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Huh?


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2005 Oct 18, 8:59am   72,458 views  1,273 comments

by Peter P   ➕follow (2)   💰tip   ignore  


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24   Zephyr   2005 Oct 18, 12:00pm  

You are playing with fire when you bet on Fannie Mae.

It bounced back as I guessed it would. However, I was unwilling to bet on that, because there is far too much that cannot be known by us. And far too much that is known by some. You are taking a huge risk making any bet with such a big information disadvantage.

25   Zephyr   2005 Oct 18, 12:07pm  

BTW, Dead cats don't bounce this well.

26   Peter P   2005 Oct 18, 12:08pm  

You are playing with fire when you bet on Fannie Mae.

It bounced back as I guessed it would. However, I was unwilling to bet on that, because there is far too much that cannot be known by us. And far too much that is known by some. You are taking a huge risk making any bet with such a big information disadvantage.

I know. This is why I will strictly control my risks using limited-loss strategies. Fire? Yes, I will probably burn my fish too. ;)

27   Peter P   2005 Oct 18, 12:09pm  

BTW, Dead cats don’t bounce this well.

I agree. It is quite probable that the market is seeing bad news as evidence of corruption cleansing.

28   Zephyr   2005 Oct 18, 12:13pm  

FNM has bounced twice now. It's been about 20 days since the big drop... with a steady and stable climb from the second bottom.

29   Peter P   2005 Oct 18, 12:19pm  

FNM has bounced twice now. It’s been about 20 days since the big drop… with a steady and stable climb from the second bottom.

Yes indeed. More importantly, it has been going up against the broad market. This does indicate some strength...

30   Zephyr   2005 Oct 18, 12:20pm  

Better to burn your fish, rather than your cash. Good luck.

31   Randy H   2005 Oct 18, 1:16pm  

I think the market has a 5%/10%/15% circuit breaker, right?

Circuit breakers and trading collars:

If ( dow.level()

32   Randy H   2005 Oct 18, 1:17pm  

well shit, and I put so much work into the code. oh well, figures.

34   Jamie   2005 Oct 18, 2:25pm  

Re: “Huh?”

Jack, I wonder how long we can keep discussing the word "huh?" Imagine it--us staying on topic...completely on topic!

Here's a comprehensive breakdown of the uses of the word "huh" from urbandictionary.com:
http://tinyurl.com/bc3cr

(PS I had nothing to do with the lewdness of the first example)

35   SJ_jim   2005 Oct 18, 2:41pm  

Hmmm...will there be an oktoberfukt?
Heads "no", tails "yes". I flipped a nick & it came up Monticello.
(***not investment advice***)

A fund manager, John Hussman (pronounced "Huh-ssman", by the way :) ) has some commentary regarding current market environment. The "4%" comment near the bottom is particularly interesting:

"As of last week, the Market Climate for stocks continued to be characterized by unusually unfavorable valuations and unfavorable market action. Note that this is a discrete change from recent weeks. Until and unless market action improves enough, we have to infer that investors have moved to a more skittish view of risk. At present, we have very low risk premiums, increasing risk aversion, and rising interest rates. This is a really bad combination. That's not to forecast a crash (though current conditions match only the 4% of market history that contains most significant crashes on record) or even the necessity of a market decline here. But very emphatically, this is not an environment in which we are willing to take a significant exposure to market risk."

Link:
http://tinyurl.com/8d8bp

36   SJ_jim   2005 Oct 18, 2:53pm  

Damn Jack, got no nickels? Living off the HELOC, HUH?
:)

37   SJ_jim   2005 Oct 18, 2:54pm  

:) = :) ?

38   Jamie   2005 Oct 18, 2:56pm  

"Is that is why Peter P made this thread. To “park” all the misfits in?"

Maybe it's a social experiment, to see just how far wrong we can go with a topic so vague...

39   Jamie   2005 Oct 18, 2:59pm  

"http://tinyurl.com/8d8bp"

Huh. (couldn't resist) Interesting article, SJ Jim, thanks for posting. I think we should have a thread titled "Octoberfukt."

