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A year has passed since I bought...


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2011 Nov 23, 12:27pm   115,333 views  321 comments

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Well, so its about a year now that I bought and here is my current status:

Unlike the patrick.net predictions, I am not underwater, my house is not worthless or worth less and I am not hating life but loving it. Best decision ever. It feels good not to pay rent to somebody and making their retirement plan come true. This summer we did so many updates and improvements, would have never done that in a rental. And the best part - we refinanced our house at 4% and now our payment is actually not what our rent used to be but $280/m less. (and thats for a much bigger house) - Who could have know that interest rates would go even further from where we locked in and that my payment is now way less than rent used to be is definitely an xmas gift.

When I was talking about it last time, everybody jumped the gun on me and told me how I will regret my decision come xmas 2011. How I will be in total financial distress and will regret that I bought and eating ramin noodles. - Quite the contrary.

Well, folks?

The doom and gloom as predicted just didn't kick in, did it now?

I'll be back next year and repost - till then, keep up the good gloom and doom work, post the graphs that prove it and happy thanksgiving and merry xmas!!

:)

(Rumbling sound of an earthquake...)

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235   tatupu70   2011 Dec 27, 8:23pm  

JodyChunder says

inflation is when there is more $$$ circulating. nothing to do with general rent increases

You're wrong, but it doesn't really matter. Again--I can't believe you are even arguing this. Look at rental rates over the last 30 years rather than 1 or 2 random years during the worst recession since the Great Depression.

If you want to claim that rents don't generally go up with inflation, have at it. You don't look like the brightest bulb...

236   JodyChunder   2011 Dec 27, 9:55pm  

tatupu70 says

1 or 2 random years during the worst recession since the Great Depression.

If you want to claim that rents don't generally go up with inflation, have at it. You don't look like the brightest bulb...

yes you would have to go and make it hateful with a nasty comment. I should have known with a squirrel like your self that it would go that way, I may not look rightt to you but I am right on inflation. look it up. you are not talking infaltion you are talking FLUCTUATION in supply and demand numb nuts.

237   JodyChunder   2011 Dec 27, 9:59pm  

hey tatupu70: how can I post a link on here?

238   tatupu70   2011 Dec 27, 11:23pm  

JodyChunder says

yes you would have to go and make it hateful with a nasty comment. I should have known with a squirrel like your self that it would go that way, I may not look rightt to you but I am right on inflation. look it up. you are not talking infaltion you are talking FLUCTUATION in supply and demand numb nuts.

My apologies. The bulb comment was uncalled for.

"In economics, inflation is a rise in the general level of prices of goods and services in an economy over a period of time.[1] When the general price level rises, each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services" --wiki

http://www.investorwords.com/2452/inflation.html

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/inflation.asp#axzz1hqKZ5JjN

http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/inflation

http://www.economicshelp.org/macroeconomics/inflation/definition.html

Shall I continue? Increases in money supply will usually cause inflation, but aren't the definition of inflation.

239   Serpentor   2011 Dec 28, 2:41am  

SubOink says

Yes, I am going to post my personal details on a public site on the internet. Would you like a bank account number, social security with that too? After all, I could just find some house and claim its mine. Would that make you feel better? Why don't you start with your personal data first?

You can't look up zillow/trulia/redfin etc yourself? I am not some unique case. That's kind of my whole point. I found a good deal, just like the many others there are out there.

Also, nobody's is bragging. If you read my topic then you will see that I am simply ANSWERING to the crap I was told about a year ago when we bought.

Nice try buddy.

it sure sounds like bragging to me and many people here, with your condescending tone and name calling.

Like others said, this is a very bizarre time to be taking a victory lap with artificially low rates, unprecedented government meddling, and artificially constrained supply (shadow inventory).

nobody is asking you to post your personal information. just post when you bought, the city you brought in, and the price you brought at.

national data still shows prices falling, its easy to claim that your neighborhood is still gaining if you don't specify where you live.

240   Serpentor   2011 Dec 28, 2:51am  

JodyChunder for the love of GOD please change your profile pic. please see Clara or Katy Perry for profile pic suggestions.

