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The Housing Inventory Shortage Myth


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2014 Apr 30, 12:52am   19,184 views  73 comments

by smaulgld   ➕follow (4)   💰tip   ignore  

Housing inventory is increasing but home sales are declining.

According to the real estate recovery cheerleaders it wasn't supposed to be this way.

They argued that a lack of inventory was holding back the housing market. It wasn't - it is a lack of demand.

(Charts)

http://smaulgld.com/housing-inventory-myth-shortage/

#housing

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67   smaulgld   2014 Aug 28, 7:01am  

hanera says

Sale of apartments/condos and less desirable neighborhoods (no excellent public schools) are stalling.

I find the same. That highlights its really only a seller's market for select properties.

68   myob   2014 Aug 28, 7:14am  

Yup, I had that thought as well when I bought, so I bought the worst house I could afford in the best neighborhood :) I'm surrounded by Googlers, Facebookers, and WhatsAppers

69   Rew   2014 Aug 29, 11:04am  

Inventory for San Jose:
http://www.deptofnumbers.com/asking-prices/california/san-jose/

According to Smaulgld, how is it supposed to be, and why? You look like a "rent is too damn high" whiner to me.

"A seller's market for select properties" : isn't that true for anything? People don't generally want to buy things they aren't interested in. If you have a SFH, in a good school zone ... chu-ching $$$. That's been the story for two years!

70   smaulgld   2014 Aug 29, 11:58am  

The point of the blog post was to debunk the concept that more inventory would lead to higher prices and more sales
Nationally that hasn't happened
The SF bay area is an anomaly
Has nothing to do with whining about high rents

71   Rew   2014 Aug 29, 4:14pm  

Well, I think it failed then ...
http://www.deptofnumbers.com/asking-prices/us/

72   smaulgld   2014 Aug 29, 7:46pm  

Rew says

Well, I think it failed then ...

http://www.deptofnumbers.com/asking-prices/us/

That shows the median ASKING price not sales price

73   smaulgld   2014 Aug 30, 12:00am  

As prices rise more homes will come on the market at higher prices but they wont sell at the higher prices
http://smaulgld.com/real-estates-underwaterdown-side-sticky-catch-22/

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