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The Housing Trap


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2012 Sep 18, 8:53am   204,145 views  261 comments

by Patrick   ➕follow (59)   💰tip   ignore  

http://www.amazon.com/Housing-Trap-Buyers-Captured-Yourself/dp/1479156213/?tag=patricknet-20

It's $12.50 so that if you buy two (makes a great gift!) then you don't have to pay any shipping charges.

Here is the table of contents:

Trapped! 8

  Can't Sell 9

  Can't Pay Off Mortgage 10

  Must Keep Obeying Boss 10

The Conspirators 12

  Your Agent 12

  Your Mortgage Broker 18

  Your Bank 18

  Fannie And Freddie 19

  The Federal Reserve 20

  Newspapers 21

  The NAR 23

  Congress 24

  The President of The United States 25

  Current Owners 25

  Your Boss 26

  Your Parents 27

  Your Wife's Parents 27

  Your Wife 27

Fallacies and Fantasies 30

  Appreciation 30

  Building Equity 32

  Renters Throw Money Away 34

  Tax Deduction 37

  Real Estate Is Local 39

  So Little Supply 40

  So Many Buyers 40

  Foreigners 41

  House Prices Don't Fall To Zero 41

  Supply And Demand 42

  Land Shortage 44

  Fundamentals Don't Matter 44

  Commissions Don't Matter 45

  Agents Don't Care What You Pay 46

  My Neighborhood Is Different 46

  You Have To Live Somewhere 47

  Rentals Not Available 48

  Rentals All Suck 48

  Owners Can Remodel 49

  But The Newspapers Say... 50

  But The Appraiser Said... 51

  Home Sweet Home 52

  Status 53

  Affordability Is Good Now 53

  Owning Limits Your Monthly Payment 54

  People Buy On Emotion 55

  Baby Needs House 55

  I Just Want It 56

Scams and Dirty Tricks 58

  Realtors® Claiming They re "Free" 58

  Claiming That You Need An Agent 60

  Showing You The Ugly Dogs First 61

  Underpricing 62

  Missing Price 64

  Missing Address 64

  Renting Property Without Permission 65

  Straw Buyers 65

  Faking Comps 66

  Faking The Dimensions 67

  Faking The Sale 67

  Erasing Price History And Relisting 68

  Faking Higher Offers 69

  Hiding Your Low Offer 69

  Taking Bribe To Hide Your Offer 70

  Hiding Offer To Get Double Commission 70

  Hiding Offer To Get Seller To Take Loss 71

  Photoshop 71

  Advertising Agent Instead Of House 71

  Kickbacks 72

  Bribes 72

  A Trick Of Your Own 73

What Should You Do? 75

  Be Paranoid 75

  Never Sign Any Agent Agreement 75

  Never Reveal Your Price Limit 77

  Hire Your Own Independent Inspector 78

  Favor FSBOs 78

  Do Not Rush 80

  Do Not Overpay 81

  Deliver Offer To Seller Personally 83

  Pay Cash 84

  Long Term Lease 85

  Walk Away 85

  If You're A Realtor® 87

Calculating Fair Price 88

  Two Kinds Of Rent 89

  Borrowing Does Not Help 91

  Downpayment Doesn't Help Much 91

  Conventional Mortgage 92

  Deduction Doesn't Help Most People 93

  Appreciation Is Uncertain 95

  Taxability Of Gains 96

  What About Leverage? 97

  What About Inflation? 98

  Rules Of Thumb 99

  Anything else? 101

Long-Term Solutions 102

  Call Housing Inflation What It Is 102

  Help Correct Reporters 103

  No Public Guarantees For Private Debt 104

  No Mortgage Interest Deduction 105

  Public Bids On Housing 107

  Legally Binding Offers To Sell 108

  Eliminate Comps As Meaningless 108

  No Empty Houses 109

  Publicly Financed Elections 110

  End Proposition 13 In California 111

  The Georgist Land Value Tax 112

  Spread The Word 113


« First        Comments 154 - 193 of 261       Last »     Search these comments

154   skinnyninja   2012 Sep 21, 10:43am  

Bought and read it on Kindle. Happy to be renting for $425/month!