241   anonymous   2011 Dec 28, 5:53am  

Serpentor says

nobody is asking you to post your personal information. just post when you bought, the city you brought in, and the price you brought at.

I posted all that info back when we bought. And this topic was directed to all of the haters, gloom n doomers from that time. Of course, none of those guys are around anymore...classic.

But here is a summary: I used to rent for X amount of $. Now, my mortgage is X Amount - $280/month. I now live in a much bigger house than the one we rented, huge backyard + pool. Rent would be a lot more if I rented my own house. Best decision ever. Do I care if my house has (on paper) lost a few bucks since I bought? No. I don't. Because I am still paying less money to live every month plus the benefit of enjoying your own house instead of dealing with a landlord.

Serpentor says

t sure sounds like bragging to me and many people here, with your condescending tone and name calling.

That depends if you read it that way. Usually what happens is this. I come and report my experience and then the grouchers come out of the wood work and start with their ridiculous and offending responses. And then I am the one that is condescending...lol.

Serpentor says

national data still shows prices falling, its easy to claim that your neighborhood is still gaining if you don't specify where you live.

I am beginning to think that you don't really read what I write. WHERE, do I claim that prices are gaining??

Although they have been pretty flat here in Calabasas, Agoura Hills, Oak Park, Westlake Village. But you can look that up yourself. I get comp sales in the mail every week.

If you have 20% for downpayment and have a job and are interested in buying/or hate your renter house/landlord...I can only suggest to go look around what's out there. If you are a happy renter and rent a house/apartment you dig and like your landlord - why bother? If it ain't broken, don't fix it. Our case was the first one, hated the landlord, didn't like the house much and needed to get a bigger house because of a new baby that was on the way. Rents in these neighborhoods are very high. I had the downpay, and qualified with no issues for a very straight forward 30 fixed loan with our Bank. It was a no brainer. The fact that interest rates ended up getting slashed even further came as a surprise. I would have been ok just paying the inital mortgage payment that was in the ballpark of what rent used to be. After the refy, we are now saving 280 a month. That part is very nice and more than what we had hoped for.

I guess you take those facts as bragging. oh well...

242   anonymous   2011 Dec 28, 5:54am  

Serpentor says

JodyChunder for the love of GOD please change your profile pic. please see Clara or Katy Perry for profile pic suggestions.

+1

LOL!!

Jody Chunder from down under...

243   JodyChunder   2011 Dec 28, 10:14am  

SubOink says

Clara or Katy Perry

that is a old picture. sorry if you boys can not handle what a real man look like when he is relaxing a bit . you all to sensitive. and the joke is on you with that Clara. that gal is a Thailand TRANSEXUAL job. I been there and seen them and I know. Ha!

244   JodyChunder   2011 Dec 28, 10:19am  

tatupu70 says

My apologies. The bulb comment was uncalled for.

"In economics, inflation is a rise in the general level of prices of goods and services in an economy over a period of time.[1] When the general price level rises, each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services" --wiki

yes I also apologize. thing is I have been having a rotten time with bedbugs in two of my rentals and it is causing me to loose sleep and makes me ornery.

I am still making my way through your data links. Let me read them and I will respond. if I am wrong I will confess to as much. I am not a proud guy in that way.

245   bubblesburst   2011 Dec 29, 12:18pm  

Congrats Suboink. It sounds like you're happy with your purchase, don't regret your decision to buy and plan to be in the house for the long term. That's what it's all about. There is a HUGE difference between buying a home that you will live in for the foreseeable future and an "investment property".

Like Patrick, I foresaw the bubble in the USA market many years ago. I sold all my properties before the crash and even moved out of the USA.

After waiting on the sidelines many years, I bought a few months ago. I'm VERY happy with my decision. I didn't buy it as an "investment". I bought it as a home and shelter for my family. I plan to stay in the house for at least the next 15 years.

Since moving in we've done many renovations and personalized it exactly how we wanted it. We've done landscaping how we want and it's really the dream home for us. I don't regret the decision for a second. I really don't care what price Zillow says it's worth (although it's not a bad feeling to show the property worth over $130,000 from what we paid). But honestly I don't care what Zillow shows it's worth.

