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It’s cheaper to buy than rent in the Bay Area according to Trulia, says SF Chr


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2012 Sep 19, 5:20am   8,423 views  29 comments

by taketheplunge   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

San Francisco Chronicle is reporting that it is cheaper to buy than rent, but although I haven't seen the Trulia report yet, it appears that there are a ton of unstated assumptions.

http://blog.sfgate.com/ontheblock/2012/09/19/what-its-cheaper-to-buy-than-rent-in-the-bay-area/

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9   everything   2012 Sep 19, 10:55pm  

This was on USA TODAY money section front page last week, with a glaring 771 number / savings per month by buying! figure in the headline. I read through it, but it was clear that it in no way shape or form applied to me since my rent is 575 a month and includes everything except my ISP service. My thoughts were, wow, wish I could save $771 a month by buying a house, but I'm more likely saving $771 or more a month by renting instead. I don't remember the article mentioning the bay area.

10   pkennedy   2012 Sep 20, 3:03am  

Don't forget San Jose in your numbers!

http://www.trulia.com/for_sale/San_Jose,CA/2p_beds/1p_baths/CONDO_type/0-250000_price/

All of those places are cheaper to buy than rent. Average cost would be about $1300/month for a 2bedroom condo, vs renting ghetto version $1500+

11   anonymous   2012 Sep 20, 3:09am  

$200k for a two bedroom? Red states take better care of their residents. They also don't send 30 cents of every dollar they collect from state residents in taxes to the Feds, unlike the crooks in Cali.

12   evilmonkeyboy   2012 Sep 20, 4:25am  

pkennedy says

Don't forget San Jose in your numbers!

http://www.trulia.com/for_sale/San_Jose,CA/2p_beds/1p_baths/CONDO_type/0-250000_price/

All of those places are cheaper to buy than rent. Average cost would be about $1300/month for a 2bedroom condo, vs renting ghetto version $1500+

Any condo in San Jose/around San Jose that has a $1300 mortgage/200k is in a bad neighborhood. I rent a 900sf condo in decent neighborhood in SJ and they seem to be selling for about 300k and the hoa is $350 a month so your monthly payment + hoa is about $2200 which more then they rent for.

13   edvard2   2012 Sep 20, 5:15am  

anon12366 says

$200k for a two bedroom? Red states take better care of their residents. They also don't send 30 cents of every dollar they collect from state residents in taxes to the Feds, unlike the crooks in Cali.

So sure about that? The "Red" State I grew up in had exorbitant retail taxes on everything: Around 10% overall. That's considerably higher than most states.

Also- while 200k sounds cheap to us here in Cali, the median wage in a lot of those red states are also really low- as in it was around 40K per family where I'm from. 200k suddenly doesn't sound "cheap" anymore...

14   freak80   2012 Sep 20, 5:35am  

edvard2 says

So sure about that? The "Red" State I grew up in had exorbitant retail taxes on everything: Around 10% overall. That's considerably higher than most states.

Regressive taxation is the route to prosperity.

15   FunTime   2012 Sep 20, 6:25am  

mike2 says

You got it wrong on your scenario. You mention you are married to the MF for 15/20s? Not true at all. Most people move every 6-7 years as homeowners.

So why sign a contract based on 15/30 years? That has significant mathematical results and is the reason banks/wealthy people are willing to loan money for mortgages. That's the point being made about being "married to the MF." Your wallet is married.

If you think about the object of sales, there is a logical result that asks, "How can I get someone to spend most of their money with me?" The answer has been, "Sell them a mortgage."

16   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Sep 20, 9:26am  

taketheplunge says

Thanks. I still want to read the Trulia report later to see what kind of optimistic assumptions they must have been using.

10% home price appreciation from here on out! We will catch up with Phoenix and Concord. The bay area is not that much worse than them places to live. It might actually be a tiny bit better IMHO. ;)

17   pkennedy   2012 Sep 20, 11:53am  

I'm buying those places in San Jose and renting them for $1700 or more. They cost under 200K. HOA's are around $300 and taxes at $150 range. If I went for the 300K units, I could probably get $2200 for those. Not as great, but pretty decent still.

18   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Sep 20, 1:22pm  

pkennedy says

I'm buying those places in San Jose and renting them for $1700 or more. They cost under 200K. HOA's are around $300 and taxes at $150 range. If I went for the 300K units, I could probably get $2200 for those. Not as great, but pretty decent still.

