0
0

How can prices be expected to go up when younger Americans already can't afford homes, as ownership rates have been slipping substantially?


               
2011 Sep 2, 9:32am   20,420 views  57 comments

by uffthefluff   follow (0)  

http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2011/08/lawler-census-2010-homeownership-rates.html

The only other explanation is that younger Americans don't want to buy homes, but either way there's no good mechanism to transfer housing from aging boomers to younger generations without wide-scale price declines. The long term trend in real estate prices that we have seen for the last 50 years - of a net return greater than inflation - seems unlikely to continue given these demographic trends.

#housing

Comments 1 - 5 of 57       Last »     Search these comments

1   uffthefluff   @   2011 Sep 2, 10:10am  

Huh, did you mean to say that home prices would go up if Americans were - unwilling - to accept an increase in people living under the same roof? If more people live in each house then demand will be lower, thereby decreasing prices. Furthermore, you didn't address the rather striking decrease in home ownership among those Americans who are younger than 55.

2   leeaundra   @   2011 Sep 2, 10:24am  

Did anyone notice that according to the corrected numbers, California has the lowest rate of houses owned free and clear??? What does this esteemed board think THAT means...

3   bmwman91   @   2011 Sep 2, 11:03am  

It just means that Californians are super smart and don't let equity build up in their home like idiots. Houses always appreciate, unlocking the equity that buyers deserve. The only reason prices aren't appreciating is that poor people & illegals that refuse to work hard are taking hand-outs from the system that are supposed to go to property owners.

/that lady from that video

4   DC real estate for the rich only   @   2011 Sep 2, 11:03am  

Prices aren't going up. Not only can't younger Americans afford homes, neither can the older ones unless they're living in modest areas across the US where jobs may not be plentiful or the weather sucks. Paying your mortgage used to mean something in America. We're losing our self respect as a nation. I agree with Patrick wholeheartedly that renting makes more financial sense in a lot of areas but I can also argue the other side because I've seen both. There's something special about owning a home in a nice community where your kids can go to the pool and say "Hi" to neighbors who take pride in their community. As a renter I feel better about not having debt but I "miss" being a home owner - so do my kids. At least they won't have student loans choking them to death. How can a kid coming out of college with enormous debt even think about home ownership? It's only going to get worse because mommy and daddy can't tap into their home equity loans any more.

5   thomas.wong1986   @   2011 Sep 2, 2:35pm  

Housing Affordability dropped long long ago...hence many used ARM loans

California's Housing Affordability Index Falls to 28 Percent in March,

CAR …goliath.ecnext.com/premium/0199/0199-2845760.html

May 8, 2003 - The March Housing Affordability Index (HAI) decreased two percentage points from 30 percent in February 2003. The minimum household income needed to purchase a median-priced home at $352780 in California in March was $82470, based on a typical 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage at 5.80 ...

California; SOUTHLAND FOCUS; State Affordability Index Down in

Jul 14, 2000 - Southern California's affordability index also fell to 36%, down 3 points from May 1999. Only 25% of Orange County's residents could afford a median-priced home--$322080--in May, down 11 percentage points from a year ago. "This strong price appreciation is really tied to lack of supply ...

San Jose Mercury News : HOME AFFORDABILITY A BIT BETTER BUT ...
Nov 3, 2000 - The least affordable county in the state in September was San Francisco, with an affordability index of 12 percent, followed by San Mateo and Santa Cruz counties at 13 percent. Contra Costa was next with 14 percent of households able to afford a median-priced home. ...

Comments 1 - 5 of 57       Last »     Search these comments

Please register to comment:

api   best comments   contact   latest images   memes   one year ago   users   suggestions   gaiste