People have to evaluate their own personal situation but I don't feel like now is a terrible time to buy. It was several years ago but I think it's an OK time to buy if you're buying for the long term.

Even on an expensive house, depending on the area... When we were looking earlier this year in the areas we wanted, there wasn't much of anything GREAT on the market. There was a lot of crap but nothing too great.

I'm not sure why some people on this board get bitter at people that buy. I will also say that just as I saw many perma-bulls during the bubble, I'm seeing many permabears now.

Things don't move in straight line folks. Real estate isn't going to fall forever. You won't always catch the absolute highs and the absolute lows. Anyone pretending to always do so is deluding themselves.

Also, the feeling of owning a home free and clear of a mortgage is an amazing feeling. Especially those who are retired or will be retired soon. Sure there are some hassles of owning but I believe the benefits far outweigh the hassles and again, I sure as heck wouldn't want to head into the future (especially retirement) not having a place owned free and clear.

246   JodyChunder   2011 Dec 29, 1:06pm  

bubblesburst says

I really don't care what price Zillow says it's worth (although it's not a bad feeling to show the property worth over $130,000 from what we paid). But honestly I don't care what Zillow shows it's worth.

With all due respect, there is no chance of this in San Diego. Sorry.

247   JodyChunder   2011 Dec 29, 1:12pm  

bubblesburst says

I'm not sure why some people on this board get bitter at people that buy. I will also say that just as I saw many perma-bulls during the bubble, I'm seeing many permabears now.

Things don't move in straight line folks

this sounds like something you told yourself to make it feel better. prices are not falling in a strait line they are correcting slowly. if you really want to know what is going on it is people waiting for normalcy. not a bargain just normal unsensational prices. There are a lot of peopel that do not want this. I under stand that to. But do not do the typical I GOT RELIGION jive and start to pick on folks that are careful with there money.

248   bubblesburst   2011 Dec 29, 3:05pm  

JodyChunder says

bubblesburst says

I really don't care what price Zillow says it's worth (although it's not a bad feeling to show the property worth over $130,000 from what we paid). But honestly I don't care what Zillow shows it's worth.

With all due respect, there is no chance of this in San Diego. Sorry.

Huh??? I'm not sure if you read my post correctly. Indeed Zillow is showing a higher price than what I paid and it continues to go up on their website. Again I don't really care what price it shows but strange you're trying to imply I'm lying.

249   JodyChunder   2011 Dec 29, 4:49pm  

bubblesburst says

Huh??? I'm not sure if you read my post correctly. Indeed Zillow is showing a higher price than what I paid and it continues to go up on their website. Again I don't really care what price it shows but strange you're trying to imply I'm lying.

no sir. maybe just gullible. your house that you say you bought in 2011 did not appreciate by 130 thousand dollars. that is what i am saying. zillow is blowing smoke up your butt.

250   bubblesburst   2011 Dec 29, 5:03pm  

Yeah, I'm not saying it has appreciated by that much. To me I don't care what it shows it's worth. Like I said, I bought it for the long haul.

I CAN tell you that I wasn't impressed with the inventory when I was looking earlier this year. And All the homes that we seriously considered ALL sold. And this was in the $1 million range. There weren't many great houses that were move in ready in good zip codes in great school districts.

My main point is that some on this website act like house prices are going to fall another 30% and that just is NOT going to happen. I bought my house for 37% less than peak prices just a few short years ago and feel very comfortable buying now at these prices. I'm not saying prices can't fall a bit more because they certainly can. But I don't see them falling too much lower, at least where I live. I also take a good hard look at the rental market and it's very healthy here in San Diego and nice rentals are expensive here.

I'm not saying anyone needs to rush into buying as I think you'll have some good buying opportunities over the next year. However, if you see your dream house now...I reiterate it's a fine time to buy.