Thanks for your book, and your site.

155   Patrick   2012 Sep 21, 2:18pm  

Any advice for improvement?

156   MAGA   2012 Sep 21, 2:32pm  

Enjoying a quick bite to eat while reading my Kindle version of The Housing Trap. :-)

(Millbrae, CA)

157   skinnyninja   2012 Sep 22, 8:18am  

Test alternate subtitles:

"Avoid a lifetime of debt and live free"

"A mortgage is no way to live"

"Why everyone in housing wants you broke"

"Finding economic freedom in today's market"

Etc.

Brainstorm more, then rotate them into Adwords a la Tim Ferriss. Find the most clickable subtitle. Sell more books.

158   Indiana Jones   2012 Sep 23, 1:26pm  

I'd absolutely trash the "wife" title and go with "spouse". I am actually a little surprised you included the term. I for one did not take into consideration whether or not my husband had a "house" for me when I decided to marry him. That is a sweeping generalization About women and I believe you are vastly limiting your market if you make this a gender issue.

My best friend's husband pushed them into a house twice in the last ten years- one they short sold and they now own a house they are heavily underwater in and behind on their mortgage. It is not always the women. Men are also pressured to be "homeowners" and having ownership of a house show them as being a "good provider".

159   Patrick   2012 Sep 24, 2:07am  

You can now see the first few pages with the "Click to LOOK INSIDE!" link on the Amazon page for "The Housing Trap":

http://www.amazon.com/Housing-Trap-Buyers-Captured-Yourself/dp/1479156213/?tag=patricknet-20

160   freak80   2012 Sep 24, 2:46am  

skinnyninja says

Happy to be renting for $425/month!

Do you live in Erie, PA? There, a decent 1 br can be had for that price. I know because I used to live there.

The local joke was, "you know you're from Erie when your winter heating bill is higher than your rent."

161   37108605   2012 Sep 24, 3:30am  

freak80 says

The local joke was, "you know you're from Erie when your winter heating bill is higher than your rent."

I had a cousin in Erie, actually very nice people around that area. Real salt of the Earth hardworking people.

You know that phrase applies to many already, or will apply to many areas soon.

162   37108605   2012 Sep 24, 3:33am  

leo707 says

I don't think that you should delete or neuter the section just for political correctness and inter-gender harmony.

NO WAY

I agree. PC lunacy is SO 2000.

163   aragonzbooks   2012 Sep 24, 9:29am  

What I appreciate most about Patrick's book are two essential ingrediants to a classic: genius, and courage. Patrick is a true hero and, although I do not know him personally in any manner whatsoever, I respectfully urge everyone to post reviews on Amazon amid so many authors who have never sacrificed as much for their audience of readers and buyers of books as Patrick has done for all of us. Thanks again Patrick, and thanks to anyone else for listening.

164   freak80   2012 Sep 26, 2:22am  

Reader says

I had a cousin in Erie, actually very nice people around that area. Real salt of the Earth hardworking people.

The kind of people the modern Democrat party has abandoned.

Luckily they have their guns and religion to cling to.

165   aragonzbooks   2012 Sep 26, 4:28am  

The wife/woman thing doesn't bother me at all - we need Patrick's help with this book to survive the nightmare; and I don't have time for the niceties when Truth at the core, and those with the courage to put it out there (like Patrick and elliemae) is what really matters.

166   MAGA   2012 Oct 1, 11:46am  

I finished The Housing Trap this afternoon, on my flight from SAT to SFO. Good work Patrick.

167   Patrick   2012 Oct 1, 11:57am  

Thanks! Suggestions for improvement?

168   David9   2012 Oct 1, 12:18pm  

I also finished your book this weekend Patrick. What sticks with me most is that little book is really my only friend when it comes to buying a property. 'Paranoia has never failed me' is one of my mottos.

Improvements? Nothing striking that comes to mind, not all situations fit all people. I intend on reading it again and could probably come up with blog like discussion as in this board if interested.

It's your second book! You should be damn proud.

I have two copies and fully intend on sharing.

169   Patrick   2012 Oct 2, 5:58am  

152 paper copies and 42 Kindle copies sold so far!

