patrick.net

robertoaribas says

or, you can just use my metric! It worked for selling in 2004-5, it worked for buying over the past two years...
http://robertoaribas.wordpress.com/2012/09/03/when-to-sell-a-home-especially-in-a-bubble/

But like I said in another post, Europe is a wild card here. Housing was the root cause of the 2008 financial melt down. So, for people keeping a close eye on the housing market like Roberto, it is not too hard to sell the houses before the sharp down turn. However, housing is not the only thing that can cause a financial collapse. If one of the stressed countries defaults on their government debt, potentially it would create turmoils in the banking sector and propagating here. But I suppose it is not too hard to see the writing on the wall.

SFace says

gregpfielding says

It's true. Andrew's prediction (which I shared), didn't come to pass. The market is far from fundamentals.

It's your prediction as you signed off on it.

Sorry, but saying record inventory when the opposite happened is an epic failure. Blaming the fundamental just demonstate your incompentence as it should be accounted for.

Greg: You should sell your house now before inventory floods the market

Seller: ok

Seller 3 months later: What happended to the flood of inventory you talked about? I sold too early.

Greg: Market is not following fundamentals

Seller: WTF does that mean? Not following fundamentals, seriously?

Hey, Greg got his take. From his perspective it was a slam dunk. Cha-Ching