And to boot, to rent something for the same size, we'd be spending over $5,000 a month. I'm really happy with my decision to buy and love being a home owner. For us it definitely made sense buying now. I realize that isn't the case for everyone. But I agree with the OP when he says that probably he caught a lot of false crap last year for buying and people saying that he would regret it, prices would plummet, etc.

I've been VERY successful investing over the years. Like I said, the key thing is to realize you're NOT going to catch the absolute tops and absolute bottoms all the time.

251   JodyChunder   2011 Dec 29, 6:18pm  

bubblesburst says

I've been VERY successful investing over the years. Like I said, the key thing is to realize you're NOT going to catch the absolute tops and absolute bottoms all the time.

I hear what you are saying. I have to just say I disagree on one or two points of yours. For one I think house prices are still very very high. Now San Diego is a nice part of the country with a real nice climate but it was teh same deal a dozen years back as well when your gas and your food and your insurance bill and your health care and your electric and your sales tax were all several times cheaper than what they are now today. I was just looking at a receit I found in a book from 1997. I paid 93 cents for a gallon of gas for my lawn mower. I was recruiting for the National Guard in 1997 and we could not GET enough young men and women interested in enlisting. That is because employment was high, Clinton was in office and everyone was doing right pretty with $$$. Think on it. Interest rate does not explain it either so dont start.

now i say all this as a rich investor what owns 14 homes over three diff states.. six of them free and clear. what i mean by that is i am not arguing as a perma bear. i think there are some big cracks in the foundation and only a big old rug is whats been offered as a repair. and then another thinner rug so you dont feel the cracks so much. and then another rug and so on. in other words the foundation just keeps sinking but it feels like its less bad cause of that cushion. it is so thick under you feet that you could never belief that you got issues or that you hole house is fitting to cave in one day.

now let me say if you are happy then i can not argue happiness. happiness counts for something for damn sure. with women special. but words like happy and dream home got no place in the mind of a biz man like myself. i do not dream about houses but other things. that is where we are diff. For Example: if it were me and i really did think for one second that my house had gained even one half of 130 thousand I can tell you that baby would be on the block YESTERDAy no matter how happy I felt there!

252   bubblesburst   2011 Dec 30, 4:37am  

Jody,

Sure you make some good points. Some I agree with. But I think therein lies the big difference. I'm also a businessman/investor. I own many properties in several different countries all paid for free and clear. But I think when you're buying a home to live in for the foreseeable future, you don't really look at it as doing business. At least I don't.

I've bought and sold many investment properties but when I made the decision to buy my home that I will raise my family in, "happy and dream home" definitely do factor into the equation.

Even if someone offered me $250,000 or more than what I paid for the house, I'd turn them down. Buying it wasn't a business decision....

I can agree with your points if it's an investment property. I do have several investment properties where I wasn't even listing it for sale and someone came along and made me an offer and it was too good to pass up.

Remember when you have young kids, school districts factor in on your decision to buy and you don't want to move every few years and uproot them from rental property to rental property, most people aren't going to move for small (or even significant profits).

When I buy investment/rental properties I buy with my head and keep my heart totally out of it. But when I'm buying a property where my kids will grow up. Definitely I'm buying with my head but definitely the heart as well. I think that is normal.

I agree there are still fundamental problems in the real estate market, the government has too much intervention and other things. However, from a pure ROI standpoint, investors are still cleaning up right now buying properties and turning around and renting them. I know many, many, many people that have purchased in the past year and making excellent ROI on the properties they purchased.

So even if values fall a bit more, they are making excellent cash flow on these rental properties. Other investments aren't paying anything and for those that don't want to go all in the stock market, buying cash flow properties now can make a lot of sense as others have pointed out on this and other threads.

I own many rental properties and I'm sure glad that I bought them. On some of them I paid a small fortune for but it doesn't matter to me. They are paid off and the income they are generating is much more than any safe investments out there now.

I totally agree with many that in previous years it didn't make sense. All I'm saying is now isn't a TERRIBLE time to buy as some say. Could it go down a bit more? Sure. But I'm still saying you're most likely not going to catch the absolute bottoms all the time.