I've started writing radio stations hoping to get interviewed. One good national interview and I think sales could really take off.

170   David9   2012 Oct 2, 6:07am  

Again, I think you have something here.

Most people don't know really how the Real Estate Industry works and your book is easy enough to read for most.

As you are probably aware, there are people out there who don't want you to get the information out.

Paranoia, it works.

Best of luck with the marketing, say a 100,000 sales goal to start would bring some liquidity. I hope, to start.

171   Goran_K   2012 Oct 2, 6:20am  

Patrick, I think your cause is just, but how are you going to battle the FED gangsters who have made it their mission to create a false bottom in the market?

I think the bears have lost. The good guys lost this battle.

172   Patrick   2012 Oct 2, 6:29am  

David9 says

Best of luck with the marketing, say a 100,000 sales goal to start would bring some liquidity. I hope, to start.

At $5 royalty per book, 100,000 would do nicely!

Goran_K says

Patrick, I think your cause is just, but how are you going to battle the FED gangsters who have made it their mission to create a false bottom in the market?

One secret is that the bond market is far more powerful than the Fed. When the bond market demands higher interest rates, rates will go higher no matter what the Fed wants.

173   David9   2012 Oct 2, 6:34am  


rates will go higher no matter what the Fed wants.

I hope you are right. I have been posting today that prices are rising here in LA, because, they are. The market behaviour is following your book.

"At $5 royalty per book, 100,000 would do nicely!"

You will need the money to move forward!

174   BayArea   2012 Oct 7, 4:33am  

Patrick, I woke up this morning and spent three hours reading your book from start to finish.

Overall the book is clear, concise, easy to read, and effectively conveys the "flip-side" of real estate that is invisible to the average buyer... especially the 1st time buyer. I can honestly say that I wish I had an understanding of these concepts back when I bought my first property. I would have looked at things through a completely different set of eyes. I learned most of these concepts the hard way over the past few years and it's great to see them summarized and expanded on.

Some parts of the booked that were particularly strong:

- The concept of renting property vs renting money

- Property valuation based on rent (annual rent to price ratios). Every buyer should understand this concept!

- I recently had a debate with a colleague about why it is better to pay a low price with a higher interest rate than a higher price with a low interest rate, in general of course. Page 82-83 summarizes the key points well.

- Concept of the land value tax. Agreed!

- Expanding on supply vs demand by noting that prices are influenced by interest rates, lending standards, and government interference of the free market. I would also hit on salaries and unemployment rate here.

- As a buyer understanding "dual agency" and why it can work for you in hot markets.

And a few thoughts for improvement:

- The chapter titled, "Scams and Dirty Tricks" certainly got the point across but the tone may have been a little over the top. I would have written it in a slightly softer objective tone.

- One section of the book talks about presenting offers directly to the owner as the suggested approach despite a possibility of violating certain terms. Expand on this topic and those terms.

- The dangers of leverage. Yes, it's important to see both sides but who in the real estate world has ever been successful without rolling the dice and leveraging money, time, labor, etc?

- This is just my opinion, but I don't particularly care for the ominous cloud background image on your cover. I think your image of the house inside the bear trap is great, but would prefer to see it on a plain white background. I know, picky picky but that's just what stuck after I had to look closer to identify what I was looking at the first time I laid eyes on the book, lol.

- Minor typo on page 102 "where where"

- "Rocket Surgery" ?

- Avoid the "wife" title and go with "spouse" instead.

Overall I think you did quite a service to the community by writing this book and assembling these ideas worth well over the $12.50 cost of admission, even though the book is bound to piss off some organizations like the NAR. They'll only notice if you sell enough books however.

And I think you are right. It's 2012, a lot of people have a very bitter taste in their mouth from getting burned by the real estate bubble and you are one national interview away from having this do well. Make sure you are prepared for that when it comes.

BayArea ( Luke )

175   TMAC54   2012 Oct 7, 5:38am  

Got my fingers crossed Patrick.
Fighting this machinery takes education and the profiteers ain't real transparent.
The too big to fail banks will treat DocX lending Services as some Quasi entity the same as gubmint treats the fed.
The little guy takes the fall if nobody is aware.
Your book is an eye opener.
I say that even as an offended HONEST X Real Estate Agent.