40   SJ_jim   2005 Oct 18, 3:02pm  

...only if "it" happens, I say. Until then, "huh" will due for now, to be followed by "hmmm" around this time next week.

41   SJ_jim   2005 Oct 18, 3:03pm  

"I cant even afford sheets for the windows."
No excuse!...newspapers are abundant & free at s*bucks.

42   Jamie   2005 Oct 18, 3:07pm  

"50,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 websites on the planet, and we get THIS? Coincidence indeed."

Urban Dictionary is the first place I always go when I need definitions of slang words, and their definitions are often not Webster's-worthy, so in that sense, no coincidence at all.

See, nice respectable answer.

43   Jamie   2005 Oct 18, 3:08pm  

“I cant even afford sheets for the windows.”

Why would you want sheets to obstruct your sought-after Marin views? Simplicity is Prime. ;-)

44   SJ_jim   2005 Oct 18, 3:12pm  

Jack sets the trend in home exterior paint design: Camo-faux (R).

45   Jamie   2005 Oct 18, 3:13pm  

"…only if “it” happens, I say. Until then, “huh” will due for now, to be followed by “hmmm” around this time next week."

Huh.

Okay, okay, if we have to be patient about it. I can settle for "hmmm."

46   SJ_jim   2005 Oct 18, 3:15pm  

Yeah, so (R) is supposed to be circle-R for registrered TM; hell, I think MS Word converts it for me...huh.

47   Jamie   2005 Oct 18, 3:18pm  

"Jack sets the trend in home exterior paint design: Camo-faux (R)."

At the possible detriment of birds, joggers, and other dumb animals who will confuse his house with open wilderness and smack into it at high speeds. The sounds of animals knocking themselves out might get annoying, Jack.

48   Jamie   2005 Oct 18, 3:27pm  

"nooooooooooo"

Huh?

49   Jamie   2005 Oct 18, 3:33pm  

"So how IS the desert anyway?"

Dry. Very dry.

Well, except today it rained.

50   Randy H   2005 Oct 18, 3:33pm  

Huh?

51   Jamie   2005 Oct 18, 3:33pm  

"So how IS the desert anyway?"

Did you post twice to indicate multiple layers of meaning? ;-)

52   Jamie   2005 Oct 18, 3:34pm  

"Huh?"

Yet another mult-layered question.

53   SJ_jim   2005 Oct 18, 3:36pm  

New rule: post twice for heavy emphasis.

54   Peter P   2005 Oct 18, 3:37pm  

New rule: post twice for heavy emphasis.

SJ_Jim, can you post that twice to emphasize the rule?

55   Jamie   2005 Oct 18, 3:38pm  

"post twice for heavy emphasis."

And maximum thread inflation.

Oh, but there is no thread bubble!

56   SQT15   2005 Oct 18, 3:39pm  

Jack and Jamie. I guess I got too excited.

57   Jamie   2005 Oct 18, 3:41pm  

"I guess I got too excited."

LOL, Calm down SactoQt, this could get ugly if we're not careful with Jack.

58   Randy H   2005 Oct 18, 3:41pm  

Huh?

Huh?

...oh to hell with it. some folks just ain' that funny.

59   SQT15   2005 Oct 18, 3:42pm  

LOL, Calm down SactoQt, this could get ugly if we’re not careful with Jack.

Yeah, I guess we should be careful not to double team him. But maybe he'd like it???

60   SQT15   2005 Oct 18, 3:45pm  

Jack a Jamie? Is that like a Jackalope?

Well, it's October, so I'm thinking Jackalantern....

61   SJ_jim   2005 Oct 18, 3:45pm  

I don't think we want to get into defining "jack a jamie".

62   Jamie   2005 Oct 18, 3:46pm  

"Whew. Without the gutter, I am haveing a hard time carrying on a conversation tonight…. Being on good behavior is very difficult. "

I thought you were doing an adequate job with the good behavior thing.

SQT, on the other hand, is clearly looking for trouble.

63   SQT15   2005 Oct 18, 3:47pm  

I don’t think we want to get into defining “jack a jamie”.

I avoided the naughty definition (and so did Jack). See, we can behave..sort of.

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