253   JodyChunder   2011 Dec 30, 2:16pm  

bubblesburst says

I know many, many, many people that have purchased in the past year and making excellent ROI on the properties they purchased.

all good and fair points here. but this last one especially. the only thing what bothers a guy about this is the old HERD mentality thing. i know ten more property investors for every one i knew five year back. we will see how tha t plays out. but i am still buying properties across the South West. nothing outisde of the states tho as that is over my head. going by what you put down here i think you got a good head for investment bubblebust. you will cont to do well.

254   gameisrigged   2011 Dec 30, 5:48pm  

bubblesburst says

I really don't care what price Zillow says it's worth (although it's not a bad feeling to show the property worth over $130,000 from what we paid). But honestly I don't care what Zillow shows it's worth.

HA HA HA HA HA!!! Zillow. Oh, that's rich. Obviously you DO care, or you wouldn't have mentioned it. Har, I wouldn't bank on what Zillow says if I were you.

255   Kris   2011 Dec 31, 12:48am  

Congrats.

256   GUAB   2011 Dec 31, 3:51am  

I am in the process of purchasing a house in Scottsdale right now. As bubblesburst had experienced during their home buying process, we also saw a lot of crap on the market. The homes that were nice, sold in less than a month. People here are buying up the good homes, the crap is hanging around. We looked for the better part of 7-8 months before finding something we loved at the right price.

It'll be a good feeling having it free and clear in 10 years though which is the option we went with for the mortgage.

257   bubblesburst   2011 Dec 31, 6:14am  

gameisrigged says

bubblesburst says

I really don't care what price Zillow says it's worth (although it's not a bad feeling to show the property worth over $130,000 from what we paid). But honestly I don't care what Zillow shows it's worth.

HA HA HA HA HA!!! Zillow. Oh, that's rich. Obviously you DO care, or you wouldn't have mentioned it. Har, I wouldn't bank on what Zillow says if I were you.

Honestly I don't care what price Zillow shows. That's the God's honest truth. It can be ridiculous both on the upside and also the downside. But I would equate it to a situation where you don't really care what someone you don't know says about you. Most people would rather be called beautiful vs. being called ugly. Or someone walking up to you and saying "your kid is really beautiful" vs. "boy your kid is ugly". In the end it's just a stranger's opinion but most people still would have something positive vs. something negative said about them. LOL. I look at Zillow the same way. :)

JodyChunder says

bubblesburst says

I know many, many, many people that have purchased in the past year and making excellent ROI on the properties they purchased.

all good and fair points here. but this last one especially. the only thing what bothers a guy about this is the old HERD mentality thing. i know ten more property investors for every one i knew five year back. we will see how tha t plays out. but i am still buying properties across the South West. nothing outisde of the states tho as that is over my head. going by what you put down here i think you got a good head for investment bubblebust. you will cont to do well.

Jody, definitely I understand the Herd mentality thing. Absolutely there are many more investors vs. 5 years back. But that all stems from the fact that real estate in many areas (not all) is starting to make sense from an ROI standpoint. Which clearly wasn't the case 5 years ago. Also, you have to factor in the fact that banks/CD's are paying almost nothing right now and won't for at least the next 2 years. So more people are more motivated to look for alternative investments that will spin off healthy cash flow. Real estate is certainly one of those ways which it sounds like you clearly know. I'm sure you, just as I do, enjoy getting those rental checks each and every month.

Definitely I'm NOT saying all areas are great to buy properties or especially investment properties. I was only talking about buying a principle home where you plan to live for the foreseeable future and only buying what you can comfortably afford. As far as investment properties go, I still don't see it as a GREAT investment in many areas. San Diego where I live is one of them. While property values have fallen 35% or more from peak.... I'm not buying investment properties here yet.

Most of the investors I know are buying properties in lower end less desirable cities like Sacramento. I have one friend that is buying tons of properties including multi-unit buildings in Sacramento and making a fortune.

GUAB says

I am in the process of purchasing a house in Scottsdale right now. As bubblesburst had experienced during their home buying process, we also saw a lot of crap on the market. The homes that were nice, sold in less than a month. People here are buying up the good homes, the crap is hanging around. We looked for the better part of 7-8 months before finding something we loved at the right price.