176   barrister   2012 Oct 8, 5:59am  

The housing trap is even worse, in some key ways, in Oakland.

Read about this property tax assessment ("Parcel tax") that was supposed to provide more needed public safety services and performance-based anti-violence programs, but instead brought us fewer police, politically connected nonprofits with no-bid, no-results anti-violence programming, and counter-intuitively, more crime. No other bay area city that i'm aware of uses parcel taxes to pay for BASIC services such as police. That is a core city service.

http://defendingmeasurey.blogspot.com/

also:

http://www.lensforchange.com/public_safety

177   Patrick   2012 Oct 9, 3:43am  

BayArea says

Patrick, I woke up this morning and spent three hours reading your book from start to finish...

Thanks Luke!
I really appreciate the honest feedback. I've corrected the typo and am working on the other suggestions for the next edition. I'm thinking I should update it once per year.

178   snyderkv   2012 Oct 13, 6:32am  

Patrick,

Read the book on Kindle for PC in 4 hours and thought it was great!

- Quick read with no fluff and to the point information
- Very easy to understand for all but I too got a couple pointers that felt paid for the book
- I thought the book was going to be pro renting but I felt the argument for owning was also there. I guess Patrick doesn't follow all his bitter and negative followers on the forum who cheerlead fear and apocolypse so they can short the market and buy for pennies to the dollar. I thought the book was unbiased and applicable for all readers, not just forum fan boys.

Some comments and criticisms

1) Error on the kindle for PC, not sure if it was my computer/internet scrambling the words but this paragraph read like this:
"Mortgage brokers maximum price or other critical information about you to your agent. This is not a problem if you simply don’t have a mortgage broker or an agent. title companies, appraisers, return for directing your can also give away your"

2) I'd love to see actual examples on where to begin with FSBO or sending your own offers. Could you download contract agreements exc on legalzoom perhaps?

3) Mentioned a few times about MLS not showing foreclosures exc being a conspiracy for higher commisions. I just think agents don't want to deal with every buyer geting excited about some auction that may never happen or pre foreclosure that may not be listed for years. Infact, short sales which do get listed on the MLS, seem to go for just as good if not better discounts than auctions/trustees/pre foreclosures.

4) The book mentions that foreigners aren't stupid and will wait a couple years for prices to come down before buying and patrick also mentions similiar to waiting.

But Isn't timing the market speculation and gambling?

Prices haven't really dipped below 2009 levels and anyone who waited lost out on a LOT of great deals if they took the forums negative attitude too seriously. Luckily the book didn't head in that direction because I myself picked up great cash flowing deals via short sales along the way. When the market stabalizes if not already, short sales will be slim and traditional sellers may not care for all cash offers like banks do right now. You will have lost the greatest opportunity in history and cry yourself to sleep at night 30 years from now when you're still renting.

5) There has yet to be proof of how much or if any tax deduction is factored into the price of homes. People buy based on up front costs in my oppinion and not what they will save next year in taxes. I'd like to see more proof to his claim.

6) I felt there wasn't much of an intro before just jumping right into it, instead, he gets this out by saying "Realtors@ Yuck!" but felt that a proper introduction to Patricks motives and direction he wanted to take readers of the book may have faired a little better.

179   MAGA   2012 Oct 13, 7:10am  


152 paper copies and 42 Kindle copies sold so far!

I've started writing radio stations hoping to get interviewed. One good national interview and I think sales could really take off.

180   MAGA   2012 Oct 13, 9:46am  

http://www.coasttocoastam.com/

Another suggestion, Coast to Coast AM. Just mention you came from another planet.

181   033   2012 Oct 13, 10:17am  

Does Amazon now charge sales tax on Kindle content?

182   snyderkv   2012 Oct 13, 3:20pm  

033 says

Does Amazon now charge sales tax on Kindle content?

Serious? is that what you're concerned about? A few pennies on an $8 purchase?

My purchase confirmation doesn't show tax. But I haven't looked at my bank statement.

183   033   2012 Oct 13, 6:31pm  

Serious, if Amazon did I was going to download the content from my work to save 0.02.