Tenants refuse to show you real ids and pay you in cash every month. That might get old pretty quick. Good luck. You will need it.

19   Eman   2012 Sep 20, 1:49pm  


Still not even close in San Fran itself, though I admit that in far suburbs it can make sense to buy now. Places like Antioch, Pittsburgh, and parts of Oakland.

See for yourself:

http://patrick.net/calculator.php

Don't forget highly desirable areas of Richmond, San Pablo, Pinole, and Vallejo. :)

20   Eman   2012 Sep 20, 1:59pm  

pkennedy says

I'm buying those places in San Jose and renting them for $1700 or more. They cost under 200K. HOA's are around $300 and taxes at $150 range. If I went for the 300K units, I could probably get $2200 for those. Not as great, but pretty decent still.

What are you smoking? Where do you find these deals? They don't even exist in San Jose or any place in the Bay Area or shall I say the Real Bay Area. It's much cheaper to rent than to buy in the Bay Area. Don't give people the wrong idea. :)

21   Eman   2012 Sep 20, 2:03pm  

RentingForHalfTheCost says

Tenants refuse to show you real ids and pay you in cash every month. That might get old pretty quick. Good luck. You will need it.

Actually his tenants are 1) an engineer for Apple, 2) a CPA for one of the big 4, and 3) an IT for VMWare. So far, they have been paying like clockwork with direct deposit each month. He gives them $3 off for the direct deposit fee. Too bad, the sucker can only buy one more rental property. :)

22   Eman   2012 Sep 20, 2:07pm  

anon12366 says

$200k for a two bedroom? Red states take better care of their residents. They also don't send 30 cents of every dollar they collect from state residents in taxes to the Feds, unlike the crooks in Cali.

One can go to Modesto or Patterson and get a 4 or 5 bedroom house for $200k or less. Not all part of CA is bad.

23   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Sep 20, 11:23pm  

E-man says

2) a CPA for one of the big 4

What would you consider the "big 4"?

24   dunnross   2012 Sep 21, 12:26am  

I don't know what trulia/sf chr. people are smoking these days. I entered my own numbers into patrick's calculator, and I get this;

Renter after 7 years: -209,896 Owner after 7 years: -460,292

25   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Sep 21, 1:36am  

pkennedy says

Don't forget San Jose in your numbers!

http://www.trulia.com/for_sale/San_Jose,CA/2p_beds/1p_baths/CONDO_type/0-250000_price/

All of those places are cheaper to buy than rent. Average cost would be about $1300/month for a 2bedroom condo, vs renting ghetto version $1500+

Yah, for that great price it is nice to know you are surrounded by some serious sex offenders. Just don't have any kids and if you do, keep them inside at all times. Great condos and prices. I wouldn't live there for free.

26   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Sep 21, 1:37am  

Always forget to hit the "Upload Image" button.

27   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Sep 21, 1:42am  

pkennedy says

Don't forget San Jose in your numbers!

http://www.trulia.com/for_sale/San_Jose,CA/2p_beds/1p_baths/CONDO_type/0-250000_price/

All of those places are cheaper to buy than rent. Average cost would be about $1300/month for a 2bedroom condo, vs renting ghetto version $1500+

Here is one of your neighbors.

28   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Sep 21, 3:49am  

Darrell In Phoenix says

pkennedy says

All of those places are cheaper to buy than rent.

Nonsense.

Renting is a fraction of total ownership costs at current inflated asking prices of resale housing.

Absolutely, true and I got $3k/mth that proves it. Not some wacky view of how to interpret a graph, bar, or pie chart. Or some organization that only spews out a bias opinion and has repeatedly lied about the data. You owner preachers keep pumping, nothing beats field work. I'll watch your chest beating with a skeptic eye and let my own savings rate be the judge. I am years away from even contemplating buying in the BA. I'd even contemplate renting two homes before buying at this point. That is how silly it has become here. Time will be a rude awakening for many.

29   freak80   2012 Sep 21, 3:53am  

"289(a) PRIOR CODE - SEXUAL PENETRATION OF VICTIM WITH FOREIGN OBJECT BY FORCE."

Just another day in the RE biz.

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