It'll be a good feeling having it free and clear in 10 years though which is the option we went with for the mortgage.

Yeah GUAB we looked for a long time and it wasn't easy to find a great property that was move in ready in the areas we were looking in. Some of the crappy listings from when we looked are STILL on the market mostly because there are still some sellers out there that are still in denial. We actually saw some listings where people were asking more than peak level prices. It was quite comical to see that sort of thing.

But it was a real struggle to find an excellent house at the same we were looking at (5 bedrooms) in a great school district. Again, everything we looked is gone.

Once sellers start getting realistic on the prices, they move fairly quick. An example here:

http://www.redfin.com/CA/San-Diego/8282-Top-O-The-Morning-Way-92127/home/6481654

On the other end of the spectrum you have crazy sellers that are in denial.

http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/13483-Ginger-Glen-Rd-San-Diego-CA-92130/69020328_zpid/

258   toothfairy   2012 Jan 1, 9:59am  

Zillow doesn't count REOs or short sales. So there's a chance once we get back to a normal market the estimate prices will be closer to reality..

259   FunTime   2012 Jan 3, 1:59am  

ptiemann says

True in case of 'spending', but if he buys an asset, then his net worth should not have changed much at all.

I realized later that this was written without enough thought. Absolutely, you have the asset. So it gets down to the value of the asset which is the point dodgerfanjohn had been making.

I appreciate your point about "spending" though. If you pay cash for land/house, it's part of your net worth and will probably stay above zero in value.

260   FunTime   2012 Jan 3, 2:16am  

Fantom says

By which I mean a process in which the engine is actually lifted from the engine bay so that the spark plugs and consumables can be changed.

A friend recently bought an '89 Testarossa. When i recounted this story to a friend who collects Corvettes, he said that type of engine service for a Ferrari is a "$100k" endeavor.

Tha Maranello is cool though!

261   FunTime   2012 Jan 3, 3:38am  

Katy Perry says

your not dumb enough to believe you"ll be actually paying the price you Realturd told you over 30 years. look at the bottom of your loan paper work. Thats the price you really agreed to pay.

This is a really important part of real estate sales. NOBODY tells me, 'Hey I bought a house for price + interest!" But that's EXACTLY what they did. They fixate on the "price."

So, years later when they sell the place they subtract "price" from the sales price and claim that's how much they "made."

This is crazy, people! It's a strategy set out by people with lots of money to loan to make them even more money!

I'm amazed at how even I don't allow myself to enjoy my rental the way some people enjoy their loaned homes. I've been enjoying my rental more and more.

262   Serpentor   2012 Jan 3, 4:24am  

FunTime says

Fantom says

By which I mean a process in which the engine is actually lifted from the engine bay so that the spark plugs and consumables can be changed.

A friend recently bought an '89 Testarossa. When i recounted this story to a friend who collects Corvettes, he said that type of engine service for a Ferrari is a "$100k" endeavor.

Tha Maranello is cool though!

Wow wait a minute, why are you asking a Corvette guy for Ferrari advice? They naturally disdain each other and they might as well live on different planets.
engine service for a Testarossa is expensive, but its no where near $100k, even if its done at the Ferrari Stealership.

http://www.automobilemag.com/features/collectible_classic/1003_1984_1991_ferrari_testarossa/viewall.html
The engine needs to be removed every 30,000 miles (or five years) to change the timing belts and adjust the valves. While the twelve-cylinder is out, Garcia replaces all the seals, bearings, and wear parts. The procedure costs up to $8000. And then halfway between each major service is a minor one, which costs about half that much. That's hardly "minor."