184   Patrick   2012 Oct 14, 2:22am  

snyderkv says

Read the book on Kindle for PC in 4 hours and thought it was great!

Thanks! I will incorporate your feedback into the next edition. I'm thinking of doing a new edition each year.

snyderkv says

Error on the kindle for PC, not sure if it was my computer/internet scrambling the words but this paragraph read like this:

Yes, that is some kind of Kindle error. The text is fine in the actual book. Thanks for telling me.

snyderkv says

But Isn't timing the market speculation and gambling?

I'm trying to say you should always look at the rent / buy ratio for a specific house, and if it's not good, then wait. If it's a good deal compared to renting (not compared to lemming-comps!), then go ahead and buy.

185   CDon   2012 Oct 18, 7:46am  


I'm trying to say you should always look at the rent / buy ratio for a specific house, and if it's not good, then wait. If it's a good deal compared to renting (not compared to lemming-comps!), then go ahead and buy.

But what about the places where the buy/rent ratio hasnt been good in decades? What if (per the OC Housing News guy) some areas have not been at rental parity since at least 1988. Would you advise these people to "wait"?

Seems to me the better advice would be either (a) pay the premium and buy at the bottom or (b) accept permanent renting as a lifestyle choice and celebrate the fact the landlord subsidises your lifestyle to live there.

Wouldnt this be better than to give people false hope that if they "wait" a metric that hasnt proven true in 23 years will sudenly become true?

186   scott777   2012 Oct 22, 12:25am  

Just bought the book on kindle. I have been on this sight for a couple years. Love the Book! Thanks Patrick. Best $8 I ever spent

187   Patrick   2012 Oct 22, 2:15am  

Glad you like it!

Sold 78 Kindle copies total so far, plus 186 paper copies.

Let me know if you have any marketing advice.

188   scott777   2012 Oct 22, 1:26pm  

I am going to buy a hard copy too tonight. You need media attention. You need to get in front of people. Book stores etc... I don't know anything...

I listen to Peter Schiff on TuneIn radio. He is an ego maniac but You would probably be a good guest on his show. Tom Leykis is another Internet radio host who ( not sure about spelling) would love your message. Send them copies of your book or call.

You are at a crossroad with your website. I hope you don't stop. You have helped thousands of people I'm sure. Thank you

189   JodyChunder   2012 Oct 22, 2:15pm  

I agree with the above. This book really is an excellent reference material to have on hand (and Jody even get's a shout-out)! I've thought about buying one or two extra to leave around my favorite coffee shop where I hear Real Estate agents conspiring all the time -- without buying a beverage I might add!

190   MAGA   2012 Oct 22, 4:30pm  

Thanks Patrick for making from flight from DTW to SFO seem shorter.

Kindle rocks!

191   Patrick   2012 Oct 23, 4:09am  

CDon says

But what about the places where the buy/rent ratio hasnt been good in decades? What if (per the OC Housing News guy) some areas have not been at rental parity since at least 1988. Would you advise these people to "wait"?

The SF Bay area had the same price/rent ratio as the rest of the country until fairly recently, about the year 2000 according to John Talbott's book "Sell Now!"

I think prices can just as easily drop back to the normal ratio. Rents cannot rise beyond what salaries support.

192   DukeLaw   2012 Oct 23, 7:30am  

That's only if salaries go down in the Bay Area. The salary run up since 1998 has been impressive in a number of industries. First year attorneys at the big law firms still make over 130k and software engineers command a premium.

193   CDon   2012 Oct 23, 8:10am  


The SF Bay area had the same price/rent ratio as the rest of the country until fairly recently, about the year 2000 according to John Talbott's book "Sell Now!"

As I noted in the other thread, From Amazon's review of Mr. Talbot and his Sell Now book...

"As a guide for the average homeowner, this book is a convincing argument broken down into laymen's terms, albeit one fueled by bias: Talbott admits he, "allowed his anger and bitterness," to influence his writing, making it less a studied survey than a "creative analysis," as Talbott terms it."

Hanging your hat on the "creative analysis" of someone fueled by bias with a self admitted axe to grind is propbably not the best proof that the price/rent ratio in San Francisco, let alone the fortress, was the same as everywhere else.

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