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The Problem With Ivory-Tower Economists


               
2013 Jul 19, 12:38am   742 views  8 comments

by mell   follow (12)  

http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=222874

It's hard to make any judgment,” Bernanke said when Stutzman asked if the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act's mandates are slowing the economy. Bernanke said that it has been cited in the economic outlook survey known as the Beige Book, which the Federal Open Market Committee considers in assessing the economy. “One thing that we hear in the commentary that we get at the FOMC is that some employers are hiring part-time in order to avoid the mandate,” Bernanke said. He added that “the very high level of part-time employment has been around since the beginning of the recovery,...

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1   HydroCabron   2013 Jul 19, 1:07am  

It is the most thoroughly-discredited discipline in recent years. The number of academic and corporate economists who failed or refused to see the housing bubble is astonishing.

In a world where there was meritocracy and accountability, most would be forced out of their jobs in disgrace.

2   David9   2013 Jul 19, 3:52am  

Finally, someone has some balls whether it is 'completely' true or not.

"This is a monstrous problem at present because the economy is floating along on The Fed's "sea of liquidity" along with deficit spending. But anyone with an IQ larger than their shoe size knows that this is artificial and thus cannot continue forever."

"and the intentional distortions continue it is utterly insane to make those capital investments. Political whim and favoritism, when it trumps entrepreneurship, superior product and service, does severe structural damage to the real economy."

3   Heraclitusstudent   2013 Jul 19, 11:20am  

>
The entire world in which we live is predicated on exponential growth.

Population growth is also exponential. Economic growth is exponential. Without these 2 forces the world would look very different. All assumptions for social security for example are predicated on their continuation. Without economic growth, capitalism would be very tough to maintain, not to mention the banksters ponzi schemes.

4   Bellingham Bill   2013 Jul 19, 11:30am  

Heraclitusstudent says

Without economic growth, capitalism would be very tough to maintain

actually, no.

the ponzi, as you mention, is just this:

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/GINIALLRH

revert that back to 1970s levels and everyone would have immense amounts of wealth.

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=kKQ

is per-capita real GDP since 1950, showing PER-CAPITA productivity has risen 3X since WW2.

We all collectively produce enough to feed, clothe, entertain, education, heal, the entire population.

The problem is mostly successful rent-seekers -- in energy, healthcare, housing mainly -- skimming off so much of the national income.

AFAICT there's also an imbalance with out $500B+ trade deficit, that is money that our productive economy is losing overseas, essentially paycheck money we're bleeding out and not getting back as wages.

5   Bellingham Bill   2013 Jul 19, 11:34am  

Perhaps the PPACA mandate is unworkable since employers hold the whip-hand these days.

The solution to that is simply Single Payer, and an admission from the Republicans that their stupid RomneyCare idea hatched at their AEI think tank can't work nationally.

I really expect that to happen, LOL.

6   zzyzzx   2013 Jul 19, 1:01pm  

I used to work at Wells Fargo, and it amazed me that the people who made the decisions as to who got sub-prime loans were people that had no prior experience in the collections department. It would seem pretty basic to me that if I were running a bank, the people trying to get money from deadbeats would have at least some input on the whole loan decision process.

7   turtledove   2013 Jul 19, 1:22pm  

zzyzzx says

It would seem pretty basic to me that if I were running a bank, the people trying to get money from deadbeats would have at least some input on the whole loan decision process.

They sold a lot of their loans, so I doubt they cared what happened a couple of months or years down the road.

8   Patrick   2025 Dec 12, 9:38pm  

https://rudy.substack.com/p/the-art-of-the-absurd


You: How much is this thing I need?

Cashier: It’s $20.

You: But last year it was $15?

Cashier: Yes, but now it’s cheaper because it’s better.

You: But it’s not cheaper. It’s 33% more. It’s $20.

Cashier: No, it’s 50% better and $20.

You: What?

Cashier: Do you have an econ PhD sir?

You: Can I just buy the old one for $15?

Cashier: No.

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