263   StoutFiles   2012 Jan 3, 4:56am  

bubblesburst says

Honestly I don't care what price Zillow shows. That's the God's honest truth. It can be ridiculous both on the upside and also the downside. But I would equate it to a situation where you don't really care what someone you don't know says about you. Most people would rather be called beautiful vs. being called ugly. Or someone walking up to you and saying "your kid is really beautiful" vs. "boy your kid is ugly". In the end it's just a stranger's opinion but most people still would have something positive vs. something negative said about them. LOL. I look at Zillow the same way. :)

Zillow is just a guess. Case in point: In a small suburbia, it thinks my parent's house is worth more than the neighbors, but it fails to acknowledge their fully finished basement in the sq. ft measurements, nor does it want to acknowledge their land is twice the size of my parents.

Zillow is crap, but it IS important when going to buy/sell a house since other people care about it. It's going to be that much harder to buy a house if Zillow appraises it too high, and harder to sell if Zillow considers it worthless.

264   FunTime   2012 Jan 3, 10:05am  

Serpentor says

Wow wait a minute, why are you asking a Corvette guy for Ferrari advice? They naturally disdain each other and they might as well live on different planets.

I realize I'm now dragging this thread way off topic, but the Corvette guy just likes Corvettes in particular. He likes cars generally was an original DeLorean owner and owned a National Champion Top Alcohol race car.

I have no idea what type of engine work he thought was a hundred grand. Your estimate does sound really inexpensive though, considering another story my friend with the Testarossa told. He had the car delivered to the Bay Area and, in route, the delivery company broke the front windshield. My friend told me the replacement windshield was $9000! That's from the horses mouth. So I'm surprised even the belts in your scenario are less than the windshield. I know next to nothing about these subjects, so can neither defend or support what I heard. Both people own their own houses, so they might be exaggerating.

265   Serpentor   2012 Jan 3, 11:39am  

no engine maintenance work is worth a hundred grand unless you are talking about military jet engines.

Did you read my link? its not "MY estimate", its from a Ferrari specialist, in San Francisco of all places. Replacement parts cost money, especially large fragile parts on limited production cars. I'm not surprised the windshield was $9k, that seems like a fair price actually...but you can completely rebuild 2 Ferrari engines with $100k, not regular engine service.

266   CL   2012 Jan 4, 3:26am  

SubOink says

Unlike the patrick.net predictions, I am not underwater, my house is not worthless or worth less and I am not hating life but loving it. Best decision ever. It feels good not to pay rent to somebody and making their retirement plan come true. This summer we did so many updates and improvements, would have never done that in a rental

Bravado when strong hastens decay.

267   klarek   2012 Jan 4, 4:18am  

SubOink says

People were predicting a year ago how screwed up I would be financially and how much I would regret having bought a house and how my house will have lost 20% in value etc etc etc ...well, the main posters from back then (like klarek and co) are nowhere to be found now. - THAT's the purpose of the post.

I never said anything of the sort. I ridiculed the lack of rationale you used on the biggest purchase of your live, and the pie-in-the-sky view you had on real estate. I also mocked you for your conspicuous consumption based on propaganda that had been spoon-fed to you by the pathetic weasels in the RE industry. I recall you seeking assurances and reinforcement from others for your thoughtless gamble, but I am not recalling any specific predictions about where you would be in one year, so I'm going to guess that's an arbitrary point for your self-congratulations.

If you want to attribute quotes to me or others, go for it. I for one do not recall anybody telling you that you'd be underwater within a year, but your jubilation at this moment is reminiscent of folks I know who bought in 2005 and were patting themselves on the back throughout 2006.

268   Bigsby   2012 Jan 4, 10:54am  

klarek says

I recall you seeking assurances and reinforcement from others for your thoughtless gamble

Please. "Thoughtless gamble?" He bought a house he wanted. How very thoughtless. Shame on him.

269   anonymous   2012 Jan 4, 3:35pm  

klarek says

I never said anything of the sort. I ridiculed the lack of rationale you used on the biggest purchase of your live, and the pie-in-the-sky view you had on real estate

the lack of rationale like....uh...wow, this house is twice the size than my rental in a better neighborhood and the mortgage is what I pay in rent in the dump. How ridiculous of a rational...

And how ironic that now a year later, that house is actually cheaper than my rental ever was due to the refi. Saving more money than ever.

