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Gold housing ratio falls to historic low


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2012 Mar 3, 12:07pm   32,967 views  77 comments

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http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/daniel-amerman/2011/11/18/gold-housing-ratio-falls-to-historic-low

This must mean something to the gold bugs doesnt it?

As shown at "Point A", on an average annual basis, there was a previous modern ratio low of 99 ounces of gold to buy a house when gold reached its financial crisis peak valuation in 1980. Real estate was remarkably cheap relative to gold - and real estate investment would outperform gold by a huge margin over the 21 years to come.

"Point B" occurred in 2001, with the Gold / Housing ratio reaching a high of 543 ounces of gold being needed to buy a single family home. Gold was remarkably cheap relative to real estate - and gold asset prices would outperform real estate asset prices by a huge margin over the 10 years to come.

The current price of gold (as of November 15, 2011) is reflected in "Point C", which shows a Gold / Housing ratio of 96 ounces of gold being needed to buy the average single family home. This is only 18% of the 543 ounces required in 2001. Real estate is once again remarkably cheap, when compared to gold.

#housing

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73   dunnross   2012 Mar 8, 6:50pm  

Dan8267 says

Go find me an insurance company that will sign this deal and back it up with adequate cash reserves.

Your insurance is called - "put options". You can buy put options on GLD.

74   thariks   2012 Mar 8, 11:26pm  

Dan8267,

How many people do you know who own Gold?? How many people owned nasdaq and real estate when we hit bubble levels??

75   freak80   2012 Mar 8, 11:43pm  

The "Peter Schiff Factor" is already priced into the gold market. People are buying gold based on fear. Want proof? Gold is advertized on right-wing web sites and certain AM radio shows.

Gold will eventually mean-revert.

76   REpro   2012 Mar 9, 1:24am  

How we can be so sure that by buying gold certificates is real gold behind? The same people control gold supply as money supply. If money can be created from a thin air so as gold. Nobody really have access to see it or have gold bars shipped to his home.

77   tdeloco   2012 Mar 10, 4:23am  

bgamall4 says

Not so sure. When they get worried, like when stocks tank, gold sells off.

Sometimes it moves opposite of the stock market. Other times, Gold drops when stocks drop. I suppose it depends on the nature of the news that triggers the rise or drop. Worries about the broad economy make people buy gold.

Gold chart for the year 2011.

Dow Jones 2011.

Gold moves opposite of stocks from August to September as the U.S. lost AAA rating. Similar movements in November due to EU drama. At the end of the year, stocks were moving up while gold was moving down. Comparing the beginning of the year to the end, both gold and stocks are up.

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