perfect! ;-). You may have noticed that the California state Libertarian party website has a slightly different take on this issue (no big surprise there): http://ca.lp.org/lp20060221.shtml
The national party platform does tend too far towards being reflexively anti-government anything for my taste. We are a sovereign nation-state and should defend our borders, even while encouraging --or even expanding-- legal immigration.

The party platform also states:

At the same time, we recognize that the right to enter the United States does not include the right to economic entitlements such as welfare. The freedom to immigrate is a freedom of opportunity, not a guarantee of a handout.

294   GallopingCheetah   2006 Jul 6, 7:58pm  


Can we please have a party which promotes liberal politics and liberal economics??

I feel your pain. Do you realize that you are crying out for MONARCHY?

Monarchy offers more liberty than Democracy, according to Erik von Kuehnelt-Leddihm.

People who are interested in classical liberalism should read Erik's seminal book "Liberty or Equality."

295   tsusiat   2006 Jul 7, 12:39am  

SFWoman -

haha, I see you understand exactly how things work.

Gay marriage, bleat gay marriage, bleat, baa baa, gay mariage...

LOL, good post.

296   Glen   2006 Jul 7, 1:33am  

are you saying many americans currently don’t get treated even when something catastrophic occurs at present?

DS,
They get treated...then they get a huge bill, which they can't realistically pay, then they go bankrupt.

297   DinOR   2006 Jul 7, 1:37am  

Test?

298   DinOR   2006 Jul 7, 1:41am  

Hi all! Lost my original post so I'll make this brief.

NO ONE missed "overvalued" more than myself! The listing really spoke for themselves and shed an ugly and unflattering light on the darker side of human greed. Their brand of candor and comedy will be sorely missed.

299   DinOR   2006 Jul 7, 1:51am  

Enroute to LV got some bad "dope" and took 99E south of Sacramento. In short, a freaking NIGHTMARE! One speed trap after the other and unrelenting traffic. Not fun. When I get caught up I'll be "talking" to my friend!

LV (I'm only too happy to report) is in an undeniable state of collapse! Locals point out all of the "unfinished" projects that are obviously languishing under the desert sun. (Who needs to add to an already busting at the seams inventory?) So you see basically abandoned job sites or maybe two guys "working" on a 400 unit condo complex? Must be pretty good workers! Visited friends in Sun City Anthem (Henderson) and even though they talked their way down to 300K from 350K they admit they STILL probably overpaid. Gas prices are being blamed for a "quiet" 4th of July (by LV standards anyway) but I suspect it's as much the impact from the end of the line for house ATM withdrawls?

Bend, OR (sorry Michael Anderson) is a freaking mess. We would have been home 45 minutes earlier had we went around it! These are things though that can only learned from "on site intel" (not at 40,000 feet)! The whole place is a construction zone. Equity locusts indeed!

300   DinOR   2006 Jul 7, 2:02am  

SQT,

That is good stuff!

Living the American (banker's) dream! LOL!

Hey, uh didn't mean to get down on SAC but we're used to taking I-5 and 99E seemed to hit one town after another! I can't remember them all but we planned on being in Mojave (one of my favorite stop overs) and barely made it to Madera befor throwing in the towel completely exhausted. The traffic (and cops) just don't let up!

301   DinOR   2006 Jul 7, 2:12am  

-befor
+before

Anyway, we were totally unprepared for all of the on ramp traffic b/c it just didn't look THAT bad on a map! Let's recap:

Elk Grove
Galt
Lodi
Stockton
Manteca
Ripon?
Salida
Modesto
Ceres
Turlock
Livingston
Merced
Chowchilla
Madera

This doesn't even take into account ALL of the towns south of Fresno! What's odd (to Oregonians anyway) is that in the same stretch on I-5 there's well, uh basically NOTHING! Don't take it the wrong way but it was a mistake I'm not eager to repeat. Oh and Mrs. DinOR "forgot" her driver's license which she of course didn't realize until it was her turn at the first gas stop after SAC! Forgot indeed!

302   DinOR   2006 Jul 7, 2:17am  

We were sooooo determined not to take I-5 back we drove through 400+ miles of desert, spent the afternoon/night in Reno which btw earned a spot on my "list of places to avoid" BUT had a great breakfast in all places "Likely" California and pleasant visit in Alturas which was very nice as well!

303   DinOR   2006 Jul 7, 2:25am  

I kept insisting that not having your driver's license "on you" is not the same as "not having a license"! But........ she wasn't willing to "risk it" and said I was doing just fine! Seriously we saw sooooo many people pulled over it wasn't funny. On 95 in NV we saw ONE highway patrol car in a 400 mile stretch.

304   DinOR   2006 Jul 7, 2:32am  

Much has been said about how much gambling subsidizes the roads in NV but I thought Oregonians had it bad! It's so obvious the minute you roll out of Reno and come back on 395 into CA! NV has plenty of "desert and weeds" but the roads are great! I don't know where CA spends the money but even I-5 through Shasta and Weed were really rough. Lots of deep ruts and pot holes along with much "road noise" and litter. Using 101 makes for great scenery but we didn't think it was too practical. Is that in better shape?

305   Red Whine   2006 Jul 7, 2:34am  

Glen Says: "Hmm… maybe I should have said a viable political party… "

Ahh yes, no one can be "viable" except our beloved Republicans and Democrats. And being starstruck groupies for these hacks has gotten us where, exactly?

306   DinOR   2006 Jul 7, 2:35am  

SQT,

THAT's what I told her! Besides I was sitting right next to her. Hello? I could see a cop raising his eyebrows if your husband (who is passed out) in the backseat says "Oh yeah, she's got a license" but c'mon.

307   DinOR   2006 Jul 7, 2:47am  

Oh and just to prove her point the MINUTE we got in she called me over to show me it was exactly where she said it was! I was too tired to argue. In the end I work at home and she commutes EVERY day so I guess she figured if she had to drive it wouldn't be a vacation!

I would be curious though to hear what 101 looks like b/c most Oregonians are pretty familiar with it from Astoria to Bandon but then switch over to I-5 as soon as they hit the CA state line. Why, I have no idea.

308   DinOR   2006 Jul 7, 2:53am  

pdx_renter,

I only take a vacation every couple of years so it IS a big deal to me but if you like for a nominal contribution patrick will e-mail you all of the articles you could ever want or need. Personally, all of the research was done in 2003/4/5 so all that is left for me to do is to sit back and watch. Ben Jones does a great job keeping everyone "on task" but I consider my travels through the "epicenter" of the bubble fairly valuable "on site intel" b/c you get to see abandoned sub divisions first hand! I live in the PDX area and yes, (we're in a bubble too)!

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