But like you said, it was a ridiculous rational spoon fed by a realtor....ok, klarek. Glad to have you back in full swing - we'll be doing this until my house is paid off...lol

klarek says

If you want to attribute quotes to me or others, go for it. I for one do not recall anybody telling you that you'd be underwater within a year, but your jubilation at this moment is reminiscent of folks I know who bought in 2005 and were patting themselves on the back throughout 2006.

You're memory is very bad. And folks that bought in 2005 and 2006 did not have a mortgage that was cheaper than renting but a mortgage that was double the rent.

But here I go again with this ridiculous rational...:)

I really don't have time to go back and read thru all the crap just to find a quote to remind you of what was said from a bunch of doomers. It's not necessary.

by the way - HAPPY NEW YEAR!

270   tiny tina   2012 Jan 5, 1:12am  

SubOink says

I really don't have time to go back and read thru all the crap just to find a quote to remind you of what was said from a bunch of doomers. It's not necessary.

Here's one example:
bubblesitter says
Wait 12 more months and you will be underwater. You should have got another rental.
/?p=623908

271   anonymous   2012 Jan 5, 1:49am  

tiny tina says

SubOink says

I really don't have time to go back and read thru all the crap just to find a quote to remind you of what was said from a bunch of doomers. It's not necessary.

Here's one example:

bubblesitter says

Wait 12 more months and you will be underwater. You should have got another rental.

/?p=623908

Nice work tiny Tina!!!

Bubble sitter will never admit that he was wrong. Very wrong! If I had listened to his advice I would be paying more now for a shitty rental.

272   CL   2012 Jan 5, 4:50am  

Again, I would caution you. It ain't over yet, so don't count them chickens.

But I wish you luck!

273   FuckTheMainstreamMedia   2012 Jan 5, 11:50pm  

SubOink says

the lack of rationale like....uh...wow, this house is twice the size than my rental in a better neighborhood and the mortgage is what I pay in rent in the dump. How ridiculous of a rational...
And how ironic that now a year later, that house is actually cheaper than my rental ever was due to the refi. Saving more money than ever.

This is likely impossible without one of a few caveats that you for some reason are failing to disclose:

-You put 20% or more down...and considering the prices in Encino, were talking a minimum of $80K to meet this requirement.
-You were paying a ridiculous sum in rent.
-You moved from a very high demand area like South Pasadena, Santa Monica, or the Westside.
-You moved from a great school district.

As a for instance, my rent in downtown LA for a loft is around $1600/mo. Thats right around the average for downtown LA overall, and on the low side for the portion I live in.

To have a comparable ownership cost, just on mortgage:

$420K@20% down ~1600/mo payment
$350K@3.5% down ~1600/mo payment

So to get into a house at less than I pay in rent, I'd need to purchase a house in those price ranges.

Since my rental is stainless mcgranite, and I'll already be sacrificing commute(I live 5 minute drive, 17 minute red line, or 30 minute walk from work), well need an updated home for an apples to apples comparison.

And if I don't want a commute over 30 minutes, that leaves just a handfull of halfway safe neighborhoods in that price range...Highland Park, and El Sereno. Keep in mind that also means that I'm committing myself to living in a very small place...certainly under 1200 sq ft and likely under 1000 sq ft....for an extended period of time...until home prices increase by at least 12-15% or until such time as I can rent it out.

Note also that the entire game changes if I can get a home under 350K with 20% down or under ~$300K with 3.5% down as we are now talking about a ~$1350/mo mortgage...a payment point where renting at $1600-1700/mo actually yields quite a nice cashflow.

Thats around a 18% price decline and I don't really know if that will happen or not, but clearly you can see that the rent/mortgage ratio is not necessarily in favor of the home debtor.

274   JG1   2012 Jan 6, 7:11am  

dodgerfanjohn says

Since my rental is stainless mcgranite, and I'll already be sacrificing commute(I live 5 minute drive, 17 minute red line, or 30 minute walk from work), well need an updated home for an apples to apples comparison.

Actually, for an apples to apples comparison, you'd need to buy a loft/condo downtown, not a single family house outside of downtown, right? I no longer know what such loft/condos go for, however.

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